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April 5-7 Predictions
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90483
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Author:  zwackerm [ Sat Mar 30, 2024 10:34 am ]
Post subject:  April 5-7 Predictions

Monkey Man 21m
The First Omen 19m

Godzilla -58%

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Sun Mar 31, 2024 2:22 am ]
Post subject:  Re: April 5-7 Predictions

Monkey Man looks great and there's clearly an audience for this type of film. $20M+

Hoping for a breakout from a non-IP film every weekend this month. Civil War, Abigail and Challengers all have big potential too.

Author:  Algren [ Sun Mar 31, 2024 6:12 am ]
Post subject:  Re: April 5-7 Predictions

I don't see it. Monkey Man $5m

Author:  O [ Mon Apr 01, 2024 1:29 am ]
Post subject:  Re: April 5-7 Predictions

I thought it had potential but way too close to GXK.

Author:  Rev [ Mon Apr 01, 2024 9:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: April 5-7 Predictions

The First Omen 18m
Monkey Man 14m

Godzilla -60%

Author:  lilmac [ Tue Apr 02, 2024 12:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: April 5-7 Predictions

Make your predictions in the Derby!

Author:  O [ Tue Apr 02, 2024 8:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: April 5-7 Predictions

Monday #'s

1 GvsK $7,751,327 $87,757,888
2 Ghostbusters: $2,026,894 -29% $75,305,771
3 KFP4 $1,981,940 +18% $153,781,205
4 Dune 2 $1,483,781 -19% $254,126,488

-Bob Marley: One Love $58,695 -45% $96,329,302

Though many people were off on Monday, that's still a great # for GvsK. At least $150M+. Ghostbusters is probably having it's last good day for a while. Will probably just skirt by $100M.

KFP4 continues to benefit from it's great release date. Looks like it should pass Puss In Boots 2 at $180M+. Dune is holding well and looks good for $280M+. Marley was oh so close to $100M and its PTA is up from last week significantly. Losing half of its theaters over the last two weekends has slowed it down but maybe it can leg it out to $100M but could probably wrap up at $98M.

Author:  Shack [ Tue Apr 02, 2024 9:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: April 5-7 Predictions

Great Monday for KFP

Author:  O [ Wed Apr 03, 2024 1:35 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: April 5-7 Predictions

Tuesday #'s

1 GvsK $6,825,000 $94,582,888
2 Ghostbusters $1,800,000 -11% -58% $77,105,771
3 KFP4 $1,600,000 (est) - 41% $155,381,205
4 Dune 2 $1,255,000 -44% $255,381,488
5 Immaculate $474,567 -36% $12,067,434

Godzilla is holding really well. Likely to reach $100M in 6 days. A lot depends on the second weekend hold. Godzilla (2014) had a May 20th Tuesday of $6,944,417 from a $93.2M OW. GvsK (2024) is pulling $6.825M from an $80M weekend post Easter. Godzilla 2014 had a 2nd weekend cushion with the May long weekend but more competition while April is lighter so may even out leg wise. If GvsK follows those legs it could finish at $176M.

KFP4 continuing it's solid dailies. It just passed Sing 2 for post Covid animated films and is now #6. Should get past Puss 2 to reach #5.

Ghostbusters is doing poorly with others holding better. Will go into its 3rd weekend with $80M but not looking like it's doing much past $100M. Maybe $105M?

Dune's holding decently considering last week was a break. Still looking good for $280M+.

Immaculate is quietly having a solid run with a $9M budget and perhaps $20M total.

Author:  zwackerm [ Wed Apr 03, 2024 5:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: April 5-7 Predictions

Godzilla x kong will easily clear 200m. WOM is WAY BETTER than Godzilla 2014 lol.

GvK got a 3x multiplier despite being on HBO at the same time.

Author:  O [ Wed Apr 03, 2024 5:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: April 5-7 Predictions

These dailies are a pretty positive sign for the year's box office. 4 big sequels in 5 weeks with 3/4 surpassing expectations.

Even Ghostbusters OW wasn't bad. If it was actually good it probably could have legged out as a comedy for counterprogramming. So the room was there for us to see 4 for 4. A 65.4% drop on a holiday weekend when everything else dropped in the 30s in the top 5 last weekend. Ghostbusters probably would have dropped 70% if not for Easter.

KFP ($180M+), Godzilla ($170M+), and Dune 2 ($280M+) all getting fantastic runs.

Author:  O [ Fri Apr 05, 2024 10:48 am ]
Post subject:  Re: April 5-7 Predictions

Thursday #'s

GvK $4,100,000 $103,305,986
Ghostbusters $1,305,000 -51% $79,863,062
KFP4 $1,300,000 (Est)
Dune 2 $1,075,000 -44% $257,653,969

Dune looks like it will finally dip below $1M on Monday.

Not an exact science but GvsK 2021's 1st Thursday / 2nd weekend ratio was 8.66. If this film follows that, it would get to $35.5M (-55.6%). That would be a great hold if it happens for $138.8M total.

Author:  Shack [ Fri Apr 05, 2024 1:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: April 5-7 Predictions

lilmac wrote:
Make your predictions in the Derby!


I was going to play this week but I forgot

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