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December 1-3 Predictions http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90299 |
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Author: | zwackerm [ Sun Nov 26, 2023 3:53 pm ] |
Post subject: | December 1-3 Predictions |
Renaissance 35m Silent Night 6m Hunger Games -58% Napoleon -55% Wish -65% Really feeling like Wish is gonna drop off a cliff. Will make the Good Dinosaur look leggy. WOM is BAD. |
Author: | Algren [ Sun Nov 26, 2023 5:29 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: December 1-3 Predictions |
Disappointed to see no "lol" option in the poll |
Author: | MadGez [ Sun Nov 26, 2023 10:05 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: December 1-3 Predictions |
Capital LOL |
Author: | Rev [ Mon Nov 27, 2023 1:29 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: December 1-3 Predictions |
Renaissance 50m Silent Night 10m Hunger Games -48% Napoleon -65% Wish -65% |
Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Mon Nov 27, 2023 1:37 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: December 1-3 Predictions |
Beyonce - $28M Godzilla - $10M Silent Night - $4M |
Author: | Magic Mike [ Mon Nov 27, 2023 6:32 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: December 1-3 Predictions |
Renaissance: A Film by Beyonce - 26 Silent Night - 6 Godzilla Minus One - 5 |
Author: | flip1 [ Tue Nov 28, 2023 7:19 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: December 1-3 Predictions |
Renaissance: 22 everything else (shift, silent night, minus one) around 5m |
Author: | O [ Wed Nov 29, 2023 2:09 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: December 1-3 Predictions |
Beyonce $21M |
Author: | zwackerm [ Wed Nov 29, 2023 7:37 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: December 1-3 Predictions |
Hunger Games is down 59% from last Tuesday Catching Fire was down 74%same day in its run. Mockingjay Part 2 was down 73%. Mockingjay Part 1 was down 74% Looks like a drop in the 50’s is likely rather than the 60s. |
Author: | Shack [ Wed Nov 29, 2023 7:43 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: December 1-3 Predictions |
Hunger Games just keep going would make sense as it’s emerged as the movie of the moment |
Author: | O [ Thu Nov 30, 2023 12:35 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: December 1-3 Predictions |
Marvels' demise resulted in The Hunger Games' rise! Mockingjay 2 made $281,723,902 in 2015 from a $160M budget. $68.9M marketing budget. HG could do $160M domestic this time around from a $100M budget. Some estimates I saw online mentioned a marketing budget of $65M-100M but I think given the strike it didn't reach that level. Taking out overseas and marketing budgets since about the same, MJ2's gross to budget ratio was 1.761. HG would be at 1.6X if it finishes at $160M. $176.1M and it'd be at MJ2's ratio. This very much feels like a successful franchise re-launch like Batman Begins post Batman and Robin. Good job Lionsgate! Managing expectations with lean budgets pays off when quality is involved. |
Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Thu Nov 30, 2023 12:44 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: December 1-3 Predictions |
Its still only gonna make like half of the worst performing one with Jlaw so lets not get too excited. If Wonka really is like Paddington 2 then it should takeover as the movie of the moment. My $28M prediction for Beyonce already looking too high. The showings around here are doing well but it has so many fewer than Eras. Probably closer to $18M now. I totally thought Godzilla Minus One was anime. Oops. Gonna see Saltburn next Tuesday I think. I like that the reception is so mixed. The original premise sounded meh though I still would have watched it at home since I loved PYW. |
Author: | O [ Fri Dec 01, 2023 3:51 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: December 1-3 Predictions |
HG's dailies have been i'd argue it's most impressive #'s of its run so far! It's significantly closing the gap with CF's dailies and I'm projecting a $16.172M 3rd weekend (-44.31%), which is if the dailies follow CF's 3rd weekend pattern. If Renaissance does underwhelm there's a slight chance HG pulls 3 weekends in a row (outside chance for next week's movies don't cause a dent). |
Author: | Algren [ Tue Jan 09, 2024 6:08 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: December 1-3 Predictions |
zwackerm wrote: Renaissance 35m It didn't make that total. Rev wrote: Renaissance 50m You need to stop adding a black premium when you predict, dude. It ain't 2018 anymore. |
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