Ah fuck it.
The most popular character of the millennium returns in the film we always wanted and never thought we would get. And apparently the film delivers. It was never about the action, it's about the acting.
$200m opening weekend confirmed
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Thu Sep 12, 2019 7:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Obviously tracking says $90m and $82m so Excel makes a conclusion that it will open to $200m+. I wonder if the tracking was actually $200m then Excel would suggest possibly a $500m+ OW? Also it only says males numbers which is essentially 50%-60% of the total audience. |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Fri Sep 13, 2019 9:31 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
76% on RT after 91 reviews. Tracking at 75-90 million right now. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Fri Sep 13, 2019 11:52 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Not exactly glowing with "just" 76% at RT but that won't affect its BO by any chance though it might impact nominations outside of Phoenix. |
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Sun Sep 15, 2019 4:11 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Thegun wrote: 76% on RT after 91 reviews. Tracking at 75-90 million right now. Sounds about right. It's an artsy, divisive take on a character we've seen twice already in the last decade. |
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| Author: | Excel [ Mon Sep 23, 2019 3:14 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
140/385 sounds right |
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| Author: | Excel [ Mon Sep 23, 2019 10:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Ah fuck it. The most popular character of the millennium returns in the film we always wanted and never thought we would get. And apparently the film delivers. It was never about the action, it's about the acting. $200m opening weekend confirmed
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| Author: | MadGez [ Wed Sep 25, 2019 7:01 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
I can something like $105m/$240m which would be huge considering the legs will be cut-back somewhat due to it being a different film than many expected. |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Sat Oct 05, 2019 6:03 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Logan will remain the benchmark. I see about 230 from that |
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| Author: | Jiffy [ Thu Oct 10, 2019 2:14 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Hmm I guess there's a chance this happens OS/WW. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Thu Oct 10, 2019 9:09 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Still too early. Let's wait for the hold this upcoming weekend. OS audience were not buoyed by the controversy or security concerns. |
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| Author: | Omni [ Fri Oct 11, 2019 4:05 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
The movie is posting great weekdays OS and in many places WOM is crazy good. Passing Deadpool OS is totally locked, passing it WW is like 99% sure. Goal is Batman vs Superman's WW total. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Fri Oct 11, 2019 1:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
This is happening for sure. Just not the way it was initially predicted. |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Fri Oct 11, 2019 1:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
It's not passing Passion of the Christ. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Fri Oct 11, 2019 2:07 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
You will change your mind once you see this weekend numbers. |
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| Author: | Dil [ Fri Oct 11, 2019 2:56 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Lawd if this actually happens that would be fucking insane. |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Sat Oct 12, 2019 10:52 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Official Friday estimate is $17 million, meaning it's doing $55 million bare minimum, but it could go as high as $60 million. From there it would need a 3.9 multiplier or so to top Passion. Considering its drop this weekend will be even smaller than Wonder Woman's 2nd weekend drop...that is not impossible. |
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| Author: | Thatguy [ Sat Oct 12, 2019 1:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Magnus wrote: The biggest positive sign for me is that Jokers Friday is only down 35% from its non preview Friday. The Martian was down 31.5% from a similar spot. That ended with a 4.22 multi from its second weekend. So even if Joker holds slightly less than it over time, it can still get to the 3.95-4.05 multi it will likely need for this to happen. Anything is possible at this point. Given the excellent WOM, if the film starts to move more into the cultural zeitgeist, holds could get even stronger. |
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| Author: | Jiffy [ Mon Oct 14, 2019 10:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Someone on BOT posted a Reddit observation that once Joker surpasses Deadpool 2 WW ($785m), 2019 will have produced the all-time highest-grossing film WW for each of the four main rating categories: R = Joker (TBD) PG-13 = Endgame ($2.798B) PG = The Lion King ($1.649B) G = Toy Story 4 ($1.070B) |
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| Author: | Thatguy [ Tue Oct 15, 2019 3:24 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Jiffy wrote: Someone on BOT posted a Reddit observation that once Joker surpasses Deadpool 2 WW ($785m), 2019 will have produced the all-time highest-grossing film WW for each of the four main rating categories: R = Joker (TBD) PG-13 = Endgame ($2.798B) PG = The Lion King ($1.649B) G = Toy Story 4 ($1.070B) That's pretty wild. 2019 is just one of those years then. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Tue Oct 15, 2019 9:09 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
So we are looking at anywhere between $360-$410m domestic right now. Pretty amazing. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Oct 25, 2019 3:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Welp. WW it happened. |
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| Author: | Rev [ Fri Oct 25, 2019 4:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Jiffy wrote: Someone on BOT posted a Reddit observation that once Joker surpasses Deadpool 2 WW ($785m), 2019 will have produced the all-time highest-grossing film WW for each of the four main rating categories: R = Joker (TBD) PG-13 = Endgame ($2.798B) PG = The Lion King ($1.649B) G = Toy Story 4 ($1.070B) Don't rule out Frozen 2 from overtaking The Lion King. The first Frozen grossed $1.276 billion. I can see Frozen 2 over performing and top $1.7 billion. Taking the PG crown from TLK. |
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| Author: | Omni [ Sat Oct 26, 2019 6:07 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Not going to happen. Frozen 2 has much worse ERs than the original, likely won't have any substantial help from China and will drop from the crazy 250M grossed in Japan. A 10% overall growth from #1 (500+900) would be great. |
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| Author: | Rev [ Sat Oct 26, 2019 9:19 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
Omni wrote: Not going to happen. Frozen 2 has much worse ERs than the original, likely won't have any substantial help from China and will drop from the crazy 250M grossed in Japan. A 10% overall growth from #1 (500+900) would be great. That's most likely what will happen but I'm not ruling it out from over performing. |
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| Author: | Excel [ Sun Nov 03, 2019 2:34 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club |
ROTK, Skyfall and Joker = only films to do $700m OS w/o China |
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