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Thursday Numbers
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=85963		 Page 1 of 2
Author:  mark66 [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 11:39 am ]
Post subject:  Thursday Numbers
$23m LION KING previews
Author:  i.hope [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 11:40 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
$80m+ Friday?
Author:  Dil [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 11:47 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
A $200M+ OW is pretty much a lock with that number unless it ends up being really frontloaded.
Author:  nghtvsn [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 11:56 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
Dil wrote:
A $200M+ OW is pretty much a lock with that number unless it ends up being really frontloaded.


Wonderful!
Author:  Rev [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 12:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
i.hope wrote:
$80m+ Friday?

Hopefully closer to $90m
Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 12:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
A BATB multiple gets it to 92m OD. So I think 80m OD to account for more front loading sounds good. Then maybe 190m OW. Hopefully it tumbles from here though.
Author:  Omni [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 1:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
I've got a feeling OD will stop in the 70's.
Author:  Chippy [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 1:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
I've got a feeling it's gonna hit $100 mil OD.
Author:  nghtvsn [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 1:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
Omni wrote:
I've got a feeling OD will stop in the 70's.


Nah
Author:  Barrabás [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 1:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
Welp, the Disney machine wins again. Audiences truly are sheep.
Author:  Keyser Söze [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 2:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
Charlie is saying 93m OD. if that is true 225m OW is happening and it could be targeting 700m + Domestic. It has open runway rest of the summer.

Overseas its doing great in almost every market. Could hit 1B OS.
Author:  Moviebuf [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 2:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
I don't understand why so many people are rooting against Disney. They are the only studio keeping the movie industry going right now.

Rooting against them means box office as a whole is in trouble.

Why are you rooting for them to fail? I just don't get it.

I would understand if there is another obvious movie or studio to root for, but there isn't right now.
Author:  Proud Ryu [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 2:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
The ceiling should be 95. The floor should be 75. I would guess low/mid 80's.

In the event it doesn't reach 80 then we know people are probably becoming polarized about watching disney remakes. If it hits 90, there's no sign of fatigue at all.
Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 3:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
81m estimate from Deadline based on matinees. Hope evening shows are weaker than expected.

I don't feel bad rooting against this movie because the only way we will get high quality original movies is if our dollars stop going to stuff like this.
Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 3:41 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
I was thinking 25/50 so this is in the right range. This is the middle of July so I’d be very stunned to see it get any multipliers as good as Beast.
Author:  Omni [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 3:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
zwackerm wrote:
I don't feel bad rooting against this movie because the only way we will get high quality original movies is if our dollars stop going to stuff like this.


Says the guy with Mary Poppins Returns as his avatar AND signature.
Author:  nghtvsn [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 3:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
zwackerm wrote:
81m estimate from Deadline based on matinees. Hope evening shows are weaker than expected.

I don't feel bad rooting against this movie because the only way we will get high quality original movies is if our dollars stop going to stuff like this.


Are you only wanting original Disney movies...please. There's plenty of original movies to go along with a remade TLK in a new visual experience. Besides, they'll run out of original Disney flicks to remake at some point anyway
Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 4:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
Omni wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
I don't feel bad rooting against this movie because the only way we will get high quality original movies is if our dollars stop going to stuff like this.


Says the guy with Mary Poppins Returns as his avatar AND signature.

That made less total than this will make opening weekend. And it was similar in structure to the original, but not merely a shot for shot update like this is.
Author:  Jiffy [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 4:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
Omni wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
I don't feel bad rooting against this movie because the only way we will get high quality original movies is if our dollars stop going to stuff like this.


Says the guy with Mary Poppins Returns as his avatar AND signature.


You beat me to it. :funny:
Author:  Proud Ryu [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 5:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
https://variety.com/2019/film/box-offic ... 203271801/

This covers most of what's going on. For one, people are not very risk tolerant right now, and Disney still has a good reputation outside of Star Wars. But the remakes are succeeding in large part because of nostalgia for a nicer, simpler time culturally. Can't blame them. All you hear/see on the internet, radio, tv is how abominable this or that side of the political isle is.
Author:  Mau [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
zwackerm wrote:
81m estimate from Deadline based on matinees. Hope evening shows are weaker than expected.

I don't feel bad rooting against this movie because the only way we will get high quality original movies is if our dollars stop going to stuff like this.

Lilololol lolololololol

Goooo Lion King be the king you're meant to be
Author:  Barrabás [ Sat Jul 20, 2019 2:32 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
Keyser Söze wrote:
Charlie is saying 93m OD. if that is true 225m OW is happening and it could be targeting 700m + Domestic. It has open runway rest of the summer.

Overseas its doing great in almost every market. Could hit 1B OS.


I-

Ok then. And with Frozen II on the way Disney has yet ANOTHER mega-grosser in store this year. I still think Star Wars will have an ugly Matrix Revolutions type drop.
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sat Jul 20, 2019 10:42 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
Rth's range 10 hours back was $76.5-$78.5 down from $78-$82.

Deadline's new number has TLK at $78m down from $81m though they somehow increased the weekend predictions in range $196m-$200m
Author:  Chippy [ Sat Jul 20, 2019 10:51 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
zwackerm wrote:
81m estimate from Deadline based on matinees. Hope evening shows are weaker than expected.

I don't feel bad rooting against this movie because the only way we will get high quality original movies is if our dollars stop going to stuff like this.


But our dollars AREN'T going to other movies. It's not like there aren't original films out there. People just aren't seeing them. You've had your chance.
Author:  i.hope [ Sat Jul 20, 2019 11:15 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers
1. The Lion King (2019) $78,520,000
2. Spider-Man: Far from Home $6,010,000
3. Toy Story 4 $4,370,000
4. Crawl $1,725,000
5. Yesterday $1,390,000
6. Stuber $1,140,000
7. Aladdin (2019) $1,111,000
8. Annabelle Comes Home $815,000
9. Midsommar $490,620
10. The Secret Life of Pets 2 $420,000
11. Avengers: Endgame $367,000
12. The Art of Self-Defense $360,000

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?view=1day&sortdate=2019-07-19&p=.htm
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