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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 Thursday #'s/Previews Dark Phoenix - $5m
The Secret Life of Pets 2 - $2.3m
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Making Predictions Great Again!
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 10:50 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews Quite the drop for SLOP2 from the first.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 10:51 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews Less than Godzilla doesn't seem great for Dark Phoenix. $60m is definitely out, thinking it lands around $45m.
Expected drop for SLOP2, $60-65m still within reach.
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 10:52 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews LOL at both flops.
Gimme Toy Story 4 now!
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 1:30 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23776
Location: Classified
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews DL says $47M for Pets and $36M for Dark Phoenix.  Hopefully we get some good holds in Flop City.
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 3:41 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews Usually shitty openers don't lead to great drops for holdovers. People will just stay away from the theater.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 3:46 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23776
Location: Classified
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews They’re projecting $46M off a $17M Friday but that doesn’t seem right. Still a lot of schools open, enough for a 3X multiplier at least. We will see.
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 3:53 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews Magnus wrote: A comparison of franchise peaks vs. lows:
X-Men: 322m (X3 adjusted) vs. 80m (likely end total for DP right now) = 75% loss
Spider-Man: 626m (SM1 adjusted) vs. 219m (ASM2 adjuste) = 65% loss
Batman: 669m (TDK adjusted) vs. 210m (B&R adjusted) = 69% loss
So DP will likely be a worse performer than ASM2 and B&R. And frankly, the 80m projection I have is maybe optimistic and it could do sub-75m which would mean almost a 78% loss Though DP is being dumped by Disney unlike the others.
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 3:54 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews Under $50m would be bad for SLOP2. it has a huge theater count and cute dogs, after all.
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 3:55 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20345
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews Die Pets 2, die!
Finally a well deserved disappointment for Unilluminating Entertainment.
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 4:09 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18876
Location: San Diego
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews And to think we had Incredibles 2 and JW2 open back to back 1 yrar ago lol... these openers [DP, Pets, MIB, Shaft] OW together won't even be more than Incredibles 2 OW.
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 4:11 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18876
Location: San Diego
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews Doubt these stick but  Quote: Legendary/Warner Bros’ Godzilla: King of the Monsters looks like $4M in its second Friday, -79%. That’s aimed at a second downer of a weekend of $14.5M, off 69%, with a running total by Sunday of $77.5M.
Paramount’s Rocketman is seeing $3M today, -67%, for a second weekend of $11M, -57% and a 10-day total of $47.5M.
Universal/Blumhouse’s Ma is seeing $2M today, -72%, for a three-day total of $7M, -61%, and a 10-day of $31.9M.
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 5:22 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm
Posts: 6139
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews publicenemy#1 wrote: Doubt these stick but Quote: Legendary/Warner Bros’ Godzilla: King of the Monsters looks like $4M in its second Friday, -79%. That’s aimed at a second downer of a weekend of $14.5M, off 69%, with a running total by Sunday of $77.5M.
Paramount’s Rocketman is seeing $3M today, -67%, for a second weekend of $11M, -57% and a 10-day total of $47.5M.
Universal/Blumhouse’s Ma is seeing $2M today, -72%, for a three-day total of $7M, -61%, and a 10-day of $31.9M. Wtf @ Rocketman
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 5:24 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews Chippy wrote: Usually shitty openers don't lead to great drops for holdovers. People will just stay away from the theater.  _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 5:25 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews I think MIBI will do... fine? I think even a $35 mil OW for it would be pretty good! Considering!
Shaft will probably open under $15 mil.
But then we get Toy Story, Annabelle, Yesterday, Spider-Man, a break, then LION KING, Hollywood, Hobbs/Shaw, then... nothing... until It 2. From then on it's not too bad!
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 6:14 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews I'm still waiting for the Lion King trailer that showcases Beyonce singing. Lock up the top spot for 2019.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 6:21 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14480
Location: Everywhere
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews Really good Thursday for Aladdin. 26% week to week. The Thursday hold also means openers and screen losses won’t hurt it too much. Looking promising for this weekend.
Pets was a gimmick that got the attention of pet lovers. That doesn’t necessarily translate into loyalty for the movies though. Now the sequel no longer stands out.
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 6:43 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm
Posts: 6139
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews Has been there a big increase in movie/TV streaming over the last 6 months? Maybe we've reached a tipping point where most people will only go to the theatre about once a month and only for a mega movie (aka Disney's release strategy).
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 6:44 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14480
Location: Everywhere
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Re: Thursday #'s/Previews Yeah you could argue it’s just Disney, but the mega event films keep taking a larger share of the annual BO.
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| Fri Jun 07, 2019 6:48 pm |
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