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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18876 Location: San Diego
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May 17-19 predictions
John Wick Chapter 3 - Parabellum - 3,600+ A Dog's Journey - 3,200 The Sun is Also a Star - 2,100+
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Sat May 11, 2019 4:22 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18876 Location: San Diego
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
John Wick - 45 A Dog's Journey - 14 The Sun is Also a Star - 5.5
Detective Pikachu - 57% drop
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Sat May 11, 2019 4:25 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11516
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
I love the John Wick franchise. Each new film it keeps growing on me. It's a mini-nostalgic Matrix experience where the sequel keeps up with the original.
Probably just gets past $100 m but would be awesome to see $150 m.
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Sat May 11, 2019 8:45 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
This is the finale, so I think it passes $100m.
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Sat May 11, 2019 8:54 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
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Last edited by Magic Mike on Thu May 16, 2019 12:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat May 11, 2019 11:01 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
John Wick - 50 A Dog's Journey - 13 The Sun is Also a Star - 7
Detective Pikachu -55% Endgame -50%
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Tue May 14, 2019 3:19 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
John Wick 3 will make over $60m.
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Tue May 14, 2019 3:32 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22679 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
John Wick - 55 A Dog's Journey - 12 The Sun is Also a Star - 6
Detective Pikachu -53% Endgame -48%
_________________
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Tue May 14, 2019 9:20 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23772 Location: Classified
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
$50M sounds right. Game of Thrones finale will keep it from breaking out too much, but the hype is there.
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Tue May 14, 2019 2:04 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32101 Location: the last free city
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
John Wick - 55m A Dog's Journey - 10m The Sun is Also a Star - 5m
Detective Pikachu -60% Endgame -56%
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Tue May 14, 2019 3:30 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
Rev wrote: John Wick - 55m A Dog's Journey - 10m The Sun is Also a Star - 5m
Detective Pikachu -60% Endgame -56% Seems harsh for both Pikachu and Endgame. Pikachu did not huge previews or huge MD boost. So it should not not do too bad though its losing PLF it had last week. I would say 55% drop for it. Endgame should stabilize this week, I am thinking high 40’s or at worst 50% drop. JW3 - 60m (PS for one large MTC is at 2.3m which is awesome) Other openers no idea.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue May 14, 2019 3:34 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
John Wick 3 - 56 A Dog's Journey - 13.5 The Sun is Also a Star - 4.5
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Tue May 14, 2019 9:37 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
Based on early tuesday estimates for Endgame,its already below Infinity War. It should not drop as hard as IW on thursday as that was affected by Deadpool's opening but it does not look like grossing lot more than IW's 3rd weekend of 29.45m. So it looks like another 50%+ drop for Endgame unless it has a soft wednesday drop.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Wed May 15, 2019 1:26 am |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm Posts: 7172 Location: Wisconsin
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
I don't understand all the inflated predictions for Wick. The last one opened just over 30M. If this one managed close to 40M that would be excellent.
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Wed May 15, 2019 11:22 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
John Wick opened to $14.4 mil, finished with $43.0 mil, a 2.985 multiplier.
John Wick 2 opened to $30.4 mil, finished with $92.0 mil, a 3.024 multiplier.
John Wick 3 could easily double the OW again. Especially because JW2 opened in FEBRUARY, against two other $45+ mil openers.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Wed May 15, 2019 11:47 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
SolC9 wrote: I don't understand all the inflated predictions for Wick. The last one opened just over 30M. If this one managed close to 40M that would be excellent. I agree. It's tracking in the $30-35m range, which is fine for it. It's not going to increase 100% like Wick 2.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Wed May 15, 2019 11:58 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote: SolC9 wrote: I don't understand all the inflated predictions for Wick. The last one opened just over 30M. If this one managed close to 40M that would be excellent. I agree. It's tracking in the $30-35m range, which is fine for it. It's not going to increase 100% like Wick 2. one of the posters at BOT with access to MTC numbers for a major chain starting with A has reported PS numbers which are very impressive. No reason its a fanboy driven movie. Plus strong reviews will drive in adults. No way its opening like the 2nd movie.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Wed May 15, 2019 1:25 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
1. JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 3 - PARABELLUM - 56.8 MILLION (New) 2. AVENGERS: ENDGAME - 32.28 MILLION (-49%) 3. DETECTIVE PIKACHU - 25 MILLION (-54%) 4. A DOG'S JOURNEY - 9 MILLION (New) 5. THE HUSTLE - 6.764 MILLION (-48%) 6. THE SUN IS ALSO A STAR - 5.9 MILLION (New) 7. THE INTRUDER - 4.17 MILLION (-42%) 8. LONG SHOT - 3.449 MILLION (-45%) 9. POMS - 3.056 MILLION (-43%) 10. UGLYDOLLS - 2.156 MILLION (-48%) 11. BREAKTHROUGH - 1.5 MILLION (-41%) 12. TOLKIEN - 1.056 MILLION (-52%) 13. THE CURSE OF LA LLORONA - $870,309 (-53%) 14. CAPTAIN MARVEL - $849,342 (-54%) 15. SHAZAM! - $464,933 (-55%)
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Thu May 16, 2019 12:35 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
SolC9 wrote: I don't understand all the inflated predictions for Wick. The last one opened just over 30M. If this one managed close to 40M that would be excellent. I think opening against two other huge openers hurt Chapter 2 even if it did great. This one is the big movie this weekend. Plus after that huge cliffhanger ending I feel people will be anxious to see Chapter 3.
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Thu May 16, 2019 12:44 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
I don't see how Endgame avoids another 50%+ drop this weekend.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Thu May 16, 2019 11:23 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
Chippy wrote: I don't see how Endgame avoids another 50%+ drop this weekend. +1. Wick took two of the screens we had it on here. Just two left for a three hour movie.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Thu May 16, 2019 12:15 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23772 Location: Classified
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
Chapter 2 also greatly expanded on the world of John Wick, turning from a revenge-actioner to more of a fantasy-action movie. Anyone and everyone could be a secret assassin just like anyone could be a wizard or a vampire. People like that kind of stuff.
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Thu May 16, 2019 1:15 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
Wednesday is 10% below IW. Endgame is dropping close to 55%.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Thu May 16, 2019 1:36 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
Yeah its week to week holds are >10% than IWs, and IW ended up dropping 52.6% on this next weekend. I wouldn't be shocked with a 60% drop (though I think it will probably be around 57%)
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Thu May 16, 2019 3:50 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18876 Location: San Diego
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Re: May 17-19 predictions
57%+ drop would put its 4th weekend not in top 10 4th weekends.
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Thu May 16, 2019 4:21 pm |
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