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 May 10-12 predictions 

Will Detective Pikachu open to 80m+
80m+ 45%  45%  [ 5 ]
Probably 65-79m 36%  36%  [ 4 ]
Under 65 18%  18%  [ 2 ]
Total votes : 11

 May 10-12 predictions 
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Extraordinary
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Post May 10-12 predictions
Detective Pikachu - 4,100+
The Hustle - 2,750
Poms - 2,700+
Tolkein - 1,300

Poms previews start at 3pm... lol they should've just opened it Thursday.


Last edited by publicenemy#1 on Sun May 05, 2019 3:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat May 04, 2019 4:56 am
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Homo Dperious
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Detective Pikachu - 4,100+
The Hustle - 2,750
Poms - 2,700+
Tolkein - 1,300

Poms previews start at 3pm... lol they should've just opened it Thursday.


Need the friday opening officially for all the records it's going to break.


Sat May 04, 2019 7:36 am
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The Kramer
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
Pikachu has had terrific marketing and has surely riled up the millions of Pokemon fans.

I feel like it needed another week of buzz and better reviews to reach its potential though. True Pokemasters won’t care, but the GA will roll their eyes and say “here we go again with the video games.”

$80M


Sat May 04, 2019 11:15 am
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Detective Pikachu - 4,100+
The Hustle - 2,750
Poms - 2,700+
Tolkein - 1,300

Poms previews start at 3pm... lol they should've just opened it Thursday.


Is this because old people don't want to stay up late?

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Sat May 04, 2019 11:45 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
Detective Pikachu - 90 (hoping for more but idk, not feeling huge hype)
The Hustle - 10 (this should be doing more but marketing seems muted)
Poms - 12 (will get the Book Club audience)
Tolkein - 4

If Avengers does around 145m this weekend and Pikachu does 90m would need a sub-40% drop to stay #1. Not likely unless Pikachu goes below 80.


Sat May 04, 2019 1:53 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
Mother's Day should help The Hustle and Poms.

The Hustle - $13m
Poms - $10m


Sat May 04, 2019 4:07 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
Shack wrote:
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Detective Pikachu - 4,100+
The Hustle - 2,750
Poms - 2,700+
Tolkein - 1,300

Poms previews start at 3pm... lol they should've just opened it Thursday.


Is this because old people don't want to stay up late?


This is aiming for the over 60 crowd who tend to wake up early and sleep early and also have early dinners.

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Sat May 04, 2019 6:06 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
Detective Pikachu - 75m
The Hustle - 15m
Poms - 13m
Tolkein - 5m

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Sat May 04, 2019 6:07 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
Detective Pikachu - 80
The Hustle - 12
Poms - 9


Mon May 06, 2019 1:07 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
Detective Pikachu - 44
The Hustle - 11
Poms - 12

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Mon May 06, 2019 1:44 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
Pikachu - $38m


Mon May 06, 2019 7:38 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
I think this will do 80m. Venom comes to mind. It had huge buzz when the trailers came out but felt more muted and like it was being overshadowed by A Star is Born by the time it came out. But it still did huge numbers anyway.


Mon May 06, 2019 7:50 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
i.hope wrote:
Mother's Day should help The Hustle and Poms.

The Hustle - $13m
Poms - $10m


Pokemon: Detective Pikachu - $67m
Toiken - $3m


Mon May 06, 2019 9:13 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
Detective Pikachu - $40m
The Hustle - $19m
Poms - $14m
Tolkein - $1.5m


Mon May 06, 2019 10:20 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
The Hustle should have way more buzz. It's funny that all these female movies got green-lit in the last few years but the attendance has not matched the outcry for more female lead roles. This will probably be another casualty.


Mon May 06, 2019 11:59 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
Yeah something like The Hustle should be an easy $20m+ opener (even in this day and age where comedies and mid size films struggle). It will struggle to get low double digits.

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Tue May 07, 2019 12:05 am
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
MadGez wrote:
Yeah something like The Hustle should be an easy $20m+ opener (even in this day and age where comedies and mid size films struggle). It will struggle to get low double digits.


I disagree. It's too much to expect a comedy distributed by a non-major studio to open to $20m+ when studio comedies such as Game Night, Blockers, and What Men Want missed/barely managed $20m OW.


Tue May 07, 2019 12:47 am
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
Dude, it stars Anne Hathaway and Rebel Wilson for fuck's sake. It's not a little indie comedy from A24 with teenage nobodies. It's a broad high-profile comedy with a great release date.


Tue May 07, 2019 1:03 am
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
Algren wrote:
Dude, it stars Anne Hathaway and Rebel Wilson for fuck's sake. It's not a little indie comedy from A24 with teenage nobodies. It's a broad high-profile comedy with a great release date.


Distributors matter.


Tue May 07, 2019 1:08 am
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
No shit. But it's still in 2,700 cinemas, and that's what we're kinda saying anyway....that this type of film should be making $20m opening but because of factors such as the distro it's not even challenging for that.


Tue May 07, 2019 1:12 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
Pikachu ain't going below 45m opening. It's selling pretty well in my area.


Tue May 07, 2019 2:04 am
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
Endgame - 70m
Detective Pikachu - 55m
The Hustle - 12m
Poms - 9m
Tolkein - 4m

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Tue May 07, 2019 5:43 am
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Pikachu ain't going below 45m opening. It's selling pretty well in my area.
Gosh a month ago this would have been a good debate about its opening day. Hopefully the overwhelmingly positive reactions to Endgame are just masking the hype for Pika.


Tue May 07, 2019 10:53 am
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
Pikachu will draw fans, and there's a lot of them. My concern is the pervasive silence among casual moviegoers. No video game adaptation has cracked $50m and I'm not sensing this will, either.

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Tue May 07, 2019 12:07 pm
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Post Re: May 10-12 predictions
I’m baffled as to why Nintendo hasn’t announced anything about the new Switch games this week. It’s a perfect opportunity for cross promotion.

At least Pokemon Go is doing a Detective Pikachu special event.


Tue May 07, 2019 2:33 pm
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