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KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - FINAL RESULTS (Page 5)
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Author:  Magic Mike [ Wed May 01, 2019 1:19 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
Algren wrote:
Pikachu won't hit #1 on any of its weekends, but it just won't be the highest-grossing one to not, so it's not worth choosing it.


I don't know what other movie that might not be #1 on any weekend would beat its gross.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Wed May 01, 2019 6:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
Never mind. I'm pretty convinced Pikachu will be #1 opening weekend.
Author:  Rev [ Wed May 01, 2019 9:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
Magic Mike wrote:
Never mind. I'm pretty convinced Pikachu will be #1 opening weekend.

You think it’ll top 70m OW?
Author:  Magic Mike [ Wed May 01, 2019 10:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
Rev wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Never mind. I'm pretty convinced Pikachu will be #1 opening weekend.

You think it’ll top 70m OW?


I do.
Author:  BK [ Wed May 01, 2019 11:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
MGKC wrote:
Link to my data (feel free to proofread yours to make sure I entered them in right):
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing


How do I access the movie predictions after Rocketman?
Author:  MGKC [ Thu May 02, 2019 11:47 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
BK wrote:
MGKC wrote:
Link to my data (feel free to proofread yours to make sure I entered them in right):
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing


How do I access the movie predictions after Rocketman?

Sorry - go to the "Database" tab for now.

I apologize on the slowness of the other charts. Still working on them! :)
Author:  zwackerm [ Thu May 02, 2019 12:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
Magic Mike wrote:
Rev wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Never mind. I'm pretty convinced Pikachu will be #1 opening weekend.

You think it’ll top 70m OW?


I do.

I think before Endgame it was trending for well over 100m OW. Endgame certainly dampened buzz but I’d certainly not be surprised by over 100m still.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Thu May 02, 2019 3:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
At least the trailer seems to be showing before a lot of prints of Endgame.
Author:  MGKC [ Fri May 03, 2019 11:56 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
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Author:  MGKC [ Sat May 04, 2019 12:00 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
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Author:  MGKC [ Sat May 04, 2019 12:04 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
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Author:  MGKC [ Sat May 04, 2019 12:16 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
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Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sat May 04, 2019 1:08 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
Ad Astra is moved out of the summer season

Quote:
Brad Pitt’s science-fiction adventure movie “Ad Astra” has quietly vanished from the release schedule, three weeks prior to its previously announced May 24 opening date.

Fox had originally dated “Ad Astra” for Jan. 11, 2019, then decided in late 2018 to move it back four months to the Memorial Day weekend on May 24. Disney closed the deal for the 20th Century Fox film assets in March and has not done any promotion for the movie since then — no trailer or stills have been released. “Ad Astra” was not included in early tracking numbers released Thursday for the Memorial Day period, expected to be dominated by Disney’s live-action “Aladdin.”


https://variety.com/2019/film/news/brad ... 203203583/
Author:  BK [ Sat May 04, 2019 5:32 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
Does that mean #7 is out? Or did we change it so that since it is not directly referenced in a question, it's OK?
Author:  Price [ Sat May 04, 2019 7:24 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
BK wrote:
Does that mean #7 is out? Or did we change it so that since it is not directly referenced in a question, it's OK?


You're right with the second part. Although I think it has never been changed, it has always been this way. Only questions 1-5 can be voided as they refer to specific movies.
Author:  MGKC [ Sat May 04, 2019 8:44 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
Price wrote:
BK wrote:
Does that mean #7 is out? Or did we change it so that since it is not directly referenced in a question, it's OK?


You're right with the second part. Although I think it has never been changed, it has always been this way. Only questions 1-5 can be voided as they refer to specific movies.

It was close, but yep - question #7 still stands, as only 21% of people named it.

Release changes
TOTAL GROSS PREDICTIONS - Backup movies are in place in case any of the 30 predicted movies change their release date. (Once a movie moves its release date outside our season window, the first backup movie listed comes into play.)
TOP 5 PREDICTIONS - Only the 30 predicted movies (and 2 backup movies) are eligible for the Top 5 ranking, so no blockbuster that gets released last-minute into the season will be eligible. If a movie that appears in over 30% of Top 5 predictions moves out of the season, then affected players' Top 5 predictions will be automatically adjusted with what was their next highest-predicted movie.
BOX OFFICE QUESTIONS - A box office question will be voided in the following scenarios:
-The movie with the release date change is specifically mentioned in the question
-The movie with the release date change appears in over 30% of player responses to the question
Author:  Algren [ Sat May 04, 2019 10:33 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
Those that chose Ad Astra for question 7 obviously weren't thinking straight.
Author:  stuffp [ Sat May 04, 2019 11:15 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
Or is the answer in fact Ad Astra because it went from a wide opening to 0 before it even got to its third weekend this summer.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Sat May 04, 2019 4:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
I don't see how anyone could have thought that was making that date without a trailer yet.
Author:  Jonathan [ Sun May 05, 2019 1:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
Algren wrote:
Those that chose Ad Astra for question 7 obviously weren't thinking straight.


Not that it matters much, because I'm pretty sure UglyDolls is gonna clinch that question now. :mer:
Author:  exxdee13 [ Tue May 07, 2019 3:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
New Mutants and Artemis Fowl both moved by Disney to 2020. All backups in play now. Luckily no box office extra questions were harmed
Author:  MGKC [ Tue May 07, 2019 6:02 pm ]
Post subject: 
Movie Predictions

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Prediction Stats

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Top 5 Ranking

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Box Office Questions

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Author:  MGKC [ Tue May 07, 2019 6:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019
Weekly Ranking for May 5

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Total Gross Projections
Avengers: Endgame - $900 million
The Intruder - $30 million
Uglydolls - $26 million

Current Top 5
1. Avengers: Endgame - $621.3 million
2. The Intruder - $10.9 million
3. Uglydolls - $8.6 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Avengers: Endgame's 3-day opening weekend or the total gross of Aladdin?
  • Avengers: Endgame's 3-day opening weekend ($357.1 million)

#2: Which will gross more in total - the family combo of Detective Pikachu, Dora and the Lost City of Gold, and Uglydolls or the adult combo of Child's Play, Hobbs & Shaw, The Intruder, Ma, and Shaft?
  • The adult combo of Child's Play, Hobbs & Shaw, The Intruder, Ma, and Shaft (currently $10.9 million)

#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - The Angry Birds 2, Annabelle Comes Home, Avengers: Endgame, A Dog's Journey, John Wick: Chapter 3, Men in Black International, The Secret Life of Pets 2, Spider-Man: Far From Home, or Toy Story 4?
  • Avengers: Endgame (-8.5%)

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Glass, Happy Death Day 2U, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, or The LEGO Movie 2?
  • Avengers: Endgame (-8.5%)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • The Intruder (currently $10.9 million)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • One (Avengers: Endgame)

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
  • One (Avengers: Endgame)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Long Shot (currently $9.7 million)
Author:  moviegeek151 [ Wed May 08, 2019 2:12 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Charts on Page #3
Ad Astra and Artemis Fowl moved out of the summer.

And Rocketman just got slapped with an R-rating which would chop my prediction down by about half. Ugh.
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Wed May 08, 2019 2:40 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2019 - Charts on Page #3
moviegeek151 wrote:
Ad Astra and Artemis Fowl moved out of the summer.

And Rocketman just got slapped with an R-rating which would chop my prediction down by about half. Ugh.


I just remembered this :P

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