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KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - OVERALL RESULTS
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=85186		 Page 5 of 5
Author:  SolC9 [ Mon Apr 01, 2019 2:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Yeah, Dumbo may be what, #5?

It'll likely be Captain Marvel, Us, Shazam, HTTYD and Dumbo? Unless Shazam disappoints.


Shazam might even beat Us. Depends on the opening. WOM should be good, but Avengers.
Author:  zwackerm [ Mon Apr 01, 2019 2:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
Shazam is opening on par with Dumbo and will have worse legs.

It will be

CM
Us
Dragon
Dumbo
Shazam
Author:  Chippy [ Mon Apr 01, 2019 2:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
zwackerm wrote:
Shazam is opening on par with Dumbo and will have worse legs.

It will be

CM
Us
Dragon
Dumbo
Shazam


Why would it have worse legs? The last two DC solo films have had 4.0+ multipliers. Dumbo will be lucky to hit a 3 multiplier.
Author:  zwackerm [ Mon Apr 01, 2019 6:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
Chippy wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Shazam is opening on par with Dumbo and will have worse legs.

It will be

CM
Us
Dragon
Dumbo
Shazam


Why would it have worse legs? The last two DC solo films have had 4.0+ multipliers. Dumbo will be lucky to hit a 3 multiplier.


Endgame will hurt it and Dumbo will have good legs.
Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Mon Apr 01, 2019 6:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
Yeah, Shazam is gonna have stellar WoM. It should get a 3 multiplier, which I doubt Dumbo will get.
Author:  Chippy [ Mon Apr 01, 2019 7:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
zwackerm wrote:
Chippy wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Shazam is opening on par with Dumbo and will have worse legs.

It will be

CM
Us
Dragon
Dumbo
Shazam


Why would it have worse legs? The last two DC solo films have had 4.0+ multipliers. Dumbo will be lucky to hit a 3 multiplier.


Endgame will hurt it and Dumbo will have good legs.


Shazam will (probably) open somewhere between $45-65 mil, have good 2nd weekend drop (dumbo won't) and a good 3rd weekend drop. By Endgame weekend, it will be making either $15 mil or less each weekend. WHY will Dumbo have good legs? It's 59% audience score on RT? Burton films RARELY have 3.0+ multipliers. If ever.
Author:  zwackerm [ Mon Apr 01, 2019 10:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
Chippy wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Chippy wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Shazam is opening on par with Dumbo and will have worse legs.

It will be

CM
Us
Dragon
Dumbo
Shazam


Why would it have worse legs? The last two DC solo films have had 4.0+ multipliers. Dumbo will be lucky to hit a 3 multiplier.


Endgame will hurt it and Dumbo will have good legs.


Shazam will (probably) open somewhere between $45-65 mil, have good 2nd weekend drop (dumbo won't) and a good 3rd weekend drop. By Endgame weekend, it will be making either $15 mil or less each weekend. WHY will Dumbo have good legs? It's 59% audience score on RT? Burton films RARELY have 3.0+ multipliers. If ever.

Well it’s a family film and it didn’t have much upfront demand.
Author:  Chippy [ Tue Apr 02, 2019 11:21 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
That's because it doesn't have demand. Period.
Author:  Proud Ryu [ Mon Apr 08, 2019 10:15 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
Brutal drop for Dumbo. I guess both big openers took a piece of it.
Author:  i.hope [ Tue Apr 09, 2019 12:48 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
The top five seems to be:

1. Captain Marvel
2. Us
3/4. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World or Shazam
5. Dumbo
Author:  Chippy [ Thu Apr 25, 2019 1:53 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Mar 17
Update?!
Author:  MGKC [ Thu Apr 25, 2019 8:26 pm ]
Post subject: 
Weekly Ranking for April 21

Once again - my deepest apologies for the lack of updates lately on this game.

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Total Gross Projections
A Dog's Way Home - $42.004 million
The Upside - $108.45 million
Glass - $111.035 million
The Kid Who Would Be King - $16.791 million
Serenity - $8.547 million
Cold Pursuit - $32.139 million
The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part - $108 million
The Prodigy - $14.856 million
What Men Want - $54.612 million
Alita: Battle Angel - $85.9 million
Fighting with my Family - $22.95 million
Happy Death Day 2U - $28.051 million
Isn't It Romantic - $48.9 million
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - $163 million
Captain Marvel - $435 million
Wonder Park - $44 million
Captive State - $5.958 million
Us - $178 million
Dumbo - $114 million
The Best of Enemies - $10.6 million
Pet Sematary - $58 million
Shazam! - $160 million
Hellboy - $23 million
Missing Link - $19 million
The Curse of La Llorona - $70 million

Current Top 5
1. Captain Marvel - $400.0 million
2. Us - $170.3 million
3. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - $159.1 million
4. Shazam! - $120.4 million
5. Glass - $110.0 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - the family combination of Dumbo, How to Train Your Dragon 3, and The LEGO Movie 2, or the superhero combination of Captain Marvel, Glass, and Shazam?
  • The superhero combination of Captain Marvel, Glass, and Shazam

#2: Which will gross more in total - the second-tier family combination of Missing Link and Wonder Park, the second-tier superhero combination of Alita: Battle Angel and Hellboy?
  • The second-tier superhero combination of Alita: Battle Angel and Hellboy

#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - The Curse of La Llorona, Happy Death Day 2U, Pet Sematary, and Us?
  • The Curse of La Llorona and Happy Death Day 2U (currently $1.7 million from each other)

#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Glass, Happy Death Day 2U, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, or The LEGO Movie 2?
  • The LEGO Movie 2

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Glass, Happy Death Day 2U, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, or The LEGO Movie 2?
  • Glass

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral (currently $73.0 million)

#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
  • Hellboy (-2,376 theaters)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • Eight (Glass, The Upside, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, Captain Marvel, The LEGO Movie 2, Us, Shazam!, Dumbo)

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
  • One (Captain Marvel)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral (currently $73.0 million)
Author:  Proud Ryu [ Tue Apr 30, 2019 10:27 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 3)
i.hope wrote:
Proud Ryu wrote:
I wonder if predicting 1 for everything would have won you this season. Will be interesting to find out.


Yeah, $1 for everything would get you somewhere near the top if the rules were like The Price Is Right..


In the end this strategy would have won the most movies! Would have gotten 14 correct to beat exxdee13 by 1.
Author:  MGKC [ Tue Apr 30, 2019 9:22 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - Pts Update (Feb 3)
Proud Ryu wrote:
i.hope wrote:
Proud Ryu wrote:
I wonder if predicting 1 for everything would have won you this season. Will be interesting to find out.


Yeah, $1 for everything would get you somewhere near the top if the rules were like The Price Is Right..


In the end this strategy would have won the most movies! Would have gotten 14 correct to beat exxdee13 by 1.

It would not have won any points by predicting exactly $1 - you still have to be in the closest 25% of predictions.

But yep, just predicting lower than everyone else probably would have paid out.
Author:  MGKC [ Sun Jun 30, 2019 10:53 pm ]
Post subject: 
Overall Results

Movie Predictions

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Top 5 Predictions

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Box Office Questions

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Just Captain Marvel beat the three kids movies alone. Wow.

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Alita beat all the kids movies alone too.

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OVERALL RANKING

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CONGRATS Magic Mike!!! :thumbsup:


KJ's Hall of Fame

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Author:  BK [ Sun Jun 30, 2019 11:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - OVERALL RESULTS
Oooh new charts!

Thanks MGKC!

Btw for Dumbo, you have Magic Mike above the actual ($110m vs $119m) :P

Congrats Mike, and looks like you've been doing well for the last few games. 2 wins in the last 4.

Lastly, the majority of the movies had the bottom-most predictions scoring the points. What a poor start to the year.
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Mon Jul 01, 2019 12:00 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - OVERALL RESULTS
Congrats Mike!!
Author:  Chippy [ Mon Jul 01, 2019 12:13 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - OVERALL RESULTS
Congrats Mike!

Can't believe I held on to 3rd place.
Author:  MadGez [ Mon Jul 01, 2019 12:21 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - OVERALL RESULTS
Congrats Mike!

Thanks again MGC - brilliant game.
Author:  Omni [ Mon Jul 01, 2019 2:28 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - OVERALL RESULTS
Congrats Mike!

Looks like I just can't get to the top 3 anymore...
Author:  Proud Ryu [ Mon Jul 01, 2019 10:38 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - OVERALL RESULTS
Grats Mike!
Author:  Dil [ Mon Jul 01, 2019 12:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - OVERALL RESULTS
Very nice Mike. Congrats man.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Tue Jul 02, 2019 2:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - OVERALL RESULTS
Thanks so much everyone. Apparently I do best in Spring. :D
Author:  i.hope [ Sat Jul 06, 2019 8:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest 2019 - OVERALL RESULTS
Congrats, Mike!

I am fourth (no eye see). :pinch:
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