Register  |  Sign In
View unanswered posts | View active topics It is currently Sat Jul 04, 2020 2:10 pm



Reply to topic  [ 9 posts ] 
 Weekend Estimates 
Author Message
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 16062
Location: San Diego
Post Weekend Estimates
https://m.the-numbers.com/box-office-ch ... 2020/01/03

Will be interesting to see how high Knives Out. Go Little Women.


Sun Jan 05, 2020 4:53 pm
Profile
KJ's Leading Pundit
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 62765
Location: Tonight... YOU!
Post Re: Weekend Estimates
I hope Knives Out can sneak into the Best Picture...

_________________
trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

Rev wrote:
Fuck Trump


Sun Jan 05, 2020 5:45 pm
Profile
100% That Bitch
User avatar

Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm
Posts: 15868
Location: Monterrey, Mexico
Post Re: Weekend Estimates
I think it will, they have the cast and the box office backing them up. Plus if they're gonna give best picture to Parasite. They need the blockbusters to get those ratings

_________________

Image
Tongue Pop!


I kneel with Magnus.


Sun Jan 05, 2020 10:27 pm
Profile
Why is the rum gone???
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 31942
Post Re: Weekend Estimates
$519m is the target for TROS but its burning slightly faster than comparable movies (Smaug, TLJ) so I am thinking $510m is where it will end now.


Sun Jan 05, 2020 11:33 pm
Profile
100% That Bitch
User avatar

Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm
Posts: 15868
Location: Monterrey, Mexico
Post Re: Weekend Estimates
TROS wont cross $500mil.

_________________

Image
Tongue Pop!


I kneel with Magnus.


Mon Jan 06, 2020 12:14 am
Profile
Homo Dperious
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14121
Location: Everywhere
Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Drops were much better this year than in 2013. More of a holiday effect probably because more people were off all week. Compared to the other movies TROS’s drop is even worse. Without the holidays it would have drops of at least 70% and 60%. It truly is one of the most frontloaded movies ever and the most frontloaded blockbuster.


Mon Jan 06, 2020 12:24 am
Profile ICQ
Why is the rum gone???
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 31942
Post Re: Weekend Estimates
From here on TROS needs a multiplier of 1.5/2.5 (based on how you calculate) to reach $500m. Most movies that I checked (small sample of 5 movies) got a multiplier of 2 after December holidays. Even with immense frontloading it will still cross $500m with MLK weekend boosting its total in just 2 weeks. Unless it drops another 70% next weekend and does only $10m then sure but as of now it should cross $500m mark. I also believe Disney will keep it in theaters long enough to get it past that mark.

(P.S. I don't think TROS will get the benefit of being "last" in the franchise)


Mon Jan 06, 2020 1:12 am
Profile
Why is the rum gone???
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 31942
Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Jumanji is at $236m there is a VERY good chance it does $300m now. That would be a great 75% retention from the last installment. Its the WW total that is more concerning with ofcourse a bigger budget this time, though it should still be very profitable with $700m+ WW total.


Tue Jan 07, 2020 2:52 am
Profile
Dont Mess with the Gez
User avatar

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 21097
Location: Melbourne Australia
Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Yeah I would have called $275m a major success. The fact that it will get to $300m (or close to) is pretty amazing.

_________________


What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934



Tue Jan 07, 2020 2:58 am
Profile
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Reply to topic   [ 9 posts ] 

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 6 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group.
Designed by STSoftware for PTF.