Breaking In- 19
Life of the Party- 16
Avengers- -45%
Melissa McCarthy will continue to bleed. I don't see this doing any better than I Feel Pretty.
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| May 11-13 Predictions http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=84331 |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri May 04, 2018 2:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | May 11-13 Predictions |
Breaking In- 19 Life of the Party- 16 Avengers- -45% Melissa McCarthy will continue to bleed. I don't see this doing any better than I Feel Pretty. |
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| Author: | Rev [ Fri May 04, 2018 6:10 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
3 weeks straight IW will have to itself. Definitely will help it beat BP domestic gross. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Fri May 04, 2018 8:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Too early for next weekend's thread ? Mothers' Day is going to help both these movies BIG time specially since its on Sunday. Snatched looked crap but almost did $20m due to the holiday. Both these movies look slightly better though I think Breaking In resonates more with the holiday theme. Breaking In - $30m Life of the Party - $23m Avengers - (-47%) |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Fri May 04, 2018 11:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
The poll is such a no brainer this week. Both will. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sat May 05, 2018 1:00 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Yep both movies should break $20m mark. The better question is will both break $25m mark? |
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| Author: | Algren [ Sat May 05, 2018 1:26 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
There are more fat white women in the US than black people, so I'll go with Life of the Party for $19m and Breaking In for 16m. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sat May 05, 2018 1:49 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Algren wrote: There are more fat white women in the US than black people 
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| Author: | Rev [ Sat May 05, 2018 9:25 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Algren wrote: There are more fat white women in the US than black people, so I'll go with Life of the Party for $19m and Breaking In for 16m. fact based predictions 
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sun May 06, 2018 2:00 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Breaking In seemed like a no-brainer crossover hit from the trailer. But the marketing hasn’t tried to expand at all. |
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| Author: | Dil [ Sun May 06, 2018 2:16 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Breaking In - 24 Life of the Party - 20 Avengers- -50% |
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| Author: | Passionate Thug [ Sun May 06, 2018 3:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Breaking In- 15m (This will not out open Acrimony) Gabrielle Union's leading roles have all been with ensemble casts Ranked GU Opening weekends 1.Think Like a Man- $33,636,303 (Kevin Hart, Taraji P. Henson) 2.Think Like a Man Too- $29,241,911 (Kevin Hart, Taraji P. Henson) 3.Almost Christmas- $15,134,235 (Mo’Nique, Danny Glover, Kimberly Elise) 4.Daddy's Little Girls- $11,210,754 (Idris Elba) 5.Top Five- $6,896,593 (Chris Rock) 6.Deliver Us From Eva- $6,648,374 (LL Cool J) 7.The Honeymooners- $5,538,835 (Cedric the Entertainer, Mike Epps) 8.The Perfect Holiday- $2,283,360 (Queen Latifah, Terrence Howard, Katt Williams) 9.Constellation- $215,801 10.In Our Nature- $4,378 |
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| Author: | stay_cool [ Sun May 06, 2018 4:56 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Passionate Thug wrote: Breaking In- 15m (This will not out open Acrimony) Gabrielle Union's leading roles have all been with ensemble casts Ranked GU Opening weekends 1.Think Like a Man- $33,636,303 (Kevin Hart, Taraji P. Henson) 2.Think Like a Man Too- $29,241,911 (Kevin Hart, Taraji P. Henson) 3.Almost Christmas- $15,134,235 (Mo’Nique, Danny Glover, Kimberly Elise) 4.Daddy's Little Girls- $11,210,754 (Idris Elba) 5.Top Five- $6,896,593 (Chris Rock) 6.Deliver Us From Eva- $6,648,374 (LL Cool J) 7.The Honeymooners- $5,538,835 (Cedric the Entertainer, Mike Epps) 8.The Perfect Holiday- $2,283,360 (Queen Latifah, Terrence Howard, Katt Williams) 9.Constellation- $215,801 10.In Our Nature- $4,378 It will out open Acrimony because of the Mother’s Day boost if nothing else. As for Gabrielle Union being a draw, what major hits did Sanna Lathan headline prior to The Perfect Guy opening to 25 million? I don’t think these sorts of film need major star power. Union is a household name within the target audience and that’s about all you need here. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Sun May 06, 2018 5:08 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Yeah it's the concept and release date that will drive Breaking In. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sun May 06, 2018 9:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Black movies needed star powers to open big ? 
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| Author: | Rolling Thunder [ Mon May 07, 2018 8:33 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Looks to be a strong Mother Day's weekend. Both openers will break $20m, with Life of the Party having the edge to crack $25m, I think. |
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| Author: | i.hope [ Mon May 07, 2018 2:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Jack Sparrow wrote: Black movies needed star powers to open big ? Yeah? Look at Tyler Perry. |
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| Author: | nghtvsn [ Mon May 07, 2018 5:08 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Both will |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Mon May 07, 2018 9:46 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
i.hope wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: Black movies needed star powers to open big ? Yeah? Look at Tyler Perry. And.... He is not a big name outside of Madea movies and two of the biggest openers of the series were the first two movies where he was relatively unknown. |
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| Author: | nghtvsn [ Tue May 08, 2018 7:46 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Magic Mike wrote: Yeah it's the concept and release date that will drive Breaking In. BINGO |
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| Author: | Passionate Thug [ Wed May 09, 2018 8:09 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
stay_cool wrote: Passionate Thug wrote: Breaking In- 15m (This will not out open Acrimony) Gabrielle Union's leading roles have all been with ensemble casts Ranked GU Opening weekends 1.Think Like a Man- $33,636,303 (Kevin Hart, Taraji P. Henson) 2.Think Like a Man Too- $29,241,911 (Kevin Hart, Taraji P. Henson) 3.Almost Christmas- $15,134,235 (Mo’Nique, Danny Glover, Kimberly Elise) 4.Daddy's Little Girls- $11,210,754 (Idris Elba) 5.Top Five- $6,896,593 (Chris Rock) 6.Deliver Us From Eva- $6,648,374 (LL Cool J) 7.The Honeymooners- $5,538,835 (Cedric the Entertainer, Mike Epps) 8.The Perfect Holiday- $2,283,360 (Queen Latifah, Terrence Howard, Katt Williams) 9.Constellation- $215,801 10.In Our Nature- $4,378 It will out open Acrimony because of the Mother’s Day boost if nothing else. As for Gabrielle Union being a draw, what major hits did Sanna Lathan headline prior to The Perfect Guy opening to 25 million? I don’t think these sorts of film need major star power. Union is a household name within the target audience and that’s about all you need here. Perfect Guy's draw was Micheal Ealy who was at the time the "It/In" Black male lead for the community outside of Idris Elba for romantic comedies or dramas. The only thing that may drive it over 20 is the Will Packer factor as his directed movies have averaged about $25m OW |
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| Author: | stay_cool [ Wed May 09, 2018 11:18 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Passionate Thug wrote: stay_cool wrote: Passionate Thug wrote: Breaking In- 15m (This will not out open Acrimony) Gabrielle Union's leading roles have all been with ensemble casts Ranked GU Opening weekends 1.Think Like a Man- $33,636,303 (Kevin Hart, Taraji P. Henson) 2.Think Like a Man Too- $29,241,911 (Kevin Hart, Taraji P. Henson) 3.Almost Christmas- $15,134,235 (Mo’Nique, Danny Glover, Kimberly Elise) 4.Daddy's Little Girls- $11,210,754 (Idris Elba) 5.Top Five- $6,896,593 (Chris Rock) 6.Deliver Us From Eva- $6,648,374 (LL Cool J) 7.The Honeymooners- $5,538,835 (Cedric the Entertainer, Mike Epps) 8.The Perfect Holiday- $2,283,360 (Queen Latifah, Terrence Howard, Katt Williams) 9.Constellation- $215,801 10.In Our Nature- $4,378 It will out open Acrimony because of the Mother’s Day boost if nothing else. As for Gabrielle Union being a draw, what major hits did Sanna Lathan headline prior to The Perfect Guy opening to 25 million? I don’t think these sorts of film need major star power. Union is a household name within the target audience and that’s about all you need here. Perfect Guy's draw was Micheal Ealy who was at the time the "It/In" Black male lead for the community outside of Idris Elba for romantic comedies or dramas. The only thing that may drive it over 20 is the Will Packer factor as his directed movies have averaged about $25m OW That is quite a reach lol. Michael Ealy has never been a box office draw. |
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| Author: | Passionate Thug [ Wed May 09, 2018 8:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
You obviously aren't in tune with the "community" as in minorities. This will not have much crossover appeal despite the Mother's Day Tie in. Hasn't shown up at all for pre-sales and the first projections are for between 13-15m From the Breaking In $100m thread: Passionate Thug wrote: Out Gabrielle Union has never been a BIG draw; even in the urban community. It might connect with Mothers but most I can see for it is $18-$20 OW with at most 60m total with excellent reviews. Decent reviews will most likely put it at around a $12m OW and a $25m finish. I hope it is not as dumb as "Traffik" was. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Thu May 10, 2018 12:30 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Snatched last year was poorer in tracking and projections. I am not worried yet for Breaking In. Its not going to be a pre-sale heavy movie either. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Thu May 10, 2018 12:58 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
1. AVENGERS: INFINITY WARS - 61.978 MILLION (-46%) 2. LIFE OF THE PARTY - 26.294 MILLION (New) 3. BREAKING IN - 24.844 MILLION (New) 4. OVERBOARD - 11 MILLION (-25%) 5. A QUIET PLACE - 5.667 MILLION (-27%) 6. I FEEL PRETTY - 3.838 MILLION (-24%) 7. RAMPAGE - 3.478 MILLION (-25%) 8. TULLY - 2.5 MILLION (-23.8%) 9. BLACK PANTHER - 1.985 MILLION (-39%) 10. BLOCKERS - 1.295 MILLION (-26%) 11. TRUTH OR DARE - 1.227 MILLION (-35%) 12. SUPER TROOPERS 2 - $916,938 (-51%) 13. RBG - $900,000 ($6,000 Theater Average) 14. READY PLAYER ONE - $877,828 (-34%) 15. BAD SAMARITAN - $759,821 (-56%) |
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| Author: | Rolling Thunder [ Thu May 10, 2018 7:59 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: May 11-13 Predictions |
Jack Sparrow wrote: Snatched last year was poorer in tracking and projections. I am not worried yet for Breaking In. Its not going to be a pre-sale heavy movie either. Yeah, Breaking In is the kind of film that is historically under-tracked. Will be surprised if it only opens to $15m. |
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