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Early Friday Estimates
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=84008		 Page 1 of 2
Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Early Friday Estimates
Quote:
The first set of estimates are in, and they’re showing that Disney/Marvel’s Black Panther is headed toward a historic weekend with $200M-$205M over four-days, $175M over three. These figures do not come from Disney. The Ryan Coolger-directed, an co-written pic with Joe Robert Cole should post an estimated $72M today, with last night’s $25.2M previews repping 35% of that number.

Universal’s Fifty Shades Freed is estimated to take $5.5M today, -70% with a 4-day between $15M-$20M in second place. On the high end, this sends the threequel’s cume to $79M-plus.

Lionsgate/StudioCanal/Aardman’s family title Early Man is eyeing $1.1M today, $6.1M over four-days in its opening.

PureFlix’s sword and sandal movie Samson is looking at $750K for Friday, $2.6M over the four-day holiday.


http://deadline.com/2018/02/black-panth ... 202291093/
Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
I do not believe Fifty Shades will end up in second this weekend. I think it will be Peter Rabbit but there's no estimate for that yet.

Very curious how Showman holds up. I think it will see a really great hold even with Black Panther. Will probably be the least hurt by Panther.
Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
That would be a great hold for 50 shades in the face of Black Panther. People must still be catching it for Valentine’s Day.
Author:  Excel [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
OH
MAH
GAH
Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
Men can go to Black Panther and women can go to Fifty Shades. Not that women aren't interested in Black Panther but it does have more male appeal, IMO.
Author:  Excel [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
The next wave of superhero are clearly hitting their stride now. Wonder Woman, Thor, and now obviously BP will easily outgross Spider-man, Iron Man, Justice League, etc.
Author:  Rev [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
Should end up in the 75m-80m range today. I LOVE THIS!!!!
Author:  Excel [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
Magnus wrote:
Aquaman next right excel


LOL :thumbsup:
Author:  Rev [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
Excel wrote:
Magnus wrote:
Aquaman next right excel


LOL :thumbsup:

Hahaha let’s just hope it’s a good movie first
Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
Would be terrible for Samson, placing it as possibly the lowest wide opener in President's Weekend history.
Author:  Jonathan [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
This will pass up Insidious 4 as the highest grossing movie of 2018 in one day. Nice.
Author:  i.hope [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
Looking at the massive number Black Panther is pulling, Sony would be stupid not to use it to remind people of their own Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse coming in December.
Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
If $72m is close to accurate, I’d say the mark to beat is Iron Man 3’s $174m. That would make Black Panther the biggest solo hero opener.
Author:  Rev [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 6:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
If $72m is close to accurate, I’d say the mark to beat is Iron Man 3’s $174m. That would make Black Panther the biggest solo hero opener.

Hope it beats it. Looking good so far
Author:  mark66 [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 6:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
Author:  i.hope [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 6:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
mark66 wrote:


Great. Thinking $78m for Friday.
Author:  Rev [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 6:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
Holding out hope for 80m :D
Author:  Rev [ Fri Feb 16, 2018 11:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
It’s almost 11pm in the east cost when’s the next update?
Author:  Jonathan [ Sat Feb 17, 2018 12:33 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
Rev wrote:
It’s almost 11pm in the east cost when’s the next update?


Pandya down-graded a bit. :(
Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Sat Feb 17, 2018 1:03 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
$68m would be pretty weak considering the previews. Still an amazing number obviously and Iron Man 3 is still in play thanks to an inflated Sunday.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Sat Feb 17, 2018 1:06 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
I wonder what movie will take #1 from Black Panther? The first movie with a chance is A Wrinkle In Time. That should be able to but it's possible it won't.
Author:  Jonathan [ Sat Feb 17, 2018 1:25 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
Black Panther is now, I believe, only the second superhero movie to ever get an A+ from Cinemascore, after The Avengers. Well, third if you count Incredibles. So that's probably a good sign for legs?
Author:  Rev [ Sat Feb 17, 2018 2:25 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
Jonathan wrote:
Black Panther is now, I believe, only the second superhero movie to ever get an A+ from Cinemascore, after The Avengers. Well, third if you count Incredibles. So that's probably a good sign for legs?

Shouldn't hurt it :D
Author:  Excel [ Sat Feb 17, 2018 2:26 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
TDK didn't get an A+ with what was obv the GOAT WOM? Acronyms FTW BTW
Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Sat Feb 17, 2018 4:36 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Early Friday Estimates
1..) Black Panther (DIS), 4,020 theaters / $76.6M Fri (includes $25.2M in previews) /3-day: $187.6M /4-day: $216M/Wk 1

2..) Peter Rabbit (SONY), 3,725 theaters / $4.2M Fri (-26%) /3-day: $17.7M (-29%) /4-day: $23M /Total: $54M/Wk 2

3..) Fifty Shades Freed (UNI), 3,768 theaters / $5.7M Fri (-69%)/3-day: $17.75M (-54%)/4-day: $20.2M/Total: $79.4M Wk 2

4..) Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (SONY), 2,800 theaters (-336) / $1.85M Fri /3-day: $8M (-20%)/4-day: $10.5M /Total:$380.2M/ Wk 9

5..) The 15:17 to Paris (WB), 3042 theaters / $2.1M Fri (-43%)/3-day: $8.5M (-32%)/4-day: $9.95M/Total: $27.7M/ Wk 2

6..) The Greatest Showman (FOX), 1,936 theaters (-437) / $1.3m Fri / 3-day: $5.7M (-11%)/4-day: $7M /Total: $156.4M/Wk 9

7..) Early Man (LG), 2,494 theaters / $858K Fri /3-day: $3.5M /4-day: $4.8M/Wk 1

8..) Maze Runner: Death Cure (FOX), 1,892 theaters (-1,031) / $659K Fri /3-day: $2.7M (-56%) /4-day: $3.3M/ Total: $54.8M/Wk 4

9..) The Post (FOX/DW), 1,050 theaters (-815) / $464K Fri /3-day:$1.96M (-46%)/4-day: $2.45M/Total: $77M/Wk 9

10..) Samson (PURE), 1,249 theaters / $642K Fri /3-day: $1.95M /4-day: $2.3M/Wk 1

Pretty darn good drops for most films, even 50 Shades.

Black Panther is gonna have an insane run.
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