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 Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019) 

Domestic gross
Poll ended at Sun Dec 01, 2019 2:55 am
Less than $450m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
$450m-500m 6%  6%  [ 2 ]
$500m-550m 6%  6%  [ 2 ]
$550m-600m 16%  16%  [ 5 ]
$600m-650m 28%  28%  [ 9 ]
$650m-700m 13%  13%  [ 4 ]
$700m-750m 16%  16%  [ 5 ]
$750m-800m 9%  9%  [ 3 ]
$800m-850m 3%  3%  [ 1 ]
$850m-900m 3%  3%  [ 1 ]
$900m-950m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
$950m-1b 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
more than $1b 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Total votes : 32

 Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019) 
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Romosexual!

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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Corpse wrote:
Will Baby Yoda make an appearance? That's the real (only) question regarding this film's success.

simple answer...No!

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Wed Dec 11, 2019 10:55 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Magnus wrote:
Good news: SW is trending!

Bad news: It's because the cast and JJ had some questionable comments about Last Jedi.

We are our own worst enemy :roll:

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Wed Dec 11, 2019 10:56 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
lol... this might flub! people who loved Last Jedi (myself) less thrilled because JJ’s returning (and TFA was shit). People who loved TFA feel burned by Last Jedi... no one’s stoked. Wish Rian Johnson could’ve finished out the trilogy, for better or worse. This feels like a compromise that leaves no one happy, brought to you by JJ “Remember ST: Into Darkness?” Abrams.

who knows though, maybe it’s good. It’ll make at least $420m too so not a bomb by any means.

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Wed Dec 11, 2019 11:56 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I just checked pre-sales at my local theaters in Germany (a top SW market) and they're way down compared to SW7 and SW8...

Hopefully they'll pick up in the next couple of days...

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Thu Dec 12, 2019 5:53 am
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
For the finale in the Skywalker saga there really doesn't feel like much buzz. Compare that to Endgame, ROTK or Sith - all of which felt like they were highly anticipated events.

You reap what you sow Disney.

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Thu Dec 12, 2019 9:44 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I'm sensing no real buzz from this even with all the promotion and awareness. No articles or reports of boffo ticket sales either. It won't flop but definitely won't match the success of the 1st 2 in this trilogy.


Thu Dec 12, 2019 9:52 am
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KJ's Most Embarssing Misspeller
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I am getting worried as well. I thought by this time hype would really be picking up but it hasn’t.

I think the film needs a great response from audiences so it can hold really well during holidays. Right now, I’m feeling it’ll have a big opening but will fade fast without WOM to carry it.

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Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:06 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
A little shocking but I'm now thinking this has a fight on it's hands to match or beat Rogue One.

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Thu Dec 12, 2019 7:05 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I was always concerned with the opening. With RT score sure to be in 90's because of JJ's involvement its going to have decent legs but I feel it will have comparatively muted opening.


Thu Dec 12, 2019 10:57 pm
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Romosexual!

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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
HOLY SHIT AT THE CLIP THAT JUST DROPPED! O_0 SOOO GOOOOOOOOD!

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Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:06 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Yeah JJ just turned Johnson’s fuckup into something epic

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Fri Dec 13, 2019 10:46 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
My current prediction is 200m OW and a low total of 550m and a high total of 675m depending on how WOM is. It’s crazy how much different the perfoamxe will feel if it fails to break 600m or if it tops TLJ.

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MadGez wrote:
Listen to Magnus he knows his shit.
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Magnus is right
trixster wrote:
magnus is my hero
Loyal wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Magnus is the fucking voice of reason.
That's scary.
bABA wrote:
fuck Magnus
zwackerm wrote:
You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.


Fri Dec 13, 2019 11:25 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
The Kylo Ren clip is easily the best piece of marketing they have had for this movie so far, but why is it just getting released a week before the movie comes out? Disney has really fucked up with the marketing for this IMO.


Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:40 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Still thinking this blows up. Endgame opened way over expect and this will too

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Fri Dec 13, 2019 3:16 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Excel wrote:
Still thinking this blows up. Endgame opened way over expect and this will too


Blows up as in BOMBS?

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Sat Dec 14, 2019 3:04 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Over at BOT Charlie has presales for the weekend as of now estimated $63.5m. Think OW should be good for $175m+. How high it goes will depend on how buzz builds.


Sat Dec 14, 2019 3:07 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Thegun wrote:
Yeah JJ just turned Johnson’s fuckup into something epic


"Johnson's fuckup?" :roll: GTFOH!!!

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Sat Dec 14, 2019 11:04 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Did some random number crunching and got to the belief that the opening weekend to opening week ratio will be about 60% and the opening week to total ratio will be about 55%, leading to a 3.03 OW to total multiplier.

If WOM is exceptional, I could see the ratios going to like 58% and 52%, leading to a 3.31 multiplier.

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MadGez wrote:
Listen to Magnus he knows his shit.
Darth Indiana Bond wrote:
Magnus is right
trixster wrote:
magnus is my hero
Loyal wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Magnus is the fucking voice of reason.
That's scary.
bABA wrote:
fuck Magnus
zwackerm wrote:
You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.


Sat Dec 14, 2019 11:20 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Rev wrote:
Thegun wrote:
Yeah JJ just turned Johnson’s fuckup into something epic


"Johnson's fuckup?" :roll: GTFOH!!!


Snoke's complete and utter anticlimactic death. Yes, big fuck up. That's like when Alien 3 killed off Hicks and Newt bad. JJ found a great way to rectify that mistake into something more meaningful to the overall saga.

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Sat Dec 14, 2019 2:55 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Snoke didn’t deserve anything better.


Sat Dec 14, 2019 2:59 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Ya I thought that worked *shrug*


Sat Dec 14, 2019 3:07 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I really enjoy the movie too. All I was saying it seems JJ found a good creative way to work around a missed opportunity, that will add upon his death.

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Sat Dec 14, 2019 3:11 pm
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Romosexual!

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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Thegun wrote:
Rev wrote:
Thegun wrote:
Yeah JJ just turned Johnson’s fuckup into something epic


"Johnson's fuckup?" :roll: GTFOH!!!


Snoke's complete and utter anticlimactic death. Yes, big fuck up. That's like when Alien 3 killed off Hicks and Newt bad. JJ found a great way to rectify that mistake into something more meaningful to the overall saga.


Comparing TLJ to Alien 3 :wacko: STFU!!!!

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Sat Dec 14, 2019 3:21 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
It's still a bit early but I've been comparing the numbers of open seats in various theaters across the US and trying to see if that will affect sales. It's the last film in SW but the hype is definitely not the Avengers: Endgame level. I'm not even sure it's TLJ level - which I recall had a good amount of hype going in.

I think TROS will take around an 8-10% hit (compared to TLJ) during the OW and make something like $195-205 mil for the opening weekend.

A good number of people seem to have disliked TLJ and Solo but I don't think that means they'll all boycott this film like some would have you believe. Essentially, it will probably be between R1 and TLJ in terms of success.

DOM: $550-600 mil

WW: $1.1-1.3 billion


Sat Dec 14, 2019 4:48 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I think the overseas #s are gonna be interesting considering how Solo absolutely bombed.


Sat Dec 14, 2019 5:00 pm
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