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 Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019) 

Domestic gross
Poll ended at Sun Dec 01, 2019 2:55 am
Less than $450m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
$450m-500m 6%  6%  [ 2 ]
$500m-550m 6%  6%  [ 2 ]
$550m-600m 16%  16%  [ 5 ]
$600m-650m 28%  28%  [ 9 ]
$650m-700m 13%  13%  [ 4 ]
$700m-750m 16%  16%  [ 5 ]
$750m-800m 9%  9%  [ 3 ]
$800m-850m 3%  3%  [ 1 ]
$850m-900m 3%  3%  [ 1 ]
$900m-950m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
$950m-1b 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
more than $1b 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Total votes : 32

 Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019) 
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
TLJ deserved much better audience reaction than it received.

'Tis a shame.


Fri Nov 29, 2019 3:22 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
What concerns me most are international numbers. Typically OS audiences will still come out for spin offs of major franchises yet Solo BOMBED everywhere. Couldn't even get to $200m total.

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Sat Nov 30, 2019 3:15 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Jiffy wrote:
TLJ deserved much better audience reaction than it received.

'Tis a shame.


The think normal audiences enjoyed it and the scape Twitterverse reaction carrying over to the general public is being drastically overstated AS ALWAYS.

THE LAST JEDI is basically seen as
-A Badass title
-Badass Kylo Ren moment
-Badass Luke Skywalker moment
-Generally good flick

I know of many people who would say it is their ave SW Film since the OT, including myself. Had they just figured out something better for Finn/Poe and adjusted it to so Leia flew into the ships instead of Laura Dern AND just fucking kept Luke alive at the end, they would have equalled EMPIRE in terms of reception. Instead it was just badass instead of classics.

I still think this does huge epic numbers. It was never going to top ENDGAME opening in December but I think it def. beats DA FORCE AWAKENS

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Wed Dec 04, 2019 1:25 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Excel wrote:
[

THE LAST JEDI is basically seen as
-A Badass title
-Badass Kylo Ren moment
-Badass Luke Skywalker moment
-Generally good flick

Lol.

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Wed Dec 04, 2019 10:10 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Rogue One: 532.2 million
Solo: 213.8 mil

That's the biggest evidence of TLJ damaging the brand


Thu Dec 05, 2019 12:47 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
It's not. Because, again, Mandalorian is doing boffo business.

Solo bombed because nobody wanted a Star Wars movie that soon, it was a troubled production, it had some no-name for the title character, and people didn't like it. It had no hook outside of the character, who was being played by another actor.

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Thu Dec 05, 2019 5:49 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Mandalorian is almost free to watch, of course it’s gonna do well.

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Thu Dec 05, 2019 6:24 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
"almost free" lol ok

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Thu Dec 05, 2019 6:29 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I feel like I have to fight too stupid extremes.

Yes, TLJ hurt the SW brand and it probably will stop it from getting to 700m+ barring ROS having all time great WOM.

But the strength of the brand was so high that even damaging it still makes it one of the biggest brands in the world. So no, it's not going to suddenly fail to break 500m.

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Thu Dec 05, 2019 6:30 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Chippy wrote:
It's not. Because, again, Mandalorian is doing boffo business.

Solo bombed because nobody wanted a Star Wars movie that soon, it was a troubled production, it had some no-name for the title character, and people didn't like it. It had no hook outside of the character, who was being played by another actor.


A lot of these weaknesses apply to Rogue One. So something happened between Rogue One and Solo

In my opinion if Solo was the spin off after Force Awakens and Rogue One was the spin off after the Last Jedi, their grosses quite possibly are reversed or close to it


Thu Dec 05, 2019 7:39 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Why is TLJ more damaging than what AOC clones was. That was received even worse and still Sith had ginormous buzz and crushed midnight record by more than double. I dont see any issues. Plus JJ makes critics/ audience pleasing movies. I am sure buzz will further go up once the reviews are out.

I am tracking ticket sales at just reserved shows at AMC/CIN and SW9 has almost sold 1.5m tickets between the 2 chains. I dont see any issues for this movie. it will hit 50m previews and probably OW around TLJ. I think 700m will happen unless JJ pulls in a RIan J kind of response which is unlikely.

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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Shack wrote:
Chippy wrote:
It's not. Because, again, Mandalorian is doing boffo business.

Solo bombed because nobody wanted a Star Wars movie that soon, it was a troubled production, it had some no-name for the title character, and people didn't like it. It had no hook outside of the character, who was being played by another actor.


A lot of these weaknesses apply to Rogue One. So something happened between Rogue One and Solo

In my opinion if Solo was the spin off after Force Awakens and Rogue One was the spin off after the Last Jedi, their grosses quite possibly are reversed or close to it


Not even close to the same. Rogue One was the first spin off, advantage. It was a direct tie to A New Hope, advantage. It included Darth Vader, advantage. It was a year after the previous Star Wars release, advantage. It used nostalgia to market itself, by reusing previous scores from previous films.

No way does Rogue One bomb like Solo if they are reversed. It would've grossed less than it did because of the release date, but Solo no way would've matched it.

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Thu Dec 05, 2019 7:43 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Keyser Söze wrote:
Why is TLJ more damaging than what AOC clones was. That was received even worse and still Sith had ginormous buzz and crushed midnight record by more than double. I dont see any issues. Plus JJ makes critics/ audience pleasing movies. I am sure buzz will further go up once the reviews are out.

I am tracking ticket sales at just reserved shows at AMC/CIN and SW9 has almost sold 1.5m tickets between the 2 chains. I dont see any issues for this movie. it will hit 50m previews and probably OW around TLJ. I think 700m will happen unless JJ pulls in a RIan J kind of response which is unlikely.


Because TPM damaged the brand whereas TFA increased it. AOTC was already deflated because of TPM and then deflated things more. ROTS also had the added benefit of being the movie that everyone was waiting to see (ie Anakin becoming Vader). ROS doesn’t have that.

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Thu Dec 05, 2019 8:42 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I feel like the TLJ backlash definitely had a negative impact on Solo, but what hurt it the most IMO was not having Harrison Ford actually play Han fucking Solo. I mean they should have been smart enough to figure that out before that movie was even green lit, but nope they decided to roll the dice anyways and it completely blew up in their faces. People just don't care about the character if you don't have the same iconic actor playing him.

Also, the more years that go by the more I think we are definitely going to start appreciating the performance of RO, especially for a spin-off even though they did milk the hell of out of that Vader/ANH nostalgia. There is no telling what the state of Star Wars is going to be after TROS, but even if it ends on a positive note I don't see any future Star Wars films coming close to $600M let alone $500M unless they somehow come up with another appealing unique/original idea.


Thu Dec 05, 2019 9:04 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
This backlash for film with a 91% RT and an A cinemascore is hilarious. The only people that got angry are the ones that are still going to be there for this one opening night. GA had no problems with it.

Can't speak to the future of SW. But this is about the safest bet for a film since TFA or even Endgame.

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Thu Dec 05, 2019 10:23 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I think the film had a decent reception at first but I feel the intense negativity on twitter, YT and the fanbase, in general, made people rethink the film shortly after...

Like the reception was really solid but it got more negative i found online over time.

Like if someone liked the TLJ then heard their Star Wars friend talk about "all the issues with the movie", that likely changed peoples mind a bit.

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Sat Dec 07, 2019 12:46 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Welcome back manny :)

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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Magnus is the fucking voice of reason.
That's scary.
bABA wrote:
fuck Magnus
zwackerm wrote:
You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.


Sat Dec 07, 2019 1:29 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I got rid of all those people in my life, game changing.

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Sat Dec 07, 2019 2:53 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Will Baby Yoda make an appearance? That's the real (only) question regarding this film's success.

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Sat Dec 07, 2019 4:59 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Corpse wrote:
Will Baby Yoda make an appearance? That's the real (only) question regarding this film's success.


Lol you might actually have something there. That thing became a pop culture icon in less than 2 weeks.


Sat Dec 07, 2019 6:25 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Uh... unless it's flashbacks wouldn't it be adult version? Unless it ages slowly idk


Sat Dec 07, 2019 8:18 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Uh... unless it's flashbacks wouldn't it be adult version? Unless it ages slowly idk
It’s 50 years old on the show. And Force takes place like 30 years later? Then Jedi takes place like a week after that so he should be around.


Sat Dec 07, 2019 9:13 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Good news: SW is trending!

Bad news: It's because the cast and JJ had some questionable comments about Last Jedi.

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That's scary.
bABA wrote:
fuck Magnus
zwackerm wrote:
You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.


Wed Dec 11, 2019 9:10 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I am really not feeling this one. I don't want to predict a decline but won't be surprised by it. Its JJ so I am sure the RT score will be high but then they should have released those scores by now to build buzz.


Wed Dec 11, 2019 9:28 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
TFA and TLJ both embargoed till premiere week for spoilers and this one is doing the same.


Wed Dec 11, 2019 10:40 pm
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