Idk, Solo bombing like it did is pretty conclusive evidence that the franchise is damaged.

I don't know, the troubled production, lackluster marketing, and overall meh quality may have had something to do with that. Had it had more international appeal, it wouldn't have been that bad. I think Solo flopping only helped ROS, I think most people forget it exists. Hell I'd even argue most people forgot Rogue One exists at this point.

I don't think so.

Had Solo waited until December it would have crossed $350m

Of Course, The stench of failure was all around it. But it's international numbers would have still been bad. It's kind of rough when A. You're recasting the best character of the biggest franchise of all time, and B. You're end up being a simple caper film marketed worse than Ocean's 8.

Had they got Ford just to film Intro and Outro scenes or even something like Days of Future Past, the film would have had a lot more buzz to it. They really did a terrible job with Chewie and Han meeting, and they were hoping for so much with the tease with Darth Maul. Disney really went all in with too many avenues, and nothing paid off.

The overseas number for Solo has to be one of the most tragic figures in box office history. From 1B+ with The Force Awakens to less than $200m.

Tickets on sale, got mine easily on Atom. Went on AMC and there's a wait time like Endgame lol

I cannot wait!!!!!! Get in my eyeballs!

#hype

Ok the new trailer is pretty good. Implying 3CPO is going to die is a low blow in terms of emotional manipulation but it may work.

The hype is there and ticket sales look good so I'm sensing Last Jedi opening, which would be good considering how much backlash it got.

Think legs will be better than Last Jedi but don't see anything over 650m. We'll see.

Presales have been phenomenal. AMC is too busy to get data but Cinemark just for Thursday/Friday has done great.

Thursday - 81715/228012(2210 shows).
Friday - 38835/504627 (3646 shows)

Show counts will be triple this number by release date at the minimum. Plus I have seen umpteen sellouts in several Drafthouse, AMC, Regal etc across the country.

This will continue the trend of the third SW film increasing. $700m is still in play.

It's such a great trailer. Hits everything you wanted from a final trailer. The 3PO moment and the final line from Luke/Leia.

I just need it to make $1 additional over TLJ to keep the trend intact. Prediction: $645m DOM. Not comfortable going higher because this years been weird, Endgame notwithstanding.

If it opens to 200+ so close to Christmas, beating TLJ will be an absolute lock.

I expect the release date will cause a bigger Saturday drop. Fanboys won’t care, they will see it opening day no matter what.

I think it will now open close to TLJ but a little under. However, it will out gross TLJ. Should make about $650m, possibly more.

BULLSHIT!

This is opening closer to 250m than 220m (TLJ) at the low end. Fuck Deadline's tracking.

Just like Frozen 2 - the OW numbers mean a little less being so close to the holiday. The Christmas period will be immense for this - especially with Jumanji burning off demand earlier this time.

I think it's opening under 200m tbh. Just a feeling. But if the reception is good it should beat TLJ total.

I'm also starting think an opening closer to $180-$190M is more likely now too. If it does do $200M+ though with good WOM it should still be able to top TLJ's domestic total.

I still think this explodes but damn did they fuck out but not making one more film. It doesn't feel ready for an ending at all

Honestly agreed. All the characters are severely underdeveloped, and I loved TFA and TLJ for the most part.

Frozen 2 shows that a holiday the following week can deflate an opening, but SW is a totally different sort of franchise. Like, how much did thanksgiving deflate the twilight openers? Not much.