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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 5364 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Thatguy wrote: No smoking gun you could argue, but a lot of circumstantial evidence that fans just aren't that enthusiastic about Star Wars anymore.
Idk, Solo bombing like it did is pretty conclusive evidence that the franchise is damaged.
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Wed Oct 16, 2019 12:52 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 20916 Location: Walking around somewhere
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I don't know, the troubled production, lackluster marketing, and overall meh quality may have had something to do with that. Had it had more international appeal, it wouldn't have been that bad. I think Solo flopping only helped ROS, I think most people forget it exists. Hell I'd even argue most people forgot Rogue One exists at this point.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Wed Oct 16, 2019 4:32 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
Why is the rum gone???
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 34153
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Thegun wrote: I don't know, the troubled production, lackluster marketing, and overall meh quality may have had something to do with that. Had it had more international appeal, it wouldn't have been that bad. I think Solo flopping only helped ROS, I think most people forget it exists. Hell I'd even argue most people forgot Rogue One exists at this point. I don't think so.
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Wed Oct 16, 2019 8:53 pm |
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lilmac
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 2303
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Had Solo waited until December it would have crossed $350m
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Fri Oct 18, 2019 10:12 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 20916 Location: Walking around somewhere
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Of Course, The stench of failure was all around it. But it's international numbers would have still been bad. It's kind of rough when A. You're recasting the best character of the biggest franchise of all time, and B. You're end up being a simple caper film marketed worse than Ocean's 8.
Had they got Ford just to film Intro and Outro scenes or even something like Days of Future Past, the film would have had a lot more buzz to it. They really did a terrible job with Chewie and Han meeting, and they were hoping for so much with the tease with Darth Maul. Disney really went all in with too many avenues, and nothing paid off.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Fri Oct 18, 2019 2:43 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 5364 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
The overseas number for Solo has to be one of the most tragic figures in box office history. From 1B+ with The Force Awakens to less than $200m.
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Fri Oct 18, 2019 10:35 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 16274 Location: San Diego
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Tickets on sale, got mine easily on Atom. Went on AMC and there's a wait time like Endgame lol
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Mon Oct 21, 2019 8:09 pm |
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lilmac
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 2303
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I cannot wait!!!!!! Get in my eyeballs!
#hype
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Mon Oct 21, 2019 10:25 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 5364 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Ok the new trailer is pretty good. Implying 3CPO is going to die is a low blow in terms of emotional manipulation but it may work.
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Mon Oct 21, 2019 11:38 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 16274 Location: San Diego
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
The hype is there and ticket sales look good so I'm sensing Last Jedi opening, which would be good considering how much backlash it got.
Think legs will be better than Last Jedi but don't see anything over 650m. We'll see.
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Tue Oct 22, 2019 12:10 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 4879
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Presales have been phenomenal. AMC is too busy to get data but Cinemark just for Thursday/Friday has done great.
Thursday - 81715/228012(2210 shows). Friday - 38835/504627 (3646 shows)
Show counts will be triple this number by release date at the minimum. Plus I have seen umpteen sellouts in several Drafthouse, AMC, Regal etc across the country.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
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Tue Oct 22, 2019 12:19 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 62765 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Tue Oct 22, 2019 2:00 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 21146 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
This will continue the trend of the third SW film increasing. $700m is still in play.
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Tue Oct 22, 2019 2:22 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 62765 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
It's such a great trailer. Hits everything you wanted from a final trailer. The 3PO moment and the final line from Luke/Leia.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Tue Oct 22, 2019 2:57 am |
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lilmac
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 2303
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I just need it to make $1 additional over TLJ to keep the trend intact. Prediction: $645m DOM. Not comfortable going higher because this years been weird, Endgame notwithstanding.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Tue Oct 22, 2019 4:54 am |
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Omni
The Antichrist
Joined: Thu Nov 30, 2006 8:04 am Posts: 1742 Location: Calisota
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
If it opens to 200+ so close to Christmas, beating TLJ will be an absolute lock.
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Wed Nov 27, 2019 4:32 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14121 Location: Everywhere
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I expect the release date will cause a bigger Saturday drop. Fanboys won’t care, they will see it opening day no matter what.
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Wed Nov 27, 2019 7:12 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 21146 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I think it will now open close to TLJ but a little under. However, it will out gross TLJ. Should make about $650m, possibly more.
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What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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Wed Nov 27, 2019 7:43 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 30179 Location: the last free city
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
BULLSHIT!
This is opening closer to 250m than 220m (TLJ) at the low end. Fuck Deadline's tracking.
_________________ Wearing a mask is not a political statement...you idiots! President Joe Biden & Vice President Kamala Harris #DemocracySaved #ThankYouStaceyAbrams #MitchYouHaveNoPowerHere #TheMandalorian #ThisIsTheWay #AhsokaTano Look to the Animation department for the future of Star Wars
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Wed Nov 27, 2019 8:03 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 21146 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Just like Frozen 2 - the OW numbers mean a little less being so close to the holiday. The Christmas period will be immense for this - especially with Jumanji burning off demand earlier this time.
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What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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Wed Nov 27, 2019 8:20 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 16274 Location: San Diego
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I think it's opening under 200m tbh. Just a feeling. But if the reception is good it should beat TLJ total.
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Wed Nov 27, 2019 9:23 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8829 Location: Houston, Texas
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I'm also starting think an opening closer to $180-$190M is more likely now too. If it does do $200M+ though with good WOM it should still be able to top TLJ's domestic total.
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Wed Nov 27, 2019 10:40 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21019 Location: Places
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I still think this explodes but damn did they fuck out but not making one more film. It doesn't feel ready for an ending at all
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Thu Nov 28, 2019 1:58 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 16274 Location: San Diego
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Honestly agreed. All the characters are severely underdeveloped, and I loved TFA and TLJ for the most part.
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Thu Nov 28, 2019 1:59 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14121 Location: Everywhere
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Frozen 2 shows that a holiday the following week can deflate an opening, but SW is a totally different sort of franchise. Like, how much did thanksgiving deflate the twilight openers? Not much.
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Thu Nov 28, 2019 3:09 pm |
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