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October 6-8 predictions
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=83357
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Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Fri Sep 29, 2017 4:59 pm ]
Post subject:  October 6-8 predictions

Blade Runner 2049 - 44
Mountain Between Us - 8
My Little Pony - .... No idea but this is getting a TMobile deal

Author:  MovieDude [ Fri Sep 29, 2017 5:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

Blade Runner 2049 - 68 million
Mountains Between Us - 7
My Little Pony 14 big range but guessing high

Author:  Algren [ Fri Sep 29, 2017 6:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

Blade Runner 2049 $60m

Author:  Dil [ Sat Sep 30, 2017 2:08 am ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

Blade Runner 2049 - 55
Mountain Between Us - 11
My Little Pony - 8

Author:  Jonathan [ Sat Sep 30, 2017 11:51 am ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

Blade Runner 2049 - $51.7 million
The Mountain Between Us - $10.4 million
My Little Pony - $5.6 million
Victoria & Abdul - $3.2 million
The Stray - $500,000

American Made -47%
It -41%
Kingsman 2 -46%

Author:  zwackerm [ Sun Oct 01, 2017 5:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

Blade Runner- 49
Mountain- 13
Pony- 14

Author:  stuffp [ Sun Oct 01, 2017 5:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

Blade Runner 2049 $57m

Author:  MadGez [ Sun Oct 01, 2017 8:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

Blade Runner 2049 - $57 million
The Mountain Between Us - $11 million
My Little Pony - $8 million

Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Mon Oct 02, 2017 7:07 am ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

Not feeling The Mountain Between Us, definitely thinking under $10m. Seems kinda drab and depressing.

Author:  MGKC [ Mon Oct 02, 2017 8:33 am ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

Rolling Thunder wrote:
Not feeling The Mountain Between Us, definitely thinking under $10m. Seems kinda drab and depressing.

Agreed. There's too many other more appealing movie choices out there right now.

Author:  Riggs [ Mon Oct 02, 2017 12:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

I love seeing those high numbers from all of you for Blade Runner but I just don't see it..

38m

Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Mon Oct 02, 2017 12:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

Riggs wrote:
I love seeing those high numbers from all of you for Blade Runner but I just don't see it..

38m


The tracking and social media presence is undeniably there - I just don't remember the original being that big of a deal?

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Mon Oct 02, 2017 5:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

Blade Runner - 55m.

presales are on par with Dunkirk and has strong reviews as well. So should be good enough for 50m+ OW.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Mon Oct 02, 2017 10:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

1. BLADE RUNNER 2049 - 59.8 MILLION (New)
2. THE MOUNTAIN BETWEEN US - 10.9 MILLION (New)
3. MY LITTLE PONY - 8.89 MILLION (New)
4. IT - 8.79 MILLION (-48%)
5. KINGSMAN: THE GOLDEN CIRCLE - 8.3 MILLION (-51%)
6. AMERICAN MADE - 8.052 MILLION (-52%)
7. NINJAGO - 7.568 MILLION (-35%)
8. VICTORIA & ABDUL - 4.35 MILLION
9. FLATLINERS - 2.892 MILLION
(-56%)
10. BATTLE OF THE SEXES - 2.46 MILLION (-28%)
11. AMERICAN ASSASSIN - 1.558 MILLION (-53%)
12. HOME AGAIN - $828,750 (-52%)
13. 'TIL DEATH DO US PART - $684,811 (-55%)
14. mother! - $579,751 (-60%)
15. THE STRAY - $474,390 (New)

Author:  Algren [ Mon Oct 02, 2017 11:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

It is a three hour film, so I am glad to see people keeping their predictions in check.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Tue Oct 03, 2017 12:45 am ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

Blade Runner 2049 - $40m
The Mountain Between Us - $5m
My Little Pony - $12m (I think this will surprise because there is an audience for this kind of movie)

Author:  MovieDude [ Thu Oct 05, 2017 6:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

Sooo I'm clearly the high end predictor, and I'm tempted to lower my 68 million to 64, but I remain confident that this will overperform. It has a name brand that Gravity and The Martian didn't and equally strong reviews. A dark trend of current events may drive folks to the theaters.

Any other last minute thoughts or predictions before Thursday previews?

Author:  Algren [ Fri Oct 06, 2017 12:03 am ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

I believe WOM will be muted or average. There will be a battle inside Joe and Jane Popcorn to be positive about it because reviews are telling them it's great but their experience wasn't great at all. Whatever it opens with, legs will be short.

Author:  David [ Fri Oct 06, 2017 1:22 am ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

I agree with Algren. I do not expect glowing word-of-mouth. This is a very, very long film, and let's be nice and call the pace...stately. ;) And other than maybe an amusing five-second bit involving Harrison Ford, a dog, and a bottle of whiskey, there are no real crowd-pleasing or fist-pumping bits.

It is not going to be an Inception- or Fury Road-type experience where audiences meet it halfway and are energized enough to step outside their comfort zone a tiny bit. People who go in with just a broad expectation of a cool, punchy science-fiction action movie are going to be dying inside.

Author:  i.hope [ Fri Oct 06, 2017 2:43 am ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

MovieDude wrote:
Sooo I'm clearly the high end predictor, and I'm tempted to lower my 68 million to 64, but I remain confident that this will overperform. It has a name brand that Gravity and The Martian didn't and equally strong reviews. A dark trend of current events may drive folks to the theaters.

Any other last minute thoughts or predictions before Thursday previews?


The original was not that popular to elevate this to an event-level film. I am seeing under $50m OW.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri Oct 06, 2017 8:09 am ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

I agree Blade Runner is a niche brand at max and won't get it alone to event-level film. I don't think even $40m is guaranteed and believe Riggs might be correct.

Author:  David [ Wed Oct 18, 2017 8:00 am ]
Post subject:  Re: October 6-8 predictions

Glad this thread is still pinned. ;)

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