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Weekend Estimates
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=81716
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Author:  mark66 [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 11:55 am ]
Post subject:  Weekend Estimates

...trickling in...

http://www.the-numbers.com/weekend-box-office-chart

Author:  Rev [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 12:39 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Rogue One $155,000,000 :D
Moana $11,664,000 ( down only -37%)
Office Christmas Party $8,450,000 (-50%)
Collateral Beauty $7,000,000
Fantastic Beasts $5,030,000 (-52%)

La La Land $4,020,000 (+356%) :thumbsup:

Author:  David [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 1:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

I wonder if holiday legs can push Collateral Beauty past 35 million.

Author:  David [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 1:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Fences' opening seems incredibly mediocre for such a prestigious, star-driven film in four of the nation's top theatres.

Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 2:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

La La Land performed adequately but I was really expecting a $30K PTA for it. Perhaps it would have outside of a Star Wars weekend.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 2:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

You know, Rogue One could reach $600 million. That would top even most of the higher expectations. For this to make more than 60% of TFA's opening is absolutely fantastic.

Author:  Darth Indiana Bond [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 3:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Star Wars takes but one step, and all in the land of blockbusters quake

Author:  Rev [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 3:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Darth Indiana Bond wrote:
Star Wars takes but one step, and all in the land of blockbusters quake

:lol: :lol: :thumbsup:

Author:  zwackerm [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 3:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

I don't think it gets that Sunday drop. I don't think the sellouts effect will work here.

Author:  Rev [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 3:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Dr. Lecter wrote:
You know, Rogue One could reach $600 million. That would top even most of the higher expectations. For this to make more than 60% of TFA's opening is absolutely fantastic.

If it even sniffs 600m it's huge accomplishment. Right now I'll be thrilled with anything above 500m. :D the goal is #1 domestic box office of 2016. :twisted: Eat Dory!!!!!

Author:  Magic Mike [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 4:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Rolling Thunder wrote:
La La Land performed adequately but I was really expecting a $30K PTA for it. Perhaps it would have outside of a Star Wars weekend.


Same. Still a great number.

If Collateral Beauty has P.S. I Love You legs it could do 50 million off this opening. Holiday legs might be very kind to it.

Author:  1924 [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 4:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

think Rogue One will be more frontloaded and won't hold as well as TFA

Author:  Mannyisthebest [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 5:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Sunday drops are lower on this weekend and with a big opener it be lower.

Saturday was bad weather and that RO is adult skewing it should be around a 20% drop.


Also RO even with a 3X legs which is the min possibile during X-mas, its at 465 million.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 5:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

1924 wrote:
think Rogue One will be more frontloaded and won't hold as well as TFA


It was less frontloaded opening day. It was less frontloaded opening weekend. Why would it be more frontloaded in the long run?

Author:  zwackerm [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 6:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Dr. Lecter wrote:
1924 wrote:
think Rogue One will be more frontloaded and won't hold as well as TFA


It was less frontloaded opening day. It was less frontloaded opening weekend. Why would it be more frontloaded in the long run?

The Dark Shape?

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 7:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

?

Author:  Heinrich Himmler [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 7:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

The Dark Shape wrote:
I liked this movie but am not confident about its staying power with audiences.

Author:  Dil [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 7:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Really solid start for RO. I'm not sure if it will continue to play well with families or have many repeat viewings, but it is Star Wars and it's not like it has that much in terms of competition except maybe Sing which will definitely have more family appeal. I don't see less than $500M, but we'll just have to wait and see. Collateral Beauty was dead on arrival as expected, but I have a feeling it will have decent holiday legs. I'm way more interested to see how La La Land expands though.

Author:  Mannyisthebest [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 9:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Sunday is 38-41 according to RTH

This is going to be a long Holidays for SW detractors

Author:  nghtvsn [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 10:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Well that's awesome.

Author:  Darth Indiana Bond [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 10:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Mannyisthebest wrote:

This is going to be a long Holidays for SW detractors


Those plagued with lunacy will indeed suffer to no end this long, cold winter.

Author:  Rev [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 11:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Darth Indiana Bond wrote:
Mannyisthebest wrote:

This is going to be a long Holidays for SW detractors


Those plagued with lunacy will indeed suffer to no end this long, cold winter.

:thumbsup:

Author:  Steve [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 11:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Magnus wrote:
Also, this is the most unexciting 500m grosser ever. I'm not even going to put this in the top 5 most impressive BO feats this year.

Deadpool.... what else? Zootopia's legs? I don't remember many amazing things this year.

I agree it's kindof ho-hum. How quickly Disney's Star Wars money machine has begun to bore

Author:  Rev [ Sun Dec 18, 2016 11:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Steve wrote:
Magnus wrote:
Also, this is the most unexciting 500m grosser ever. I'm not even going to put this in the top 5 most impressive BO feats this year.

Deadpool.... what else? Zootopia's legs? I don't remember many amazing things this year.

I agree it's kindof ho-hum. How quickly Disney's Star Wars money machine has begun to bore

Also
Bad Moms
Secret Life of Pets
And couple horror movies I'm forgetting

Author:  Thegun [ Mon Dec 19, 2016 12:38 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates

Meh on all those choices, is Bad moms such a surprise? There is always a surprise R rated comedy. I agree that Rogue One is kind of the most uneventful huge film (I haven't seen it yet)

I'd say:
Dead pool
Dr. Strange
The Jungle Book ( I'll never know why, but people seemed surprised)
The Legend of Tarzan (had 80 million earner written all over it)
And Sully or ID42 (for how bad it did)

I'd put Suicide Squad but that marketing campaign made it hard to say it wouldn't happen

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