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| The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=81095 |
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| Author: | i.hope [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 9:30 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
Nah, they won a Nobel Prize. |
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| Author: | Chippy [ Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:02 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
(beyonce released an album, mufasa died in the movie and people still were real emotional about it) |
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| Author: | Shack [ Sat Jul 20, 2019 12:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
If the movie had 90% RT it probably could have beat the Force Awakens |
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| Author: | lesterg [ Sat Jul 20, 2019 5:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
Yep. The movie basically being a forgery of the original is what’s going to keep this club from succeeding. You almost wonder if the directors of the original could have a case with the dga for credit on this. |
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| Author: | lilmac [ Sat Jul 20, 2019 5:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
Great numbers, not fantastic. still it as signs of the market slowing down |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Sat Jul 20, 2019 6:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
The schedule is wide open and dailys will be better than any time of the year besides December. If Aladdin can get anywhere near a multiplier of 4, this can too. |
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| Author: | lilmac [ Thu Jul 25, 2019 12:25 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
I was wrong. Awesome rebound. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Jul 26, 2019 6:08 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
60% drop looks likely. Won’t get more than a 3x multiple at most and that’s if it gets good late legs like Spider Man Homecoming. I’m thinking around 550 total. |
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| Author: | lesterg [ Fri Jul 26, 2019 7:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
Yeah I don’t see any path to victory at this point. It was a bold prediction made the day the film was announced and I have no regrets about starting the club. I truly believe it would have happened if Disney had, you know, made a good movie. Thanks to all who joined! |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Sat Jul 27, 2019 6:34 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
August will be much better. It might get 650m, but nowhere near 750m. |
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| Author: | lilmac [ Sat Jul 27, 2019 9:12 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
No way it even gets to $600m. It would need 31% drops (3.22 multiplier) from here on out. This is frankly astonishing. PS: saw the movie finally and enjoyed it alot more than I expected |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Sun Jul 28, 2019 6:52 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
Don't know what math you are trying to use. It needs drops like 38% to reach 600m. It can drop in the 30s after H&S. Aladdin's first drop was 53%, and it faced more competition later in it's run. |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Sun Jul 28, 2019 6:57 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
I think you're making two big errors with your math. You're not including the current weekend, and you're not including weekdays. |
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| Author: | Omni [ Sun Jul 28, 2019 11:02 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
The concept of an "average 38% drop" is a bit misleading. It's much different if it drops 28% first and 48% then or viceversa. A 38% drop on its third weekend is really unlikely, so it actually needs to average a weekly drop in the low 30's% after its third weekend, which translates to weekend drops no higher than 30% considering the weakening of summer weekdays starting from week 5. Every drop above 45% next weekend makes the 600M mark absolutely impossible. Low 40s makes it unlikely. |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Sun Jul 28, 2019 2:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
We have to see if the holds improve like Aladdin, but with August competition I would bet on under 35% or better. People here didn't even think Aladdin would get 300m at first. |
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| Author: | Rev [ Mon Jul 29, 2019 10:02 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
Boy we were wrong on this |
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| Author: | Moviebuf [ Mon Jul 29, 2019 10:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
DP07 wrote: We have to see if the holds improve like Aladdin, but with August competition I would bet on under 35% or better. People here didn't even think Aladdin would get 300m at first. Aladdin is what is making me think people are under predicting. Lion King has essentially the rest of the summer to itself to nab the kids at home from school market during the weekdays. It won't get to 750 million, but 600 million sounds just about right. |
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| Author: | Spidey [ Thu Aug 01, 2019 7:48 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
The Lion King expands to 4,802 theaters this weekend, breaking the record for highest theater count it set two weeks ago. |
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| Author: | lesterg [ Tue Aug 13, 2019 8:03 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
Disney is hinting that Aladdin will get a sequel so you almost wonder if they’ll try making a follow-up to this. I’m not opposed to it because at least they’d be forced to do something original. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Tue Aug 13, 2019 10:33 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
Oddly enough - a sequel to TLK will probably get me to go and see it. They'll make one. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:11 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
Very keen for an Aladdin sequel. That has big potential. I could see a sequel to this decreasing. Probably still do big overseas but probably sub 500m. |
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| Author: | nghtvsn [ Wed Aug 14, 2019 12:12 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
I guess the music wasn’t strong enough to get this to the heights I thought |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Wed Aug 14, 2019 1:59 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
The music was been there/done that. I agree with public that an Aladdin sequel has greater upside. |
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| Author: | Eshwar [ Sat Sep 21, 2019 2:42 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
The movie basically being a forgery of the original is what’s going to keep this club from succeeding. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Sun Sep 22, 2019 6:47 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club |
Eshwar wrote: The movie basically being a forgery of the original is what’s going to keep this club from succeeding. Indeed! And welcome to KJ Eshwar! |
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