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 The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club 
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KJ's Leading Pundit
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
Guess we'll find out if god exists

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Thu Jul 18, 2019 3:50 pm
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
210/650m final prediction.

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Thu Jul 18, 2019 6:57 pm
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
Fan event was nice. Poster is great. Film excellent but I prefer Aladdin. Eichner nailed his part and singing. Nice applause at the end

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Thu Jul 18, 2019 10:17 pm
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KJ's Leading Pundit
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
Mufasa and Beyonce are trending on twitter. Which means nothing for the general audience, but that seems like something.

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

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Fuck Trump


Fri Jul 19, 2019 1:23 am
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The Kramer
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
Are they going to Area 51?


Fri Jul 19, 2019 3:03 am
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
Nah, they won a Nobel Prize.


Fri Jul 19, 2019 9:30 am
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
(beyonce released an album, mufasa died in the movie and people still were real emotional about it)

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

Rev wrote:
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Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:02 am
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
If the movie had 90% RT it probably could have beat the Force Awakens

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Sat Jul 20, 2019 12:15 pm
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
Yep. The movie basically being a forgery of the original is what’s going to keep this club from succeeding.

You almost wonder if the directors of the original could have a case with the dga for credit on this.

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Sat Jul 20, 2019 5:19 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
Great numbers, not fantastic. still it as signs of the market slowing down

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Sat Jul 20, 2019 5:36 pm
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
The schedule is wide open and dailys will be better than any time of the year besides December. If Aladdin can get anywhere near a multiplier of 4, this can too.


Sat Jul 20, 2019 6:19 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
I was wrong. Awesome rebound.

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Thu Jul 25, 2019 12:25 pm
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
60% drop looks likely. Won’t get more than a 3x multiple at most and that’s if it gets good late legs like Spider Man Homecoming. I’m thinking around 550 total.

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Fri Jul 26, 2019 6:08 pm
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
Yeah I don’t see any path to victory at this point. It was a bold prediction made the day the film was announced and I have no regrets about starting the club. I truly believe it would have happened if Disney had, you know, made a good movie.

Thanks to all who joined!

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Fri Jul 26, 2019 7:45 pm
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Homo Dperious
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
August will be much better. It might get 650m, but nowhere near 750m.


Sat Jul 27, 2019 6:34 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
No way it even gets to $600m. It would need 31% drops (3.22 multiplier) from here on out.
This is frankly astonishing.


PS: saw the movie finally and enjoyed it alot more than I expected

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Sat Jul 27, 2019 9:12 pm
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Homo Dperious
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
Don't know what math you are trying to use. It needs drops like 38% to reach 600m. It can drop in the 30s after H&S. Aladdin's first drop was 53%, and it faced more competition later in it's run.


Sun Jul 28, 2019 6:52 am
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
I think you're making two big errors with your math. You're not including the current weekend, and you're not including weekdays.


Sun Jul 28, 2019 6:57 am
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
The concept of an "average 38% drop" is a bit misleading. It's much different if it drops 28% first and 48% then or viceversa. A 38% drop on its third weekend is really unlikely, so it actually needs to average a weekly drop in the low 30's% after its third weekend, which translates to weekend drops no higher than 30% considering the weakening of summer weekdays starting from week 5.

Every drop above 45% next weekend makes the 600M mark absolutely impossible. Low 40s makes it unlikely.

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Sun Jul 28, 2019 11:02 am
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
We have to see if the holds improve like Aladdin, but with August competition I would bet on under 35% or better. People here didn't even think Aladdin would get 300m at first.


Sun Jul 28, 2019 2:58 pm
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
Boy we were wrong on this

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Mon Jul 29, 2019 10:02 pm
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
DP07 wrote:
We have to see if the holds improve like Aladdin, but with August competition I would bet on under 35% or better. People here didn't even think Aladdin would get 300m at first.


Aladdin is what is making me think people are under predicting.

Lion King has essentially the rest of the summer to itself to nab the kids at home from school market during the weekdays. It won't get to 750 million, but 600 million sounds just about right.

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Mon Jul 29, 2019 10:23 pm
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
The Lion King expands to 4,802 theaters this weekend, breaking the record for highest theater count it set two weeks ago.


Thu Aug 01, 2019 7:48 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
Disney is hinting that Aladdin will get a sequel so you almost wonder if they’ll try making a follow-up to this. I’m not opposed to it because at least they’d be forced to do something original.

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Tue Aug 13, 2019 8:03 am
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Post Re: The Lion King (live-action) over 750m domestic club
Oddly enough - a sequel to TLK will probably get me to go and see it.

They'll make one.

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Tue Aug 13, 2019 10:33 pm
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