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Sith Will Gross $150 Million By The End Of The Weekend!!!
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Author:  Maverikk [ Sun May 15, 2005 5:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Sith Will Gross $150 Million By The End Of The Weekend!!!
I was going to wait until tomorrow, but there's no sense, because I feel very strongly about this, so why wait? Again, I hope that you will consider what I have to say, and I will continue making my points for this as the week goes on. I won't be lowering these numbers, but I very well could raise them.

Matrix Reloaded $37,508,303 - Soon to be shattered by Sith. (Thursday opening record)

Matrix Reloaded $134,282,716 - Soon to be shattered by Sith. (4 day opening record)

Shrek 2 $44,797,042 - Soon to be broken by Sith (Single day record)

There may be more records than that which will be falling, but it's still early. If you want a conservative analysis that covers everything, http://www.worldofkj.com/Articles/John-Ep3.php

That will give you everything that you need to consider, but without a theater count, I couldn't go all out on the opening, as George has shown that he is picky when it comes to which theaters show his films. He has given up that nonsense, as he has learned all about frontloading and what it means for a box office since 2002. Sith will most likely open a lot higher than 3700 theaters, but even if it dioesn't, that's plenty for what it needs to do.

Those Matrix numbers seriously need to be looked at. Matrix was NEVER "the next Star Wars". The fanbase doesn't even compare, and when dealing with R ratings compared to PG-13 ratings, the numbers of avenues that will be explored to market this movie are already in full swing. We've all seen Darth Vadar choking the red M&M, and we've all seen Yoda sitting at the counter in the restaurant using a Jedi mind trick on an unsuspecting patron to get his diet Pepsi off of him.

We've seen episodes of Joey (his season finale), where part of the story centered around getting tickets, and we've seen SNL promoting it during a sketch.

I'm not sure which fast food chain has Star Wars, but it's probably McDonalds or Burger King, as kids will be heavily targeted, despite the PG-13 rating. Matrix had none of these fast food, promotional partner tie ins, and the like, because the R rating killed all of that.

Also, the slump at the box office, with absolutely nothing big sucking away the potential audience, is going to play a HUGE factor in the upcoming record smashing opening. Audiences from all walks of life a ready to rumble!!!

I will try to hone the numbers in more as the week goes by, as I still do have more research, but expect these results...

Sith will have a $45M day after next Sunday

Sith will have $150M after next Sunday

The force will be with George Lucas!

Who wants to join me below?

1. Maverikk
2. scottb
3. Archie Gates
4. The Dark Shape
5. BKB The Man ($160M)
6. jmart007
7. BJ
8. Mesjarch
9. Nebs
10. Daniel Raedts
11. Zingaling
12. MadGez
13. jb007
14. movies35
15. BOYFRESH
16. KidRock69x
17. baumer72
18. KC
19. deathawk
20. neo_wolf
21. loyalfromlondon
22. Scott Vasquez
23. Impact
Author:  torrino [ Sun May 15, 2005 5:36 pm ]
Post subject: 
Matrix did have a video game...;)

I think the bigger question is...Will Maverikk, Zingaling, and Star Wars give Star Wars anything less than an A? :razz:
Author:  zingy [ Sun May 15, 2005 5:39 pm ]
Post subject: 
torrino wrote:
Matrix did have a video game...;)

I think the bigger question is...Will Maverikk, Zingaling, and Star Wars give Star Wars anything less than an A? :razz:


Nope. :razz:

But, seriously, I'm starting to feel it. Sith can't be anything but huge. I don't know about the single day record, but opening day, Thursday opening, and 4-day, here we come. \:D/
Author:  torrino [ Sun May 15, 2005 5:47 pm ]
Post subject: 
I've heard from a trusted KJ source who's seen the movie and received promotional toys that BK is the sponsor. ;)
Author:  Maverikk [ Sun May 15, 2005 6:06 pm ]
Post subject: 
torrino wrote:
Matrix did have a video game...;)

I think the bigger question is...Will Maverikk, Zingaling, and Star Wars give Star Wars anything less than an A? :razz:


It really depends on the quality, but if it's as good as expected, I'll be one of many giving it an A+. This is the payoff, after all, and I've been a big fan of the prequels thus far.
Author:  Jeff 42 [ Mon May 16, 2005 12:31 am ]
Post subject: 
Based on your Monster-in-Law thread maybe I'll go with $144 million. ;)
Author:  Maverikk [ Mon May 16, 2005 12:37 am ]
Post subject: 
Jeff 42 wrote:
Based on your Monster-in-Law thread maybe I'll go with $144 million. ;)


haha...I'll work on getting you up to $150M. Plenty of info to still be shared, and by the end of Wednesday, it's my goal to make believers out of everyone. I think this is a no-brainer.
Author:  Rev [ Mon May 16, 2005 12:39 am ]
Post subject: 
i hope it does what you're predicting Mav. :) i'm rooting for it.....but not predicting it ;) now that i've come back down to earth.
Author:  Maverikk [ Mon May 16, 2005 12:42 am ]
Post subject: 
revolutions wrote:
i hope it does what you're predicting Mav. :) i'm rooting for it.....but not predicting it ;) now that i've come back down to earth.


It's not far fetched. Don't let any of these silly "Star Wars is not that popular" people convince you that you need to come back to reality.

Anybody who believes will be added to the first post. Please follow this thread, and you can join at any time. (before any numbers are available)

Sign up guys and gals!
Author:  scottb [ Mon May 16, 2005 12:47 am ]
Post subject: 
Its gonna be close I'm predicting between $145m and $150m. Also I give it 7 days to over taking Hitch for the #1 spot for this year so far and perhaps for good.
Author:  Maverikk [ Mon May 16, 2005 12:50 am ]
Post subject: 
scottb wrote:
Its gonna be close I'm predicting between $145m and $150m.


Suck it up , Scott. It's going to break out HUGE! Go with the $150M, and join me as one of the believers!
Author:  scottb [ Mon May 16, 2005 12:51 am ]
Post subject: 
Maverikk wrote:
scottb wrote:
Its gonna be close I'm predicting between $145m and $150m.


Suck it up , Scott. It's going to break out HUGE! Go with the $150M, and join me as one of the believers!


Sure I'll join you $150 million it is.
Author:  Maverikk [ Mon May 16, 2005 12:55 am ]
Post subject: 
Good deal!

That's two of us. Does anybody else have the guts? We're not wrong on this.
Author:  A. G. [ Mon May 16, 2005 1:03 am ]
Post subject: 
A week or two ago in the SW prediction thread I guessed 155m 4 day so yes I think it will pass 150m the first weekend.
Author:  Maverikk [ Mon May 16, 2005 1:05 am ]
Post subject: 
Archie Gates wrote:
A week or two ago in the SW prediction thread I guessed 155m 4 day so yes I think it will pass 150m the first weekend.


Alright, Archie! =D>

That's Three!
Author:  Rev [ Mon May 16, 2005 1:09 am ]
Post subject: 
Maverikk wrote:
revolutions wrote:
i hope it does what you're predicting Mav. :) i'm rooting for it.....but not predicting it ;) now that i've come back down to earth.


It's not far fetched. Don't let any of these silly "Star Wars is not that popular" people convince you that you need to come back to reality.

Anybody who believes will be added to the first post. Please follow this thread, and you can join at any time. (before any numbers are available)

Sign up guys and gals!


no thx :) but best wishes with your recruiting. ;)
Author:  scottb [ Mon May 16, 2005 1:10 am ]
Post subject: 
Archie Gates wrote:
A week or two ago in the SW prediction thread I guessed 155m 4 day so yes I think it will pass 150m the first weekend.


Welcome to the club.
Author:  matatonio [ Mon May 16, 2005 1:47 am ]
Post subject: 
NO!!!
Author:  Amos [ Mon May 16, 2005 1:53 am ]
Post subject: 
Something's holding me back from joining (rationality perhaps :wink: ) but I hope like hell you guys are right.

It's a shame ROTS won't beat Spider-Man's 3 day though...while SM is good it's not good enough to have a record that prestigious in my opinion. :???:
Author:  The Dark Shape [ Mon May 16, 2005 1:54 am ]
Post subject: 
Fuck it, why not? I'm tired of being "conservative" and "rational," so I'll be a total fanboy and agree.
Author:  Box [ Mon May 16, 2005 1:56 am ]
Post subject: 
Amos wrote:
Something's holding me back from joining (rationality perhaps :wink: ) but I hope like hell you guys are right.

It's a shame ROTS won't beat Spider-Man's 3 day though...while SM is good it's not good enough to have a record that prestigious in my opinion. :???:



And The Lost World and The Sorcerer's Stone were?


Heh, the title has been held by some pretty average films.

A $150m 4-day in May is a bit of a stretch. The film will require Thu and Sat to be the biggest days of all time, and I doubt that. $140m, maybe, but $150m is too much. I personally think it will make around $133m.
Author:  STEVE ROGERS [ Mon May 16, 2005 1:57 am ]
Post subject: 
I'm gonna raise your ante from 150 Million for the weekend to 160 Million.. =D>
Author:  scottb [ Mon May 16, 2005 2:05 am ]
Post subject: 
Amos wrote:
Something's holding me back from joining (rationality perhaps :wink: ) but I hope like hell you guys are right.

It's a shame ROTS won't beat Spider-Man's 3 day though...while SM is good it's not good enough to have a record that prestigious in my opinion. :???:


ROTS would probably break easily if it opened on Friday. By the way a $150m 4-day means about a $110m 3-day which would be pretty close to Spider-Man.
Author:  Jmart [ Mon May 16, 2005 2:05 am ]
Post subject: 
Maverikk wrote:
torrino wrote:
Matrix did have a video game...;)

I think the bigger question is...Will Maverikk, Zingaling, and Star Wars give Star Wars anything less than an A? :razz:


It really depends on the quality, but if it's as good as expected, I'll be one of many giving it an A+. This is the payoff, after all, and I've been a big fan of the prequels thus far.


If I give the movie anything lower than a A+, I will be shocked. I have progressively liked each new movie in the new series (Menace A-, Clones A) so if that trend stays the same........

Also, I'll join in agreeing that it will make $150 over the weekend. I hope/think it might go even a little bit higher.
Author:  Maverikk [ Mon May 16, 2005 2:05 am ]
Post subject: 
Dark Shape, jmart007, and BKB, I'm adding you.

Amos, Spider-Man is my favorite movie EVER!!! :mad: :wink:
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