Register  |  Sign In
View unanswered posts | View active topics It is currently Mon Nov 18, 2019 5:59 pm



Reply to topic  [ 29 posts ]  Go to page 1, 2  Next
 Early Friday #s (triple digits) 
Author Message
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 15325
Location: San Diego
Post Early Friday #s (triple digits)
100.4 according to Deadline.

Let's see if it sticks.


Sat Dec 16, 2017 2:36 am
Profile
Superfreak
User avatar

Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 20477
Location: Places
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
Tremendous. Should top $200m with that and challenge for 2nd biggest ow of all time.

_________________
Ari Emmanuel wrote:
I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.


Sat Dec 16, 2017 3:24 am
Profile
Top Poster
User avatar

Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm
Posts: 5886
Location: New York
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
So that'd be down only -11% from TFA's Friday gross, right?

That's pretty great retention.


Sat Dec 16, 2017 3:52 am
Profile
KJ's Most Embarssing Misspeller
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 4:20 pm
Posts: 55999
Location: The District
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
100m OD would be great obviously. THe start of a long four weeks of BO dominance.

_________________
MadGez wrote:
Listen to Magnus he knows his shit.
Darth Indiana Bond wrote:
Magnus is right
trixster wrote:
magnus is my hero
Loyal wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Magnus is the fucking voice of reason.
That's scary.
bABA wrote:
fuck Magnus
zwackerm wrote:
You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.


Sat Dec 16, 2017 4:46 am
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 63722
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
Yeah, huge. But it is only an estimate. Isn't it likely to go down? Don't they, on average, go down more often than staying flat or increasing?


Sat Dec 16, 2017 4:49 am
Profile
Romosexual!

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 29609
Location: the last free city
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
Algren wrote:
Yeah, huge. But it is only an estimate. Isn't it likely to go down? Don't they, on average, go down more often than staying flat or increasing?

Yep! It’ll go down to around 95m. Deadline always over estimate

_________________
2019! The year Disney takes the box office. ALL THE $$$

Fuck the Orange Clown!


Sat Dec 16, 2017 8:05 am
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8631
Location: Toronto, Canada
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
^ RTH says its 105 actually.

_________________
The Dark Prince

Image


Sat Dec 16, 2017 8:46 am
Profile WWW
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 15325
Location: San Diego
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
Whoa. So its actual Friday was almost on par with TFA. Very impressive.


Sat Dec 16, 2017 9:37 am
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8631
Location: Toronto, Canada
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
Yeah that suggests a backloaded weekend ^^^

_________________
The Dark Prince

Image


Sat Dec 16, 2017 9:53 am
Profile WWW
Why is the rum gone???
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 30236
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
Amazing how big these movies are becoming.


Sat Dec 16, 2017 10:11 am
Profile
Romosexual!

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 29609
Location: the last free city
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
Mannyisthebest wrote:
^ RTH says its 105 actually.

WOAH! :whaa:

_________________
2019! The year Disney takes the box office. ALL THE $$$

Fuck the Orange Clown!


Sat Dec 16, 2017 11:03 am
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 8962
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
So about $210m for Jedi, definitely great!

I'm a little disappointed with Ferdinand given Blue Sky's track record and nearly 400K Facebook likes.

_________________
Making Predictions Great Again!


Sat Dec 16, 2017 11:05 am
Profile
Romosexual!

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 29609
Location: the last free city
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
Rolling Thunder wrote:
So about $210m for Jedi, definitely great!

I'm a little disappointed with Ferdinand given Blue Sky's track record and nearly 400K Facebook likes.


:yes: as long as it ends up beating Jurassic World OW I'll be happy.

_________________
2019! The year Disney takes the box office. ALL THE $$$

Fuck the Orange Clown!


Sat Dec 16, 2017 11:14 am
Profile
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 11863
Location: Augsburg (2,034 years young)
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
$104,787,000

_________________
Nothing Compares 2 U


Sat Dec 16, 2017 11:59 am
Profile WWW
Romosexual!

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 29609
Location: the last free city
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
mark66 wrote:
$104,787,000


Impressive, most impressive :thumbsup:

_________________
2019! The year Disney takes the box office. ALL THE $$$

Fuck the Orange Clown!


Sat Dec 16, 2017 12:00 pm
Profile
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 11863
Location: Augsburg (2,034 years young)
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
1 - Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $104,787,000 - - 4,232 $24,761 $104,787,000 1
2 - Ferdinand Fox $3,600,000 - - 3,621 $994 $3,600,000 1

3 1 Coco BV $2,243,000 +110% -47% 3,155 $711 $143,028,896 24
4 2 Wonder LGF $1,480,000 +78% -41% 3,047 $486 $105,336,738 29
5 3 Justice League WB $1,060,000 +88% -58% 2,702 $392 $216,346,347 29
6 8 Daddy's Home 2 Par. $910,000 +194% -43% 2,493 $365 $93,689,982 36
7 4 Thor: Ragnarok BV $780,000 +76% -54% 1,895 $412 $304,174,120 43
8 5 The Disaster Artist A24 $750,000 +80% -72% 1,010 $743 $11,045,131 15
9 6 Murder on the Orient Express (2017) Fox $675,000 +97% -55% 1,923 $351 $95,457,742 36
10 7 Lady Bird A24 $550,000 +63% -46% 947 $581 $24,419,389 43
11 - The Shape of Water FoxS $490,000 +378% +22% 158 $3,101 $2,372,564 15
12 9 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri FoxS $416,000 +44% -50% 944 $441 $20,164,978 36

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/char ... -15&p=.htm

_________________
Nothing Compares 2 U


Sat Dec 16, 2017 12:16 pm
Profile WWW
Hold the door!
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 14819
Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
Pretty atrocious for Ferdinand. Should have at least matched The Road Chip.

_________________
Image


Sat Dec 16, 2017 12:18 pm
Profile
Romosexual!

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 29609
Location: the last free city
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
Oh man sad for Ferdinand

_________________
2019! The year Disney takes the box office. ALL THE $$$

Fuck the Orange Clown!


Sat Dec 16, 2017 12:21 pm
Profile
Forum General

Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8129
Location: Houston, Texas
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
Fantastic for TLJ, but Ferdinand is somewhat disappointing. Obviously, most families were going to choose to see Star Wars over it though. I couldn't even remember what the hell Road Chips did, so I looked it up and that only did $14M against TFA. Ferdinand won't be far from that and it could still finish with $80-$85M, but it all depends on how Jumanji affects it aswell.


Sat Dec 16, 2017 12:45 pm
Profile
Don't Dream It, Be It
User avatar

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 28666
Location: The Graveyard
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
Very strong number, indeed. I don't think anyone could have expected much higher, honestly, and it's very likely achieving the second biggest opening weekend with it.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sat Dec 16, 2017 12:58 pm
Profile WWW
Forum General

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 8705
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
Great number. Looks like for the first time ever though, the top film of the year domestically will NOT be the top film for an individual market for the year. Wolf Warrior's sequel made $867.6 m in China, which SW may not reach.


Sat Dec 16, 2017 1:10 pm
Profile WWW
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am
Posts: 7033
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
Yawn.

Star Wars is so incredibly overrated.

_________________
Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m


Sat Dec 16, 2017 1:32 pm
Profile WWW
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 33239
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
Not sure why people expected more for Ferdinand going up against The Last Jedi, not to mention there's still some competition from Coco and even a little from Wonder. It's pretty much in typical "family film before Christmas" territory.

Charlotte's Web - $11,457,353 OW/$82,985,708 Total
Jimmy Neutron: Boy Genius - $13,832,786 OW/$80,936,232 Total
Alvin & The Chipmunks: The Road Chip - $14,287,159 OW/$85,886,987 Total

Yogi Bear did better but didn't have anything like Star Wars to open against.

That was $16,411,322 OW and $100,246,011 Total.

Ferdinand should be good for 80-100 Million.


I knew The Disaster Artist would see a pretty good drop this weekend, but this is disastrous. Very front-loaded movie.

Definitely expected more from The Shape of Water.

_________________
Image


Sat Dec 16, 2017 1:40 pm
Profile
KJ's Most Embarssing Misspeller
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 4:20 pm
Posts: 55999
Location: The District
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
The films OD is actually around where I was expecting it prior to the preview numbers but the films preview/Friday ratio is much healthier than I expected so that's a positive sign that the film may actually have less of a frontloading factor than TFA.

In fact, I think the 215m projection is low. It's Friday was about 60m, which is just slightly below TFA 62m Friday. Both TFA and Rogue one had 10% increase on Saturday over their Friday (without preview) number. I don't see any reason why TLJ won't do that, which would be a 66m Saturday. And I don't see it dropping worse than Rogue One did on its Sunday, which would give it a 53m Sunday which would add up to about a 224m OW.

215m projection to me is really a worst case at this point. It should very likely cross 220m OW and has a solid shot at breaking 225m.

_________________
MadGez wrote:
Listen to Magnus he knows his shit.
Darth Indiana Bond wrote:
Magnus is right
trixster wrote:
magnus is my hero
Loyal wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Magnus is the fucking voice of reason.
That's scary.
bABA wrote:
fuck Magnus
zwackerm wrote:
You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.


Sat Dec 16, 2017 1:44 pm
Profile
KJ's Most Embarssing Misspeller
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 4:20 pm
Posts: 55999
Location: The District
Post Re: Early Friday #s (triple digits)
So its retention is gonna be about 90% whereas Ultrons OW retention from Avengers was 92%. Given that Ultron had three year gap thus one year of inflation extra, its basically a similar audience OW hold from TLJ/TFA and Avengers/Ultron.

Ultron though was much more frontloaded and had 80% of the legs as Avengers. If TLJ had 80% of TFA legs, it would get a 3.0 multiplier and about a 670m total. That to me is the low-end projection for the film as of today.

I think 90% of TFA legs would be similar to what Rogue One did and I think that's reasonable, which puts its projection to 765m, slightly above Avatar for second of all time.

_________________
MadGez wrote:
Listen to Magnus he knows his shit.
Darth Indiana Bond wrote:
Magnus is right
trixster wrote:
magnus is my hero
Loyal wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Magnus is the fucking voice of reason.
That's scary.
bABA wrote:
fuck Magnus
zwackerm wrote:
You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.


Sat Dec 16, 2017 1:58 pm
Profile
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Reply to topic   [ 29 posts ]  Go to page 1, 2  Next

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 6 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group.
Designed by STSoftware for PTF.