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TFA under Avatar's 4th weekend club
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=79233
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Author:  lilmac [ Sun Jan 03, 2016 3:16 pm ]
Post subject:  TFA under Avatar's 4th weekend club

Nothing against TFA but I think the 4th weekend is when we start seeing weekend tallies fall under Avatar's. Who agrees?

Author:  Mesjarch [ Sun Jan 03, 2016 3:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: TFA under Avatar's 4th weekend club

TFA needs a better drop then 43%. Yeah this club is an easy win.

Author:  zwackerm [ Sun Jan 03, 2016 3:28 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: TFA under Avatar's 4th weekend club

Easy in. Will probably be below 45 million.

Author:  The Dark Shape [ Sun Jan 03, 2016 3:41 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: TFA under Avatar's 4th weekend club

Probably.

I mean, Monday's number will tell the tale, since FORCE AWAKENS' Friday will be something like Monday + 50%.

Author:  Rev [ Sun Jan 03, 2016 3:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: TFA under Avatar's 4th weekend club

Sadly in

Author:  Mesjarch [ Sun Jan 03, 2016 3:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: TFA under Avatar's 4th weekend club

The Dark Shape wrote:
Probably.

I mean, Monday's number will tell the tale, since FORCE AWAKENS' Friday will be something like Monday + 50%.


Why would it be Monday +50% in January?

If it's Monday is 7M then you expect only 10.5 M Friday? Unless you expect under $35M weekend for TFA

Author:  The Dark Shape [ Sun Jan 03, 2016 4:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: TFA under Avatar's 4th weekend club

Mesjarch wrote:
The Dark Shape wrote:
Probably.

I mean, Monday's number will tell the tale, since FORCE AWAKENS' Friday will be something like Monday + 50%.


Why would it be Monday +50% in January?


It's a pessimistic number based on every such Monday->Friday increase in 2009.

AVATAR: $8m + (65%) = $13.2m
SHERLOCK HOLMES: $2.9m + (72%) = $5m
ALVIN AND THE CHIPMUNKS 2: $2.2m + (54%) = $3.4m
IT'S COMPLICATED: $1.4m + (128%) = $3.2m
THE BLIND SIDE: $824k + (175%) = $2.2m

Etc.

AVATAR had one of the lowest Monday->Friday multipliers in the Top 10. So, as I said, FORCE AWAKENS' Monday should tell the tale. If it's $8.5m or so, it should at the very least have a bigger Friday than AVATAR.

Author:  mdana [ Sun Jan 03, 2016 4:41 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: TFA under Avatar's 4th weekend club

I think I already started this club and none of you joined in time. :P

mdana wrote:
There seems to be a certain symmetry to theses b.o. behemoths. Just as TPM fell behind Titanic on its 3rd weekend after it opened almost 3 times as big. SW 7 will fall behind Avatar on the 4th weekend.


viewtopic.php?f=12&t=79056&p=2082041#p2082041

Author:  DP07 [ Sun Jan 03, 2016 5:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: TFA under Avatar's 4th weekend club

Yeah.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Jan 03, 2016 10:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: TFA under Avatar's 4th weekend club

With $88m estimates it should most fall under Avatar's 4th weekend. Don't think we needed a club for this.

Author:  Thegun [ Mon Jan 04, 2016 4:55 am ]
Post subject:  Re: TFA under Avatar's 4th weekend club

Yeah 45 or seems right. No need for a club now

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