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When will it happen?
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=79160
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Author:  mark66 [ Sun Dec 27, 2015 8:27 am ]
Post subject:  When will it happen?

When will SW7 pass AVATAR (domestic)?

Poll runs for 3 days...

Author:  Algren [ Sun Dec 27, 2015 8:33 am ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

delusional*

Author:  mark66 [ Sun Dec 27, 2015 8:41 am ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

I know, but I used the urban dictionary...

http://de.urbandictionary.com/define.ph ... illusional

Author:  Rev [ Sun Dec 27, 2015 10:05 am ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

Monday the 18th

Author:  O [ Sun Dec 27, 2015 10:27 am ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

I chose the 7th of January.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Dec 27, 2015 10:38 am ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

8th January

Author:  xiayun [ Sun Dec 27, 2015 12:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

Jan 3. That will make a good headline for the next weekend.

Author:  mdana [ Sun Dec 27, 2015 12:39 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

xiayun wrote:
Jan 3. That will make a good headline for the next weekend.



Are those your calculations, or just a feeling?

Author:  Star Lord [ Sun Dec 27, 2015 12:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

3. January.

Author:  xiayun [ Sun Dec 27, 2015 1:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

mdana wrote:
xiayun wrote:
Jan 3. That will make a good headline for the next weekend.



Are those your calculations, or just a feeling?


Was purely based on my rough estimates from last week when posted it initially, now dived into it a little deeper using the most recent numbers, it's definitely looking good to surpass Avatar by then, if not Saturday.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Dec 27, 2015 5:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

Hmm, I'm thinking January 4th.

Author:  BJ [ Sun Dec 27, 2015 6:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

jan 2 or jan 3

Author:  mark66 [ Tue Dec 29, 2015 9:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

Hurry up and vote!

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Tue Dec 29, 2015 10:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

Based on my calculations this will be on 4th Jan now. Surprising that no one picked that up in the poll.

Author:  mark66 [ Wed Dec 30, 2015 11:47 am ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

I picked January 3rd as well...

Author:  xiayun [ Wed Dec 30, 2015 12:15 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

It'll either be 3rd or the 4th at current rate.

Author:  mark66 [ Sat Jan 02, 2016 5:58 am ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

Looks like Tuesday to me now...

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sat Jan 02, 2016 6:12 am ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

It will still do $90m this weekend with higher numbers than Avatar. It should do another $8m+ on Monday to take over Avatar's first run though ofcourse it would need another day to reach the re-run total.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Jan 03, 2016 12:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

Its Sunday it quite close to Avatar's Sunday so I think it will take Wednesday for this to happen which no one picked again.

Author:  Thegun [ Sun Jan 03, 2016 1:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

Wednesday definitely if not on Tuesday. it seems to me like it should be able to avg the next 2 days 10 million a day.

Author:  mdana [ Sun Jan 03, 2016 1:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

Jack Sparrow wrote:
Its Sunday it quite close to Avatar's Sunday so I think it will take Wednesday for this to happen which no one picked again.


I was never sure this was counting 1st run only or not. By the time I figured it out the poll closed. It is amazing how many of these daily polls none of has picked the right answer as much as we follow the box office.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Jan 03, 2016 11:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

Thegun wrote:
Wednesday definitely if not on Tuesday. it seems to me like it should be able to avg the next 2 days 10 million a day.


Why? Its Sunday is only about $2m ahead of Avatar and that did $8m Monday and $7.3m Tuesday. Why would SW7 do $2m more each day when its Sunday itself is just that big?

Author:  Thegun [ Sun Jan 03, 2016 11:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

Isn't the 4th the day people can start using free passes, coupons, etc. And discount Tuesdays are much better 6 years later. But that's why I said Wednesday definitely. Especially since it also plays better to older audiences and kids than Avatar did. If I'm wrong it'll probably be near 758 on Tuesday.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Mon Jan 04, 2016 2:19 am ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

Yeah I am not sure about the passes in the states but I do know that the same would have been applicable to all movies and that a lot of movies see a big decline on the first Monday of the year. Tuesday has been strong but we haven't seen the case as of now with SW7, its not holding better than Avatar Tuesday's.

A reasonable projection from $19.4m Sunday (could increase) would be $8.73m Monday (55% drop) and $8.46m Tuesday (3% drop) with about 20% drop on Wednesday.

Author:  Thegun [ Mon Jan 04, 2016 4:53 am ]
Post subject:  Re: When will it happen?

So you're saying 757 and I'm saying 758-761. Very trivial. All im saying is there is a chance. But Wednesday is the definitive

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