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SW7 Monday predictions
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=79082
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Author:  mark66 [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 7:20 pm ]
Post subject:  SW7 Monday predictions

So Disney says $48.8m, rival studios see around $55m and RTH agrees that Disney lowballed Sunday...

Where do you see SW7's Monday?

And here's a look at the drops 6 years ago when the holidays fell on the same dates as this year:

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/char ... -21&p=.htm

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 7:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

$35 million

Author:  BJ [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 7:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

38m

Author:  DP07 [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 7:30 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

Something absurd.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 10:54 am ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

Apparently it made $61 million on Sunday.

My revised Monday prediction: $38 million

Author:  Rev [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 11:17 am ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

37.5m - 40m :D

I'm seeing it again tonight (#5)

Author:  mdana [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 11:48 am ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

$40m ain't happening. So far:

AMC Tysons Corner 16 12/20/15

Time-Capacity
8:30-55%
8:45-55%
9:00-Sold Out S/O
9:20-65%
10:00-80%
10:55-S/O
11:20-75%
12:05-NA
12:30-S/O
1:20-74%
2:10-S/O
2:35-74%
3:00-80%
3:35-75%
4:00-S/O
4:45-75%
5:30-S/O
6:00-85%
6:30-90%
7:05-S/O
7:30-S/O
8:20-80%



AMC Tysons Corner 16 12/21/15
Time-Capacity

9:00-70%
9:30-63 seats sold
10:00-26%/133tickets sold
10:55-S/O 299
11:40-55/252
12:05-33/240
12:30-S/O/480
1:20-175/500
2:10-S/O/299
2:35-127/252 50%
3:00-N/A
3:35-68/240
4:00-400/480 (normally I would count as sell out, what do others think)

220-299 seat screens, unless 480-500

Author:  Omni [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 11:59 am ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

37/38M depending on actuals.

Author:  mark66 [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 4:41 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

I'm going with a 32 % drop to $41,176,170

Author:  Chippy [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 4:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

It'll destroy the Monday record... Can it get the Tuesday record, though?

Author:  zwackerm [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 4:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

I hope it goes as low as possible. This movie will set the precedent for how front loaded it is possible for a film to be at this time of year.

Author:  Biggestgeekever [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 4:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

What I've always found remarkable on Dec 21, 2009, is that Avatar didn't even have close to best decline. Were the snowstorms still having an impact on the BO at that point?

Author:  mark66 [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 4:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

zwackerm wrote:
I hope it goes as low as possible. This movie will set the precedent for how front loaded it is possible for a film to be at this time of year.
I thought the precedent is I AM LEGEND?

Author:  Chippy [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 4:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

mark66 wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
I hope it goes as low as possible. This movie will set the precedent for how front loaded it is possible for a film to be at this time of year.
I thought the precedent is I AM LEGEND?


The Day the Earth Stood Still (2008)

Author:  BJ [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

40m+ looking like a possibility, on pace for 20+ sellouts again today here, only thing in its way is 20 less showings.

Author:  mdana [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

Biggestgeekever wrote:
What I've always found remarkable on Dec 21, 2009, is that Avatar didn't even have close to best decline. Were the snowstorms still having an impact on the BO at that point?


There were 3 snowstorms that impacted three of Avatar's weekends: 2 on the East Coast and one in the Midwest. I think it was The 1st, 2nd, and 6th weekend, but that is just how I remember it.

Author:  BJ [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

12pm hour just went insane, 19 sellouts on the day so far

Author:  Biggestgeekever [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

mdana wrote:
Biggestgeekever wrote:
What I've always found remarkable on Dec 21, 2009, is that Avatar didn't even have close to best decline. Were the snowstorms still having an impact on the BO at that point?


There were 3 snowstorms that impacted three of Avatar's weekends: 2 on the East Coast and one in the Midwest. I think it was The 1st, 2nd, and 6th weekend, but that is just how I remember it.
Hmm, based on the past, fantastic Sunday holds for well received blockbusters tend to correlate with fantastic Monday holds. If films in general behave the same way as in '09, TFA could be looking at a sub 25% drop today.

I... think I will remain more conservative and go with $38M.

Author:  DP07 [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

Yeah, 40m+

Author:  mdana [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:28 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

I must be missing something, because to me it looks like a hybrid of DH2 and Avatar. The holiday and extended previews are messing with people's perceptions of what is real and holiday artifact.

Author:  mark66 [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:31 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

$248m are real...

...in December

Author:  Corpse [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

$37.9 million

Author:  The Dark Shape [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

Lots.

Author:  redfirebird2008 [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

$37-38m...$40m would be awesome though.

Author:  Jonathan [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 6:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: SW7 Monday predictions

$37.1 million sounds about right.

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