A 12% drop with the current Friday and Saturday figures would get us to $250M. Maybe Disney can find a few extra million for the 18th and 19th.
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| SW7 Sunday predictions http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=79073 |
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| Author: | mark66 [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 7:42 am ] |
| Post subject: | SW7 Sunday predictions |
According to RTH, Saturday should be around $68-69m, what's your guess for Sunday? |
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| Author: | Mannyisthebest [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 8:27 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
Sunday seems to be the busiest since TA and JW. Even 1130PM sunday shows are already 50% full lol |
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| Author: | stuffp [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 8:48 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
53m is my guess. |
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| Author: | Rev [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 9:16 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
Be nice if Sunday matches its preview of $57m |
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| Author: | Mesjarch [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 10:25 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
$51M which would be -25% from Saturday. Probably it will have a smaller drop but let's be careful. |
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| Author: | mark66 [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 12:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
I'm going with a 16 % drop to $57.7m - $8.9m more than the Disney estimate... |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 6:39 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
It will be whatever the amount Disney needed to get the WW record once other actuals are tabulated (since other territories will report first). It's $7.9m short right now, so I'll just go with $56.8m for a 17.3% drop. |
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| Author: | Biggestgeekever [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 6:47 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
A 12% drop with the current Friday and Saturday figures would get us to $250M. Maybe Disney can find a few extra million for the 18th and 19th.
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| Author: | BJ [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 6:51 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
60m+ |
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| Author: | mark66 [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 7:02 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
THR: And there's a strong chance Force Awakens will come in even higher once final weekend grosses are tallied Monday morning. Rival studios show it approaching $245 million in North America. (Disney has erred on the side of caution throughout the weekend). http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/s ... _boxoffice |
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| Author: | mark66 [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 7:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
Magnus wrote: 245m would compel me to say that 800m is a lock. BTW, my own prediction on my website was $238m/$888m... |
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| Author: | mark66 [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 7:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
So DLH is now saying $241m-$246m... |
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| Author: | mark66 [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 10:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
RTH speaketh "It'll be well over 50" |
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| Author: | Mannyisthebest [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 10:09 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
RTH 54-57 |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 11:20 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
Wow these numbers in December are just INSANE. Its Sunday would also be in Top 10 December OW....MOTHER OF GOD. |
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| Author: | mdana [ Sun Dec 20, 2015 11:34 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
I have found the reporting on the B.O. for SW all week to be very suspicious. Is Disney, being overly cautious due to over estimating Ultron earlier in the year? Are their estimates not matching everyone else's bullish observations? Or is it: xiayun wrote: It will be whatever the amount Disney needed to get the WW record once other actuals are tabulated (since other territories will report first). It's $7.9m short right now, so I'll just go with $56.8m for a 17.3% drop. Seems like they get buzz from breaking that record and exceeding the estimate by an "out of this world" amount. In my estimation from theater sampling whatever Friday (minus previews) actually was, Saturday was 5-10% higher than Friday, and Sunday was 15-20% below Saturday, definitely no worse than 25% down. |
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| Author: | Mannyisthebest [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 12:00 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
There was blood in the halls of Disney after Ultron so they stayed Conservative |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 12:02 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
I'd say they are being conservative here. Its also December so they HAVE to stay cautious. |
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| Author: | Mannyisthebest [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 12:07 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
RTH is saying 57 likely and more. |
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| Author: | mdana [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 12:25 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
Another possibility was the massive preordered tickets created accounting issues that they were not use to handling. Will be interesting to see if got WW record. |
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| Author: | Mesjarch [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 2:16 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
Studios have very hard time with Sunday projections when it comes to those 150M+ openers. This year FF7, AOU and JW added 4-5 milion $ in actuals, mostly due to better then estimated Sundays. |
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| Author: | BJ [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 2:26 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
RTH Quote: Sunday looking 59-62, may update later see how actual look tomorrow. fuck yeah! |
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| Author: | m051293 [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 2:32 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
BJ wrote: RTH Quote: Sunday looking 59-62, may update later see how actual look tomorrow. fuck yeah! lmao no wonder BOT crashed. |
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| Author: | redfirebird2008 [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 2:37 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
$62m Sunday is insane. $1B domestic here we come. |
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| Author: | m051293 [ Mon Dec 21, 2015 2:39 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: SW7 Sunday predictions |
That might be the most impressive number so far (and preview number), even on the low end. |
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