Sisters Universal 2,900+
Star Wars: The Force Awakens Buena Vista 3,900
Alvin and the Chipmunks The Road Chip Fox Nationwide
LEGGGGGGOOOO
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| December 18-20 predictions http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=78985 |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | December 18-20 predictions |
Sisters Universal 2,900+ Star Wars: The Force Awakens Buena Vista 3,900 Alvin and the Chipmunks The Road Chip Fox Nationwide LEGGGGGGOOOO |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:11 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
Alvin's definitely got this one. |
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| Author: | Chippy [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
SW7- $185 mil Sisters- $17.5 mil Alvin- $13 mil |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
Star Wars: The Force Awakens - All da money Sisters - Less money Alvin - Even less money |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 228 Alvin - 15 Sisters - 12 |
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| Author: | The Dark Shape [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:29 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
My brain is telling me to predict $180m for STAR WARS. My gut is telling me to predict $230m. $205m! |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
First: it is not going to open below $200 million Second: TDS, do you seriously believe, Disney will let fucking Star Wars come within $5 million of the record and not break it? They will pay the money themselves if they have to, but it is not gonna do $205 million. |
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| Author: | SolC9 [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:40 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 230M Sisters - 15M Alvin and the Chipmunks: Road Chip - 13M |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 6:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
Alvin-210 Sisters-90 WTF is TFA? Probably sub 10 million. |
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| Author: | Mannyisthebest [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 6:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
Lol funny how the conservative perdicts are over 180 million |
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| Author: | Heinrich Himmler [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 6:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
excel's prediction will be even more conservative, or else he will lose his face. |
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| Author: | BJ [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 6:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
The Force Awakens - 250m Road Chip - 25m Sisters - 15m |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 7:20 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 200M Sisters - 15M Alvin and the Chipmunks: Road Chip - 12M I really want to predict $230m+ for TFA but despite the fact its is on track to become the biggest grosser of all time - i think the $$$ will be well spread over the first two weeks of release. $200m OW in December is like a $250m+ OW in the summer IMO. |
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| Author: | David [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 7:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 196.7 million Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip - 17.09m Sisters - 11.9m |
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| Author: | Steve [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 9:03 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
Star Wars 240m Alvin 12m Sisters 9m |
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| Author: | trixie [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 9:03 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
Star Wars: The Force Awakens: 210m Alvin: 17m Sisters: 11m |
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| Author: | Dil [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 9:24 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 220 Chipmunks - 13 Sisters - 11 |
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| Author: | Mannyisthebest [ Fri Dec 11, 2015 10:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
208.9 million #DISNEYSTRIKESBACK |
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| Author: | Price [ Sat Dec 12, 2015 6:17 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
The Force Awakens - 200m+ Road Chip - 13m Sisters - $17 (thompsoncory and Magic Mike) |
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| Author: | Rev [ Sat Dec 12, 2015 9:12 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
The Force Awakens - 258.8m (tops the record by 50m)  Sisters - 24.5m Alllllviiiinnn! - 20m |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Sat Dec 12, 2015 9:22 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
My final prediction is going to depend on the final theatre count. I will assume 3950 for now and going with $215 million. |
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| Author: | Libs [ Sat Dec 12, 2015 11:14 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
Star Wars - 200 Alvin - 17 Sisters - 14 |
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| Author: | SolC9 [ Sat Dec 12, 2015 9:25 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
So what would be a disappointing opening for Force Awakens? Taking the fact that it's opening in December and money will be spread out to the holidays into account, I think it has to be a top 5 OW of all time to not be disappointing. That means making at least 170M and topping DH2 OW. That said and December opening aside, it really shouldn't open less than 200M. I hope Rev is right with his super high prediction, but only if the movie is satisfying and not an abomination. |
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| Author: | Chippy [ Sun Dec 13, 2015 12:08 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
It would be disappointing if it opened under $150 mil. |
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| Author: | O [ Sun Dec 13, 2015 3:46 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: December 18-20 predictions |
1 Star Wars $261.1 m SW Ep. 3 adjusts to $206,157,600 over its first 4 days today. Considering that followed the worst performing SW film I think this is very achievable. Avengers adjusts now to $213 m, and Jurassic World did $208 m but I still feel there's quite a bit of room to go even in December. I'm going to go with $261.1 m, which is a bit higher than the 22% increase on the OW record jump Avengers made over HP7 Pt. 2. I feel like the market has grown a lot and think this is a rare pop culture event that everyone is going to want to see OW due to FOMO despite being December. People won't be able to go to a holiday party without seeing SW in a lot of cases. Cross demographic appeal to every demographic and one of the weakest November box office's in the past 20 years in terms of anticipated movies only helps. 2) Sisters $28 m Despite the Star Wars monster on the horizon, a hotly anticipated movie can still do really well against a pop culture giant. Mamma Mia comes to mind against The Dark Knight, adjusting today to $32.2 m. Sisters trailers are getting great reception every time that I can't see this going under Baby Mama adjusted for inflation even in December as the starpower of Fey/Poehler has gone up significantly since then. At the highest level, What Woman Want would adjust today to $52 m. But I feel like more people will watch this than J Lo's MIM ($26.9 m adjusted). I feel like next weekend will be a one off weekend that everyone "has to go to the movies" and Sisters is going to get a significant spillover effect as well. Throwing it out there now, Sisters will have a chance at $160 m+ and pull a Meet The Fockers type run with any OW over $30 m. Also not betting against Universal this year. They clearly must have indicators that there was a high likelihood of success counterprogramming with Star Wars or they would have budged on this one. 3 Alvin $16 m You have to give it to this franchise, it seems to survive a lot longer than anyone thought it would. The last one adjusts to $23-24 m OW. Despite Star Wars, this will probably see some solid business due to underwhelming showings of other family films. |
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