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$1b movies of 2016
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=77853
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Author:  mark66 [ Fri Jul 10, 2015 2:17 pm ]
Post subject:  $1b movies of 2016

Well, just 6 months left of 2015, time to look forward...

It was really difficult, to select the movies in the poll, as my list of contenders included 30 movies, but the poll allows only for 20...

The ones I did not include in the poll:
Dead Pool
Peregrine's Home for Peculiars
Christ the Lord
The Jungle Book
Star Trek 3
Pete's Dragon
Gambit
Geostorm
Trolls
Assassin's Creed

Author:  Chippy [ Fri Jul 10, 2015 2:22 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

I voted for 8.

BvS, Civil War, Ice Age 5, Finding Dory, Star Wars, ID4 2, Alice in Wonderland 2, Apocalypse

Author:  mark66 [ Fri Jul 10, 2015 2:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

I haven't made up my mind yet but I think I will include Kung Fu Panda 3 as a Chinese co-production as well...

Author:  matatonio [ Fri Jul 10, 2015 2:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

I forgot to vote for the Lock, Batman vs. Superman, lol. Voted for Finding Dory, Captain America - Civil War and Star Wars: Rogue One

Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Jul 10, 2015 7:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

Kung Fu Panda 3 I could see stay about flat domestically, and get an increase overseas, but it probably won't be that big. Ben-Hur probably not. Zootopia will be a tough sell overseas like most non Disney Princess original animated films. Probably won't do more than Big Hero 6. Batman vs. Superman will probably do it, 400 million domestically should be easy, though it would need to near double MOS's take overseas. I voted for that one. Captain America - Civil War I believe will do something like 150 OW because despite the presence of Iron Man, it's not an Iron Man movie, and people didn't exactly love AOU. I see it just missing. Alice will be big overseas, but much growth would surprise me. Probably will do 250 domestic at absolute best.
X-Men: Apocalypse probably won't get that much of an increase. Warcraft of course not. Finding Dory should pretty easily. Independence Day 2 should also. The BFG has no chance. The Secret Life of Pets won't for the same reason Zootopia won't. Ice Age 5 has to see a decrease overseas by now, so no. Ghostbusters will be big domestically, not overseas. Suicide Squad could maybe do 600-700. Inferno no. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them wil probably do 800-900. Star Wars probably will. Doctor Strange has no chance. Moana should be on thus list considering its the first Disney princess movie after Frozen, which did over 1.2 billion.

Author:  Algren [ Fri Jul 10, 2015 11:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice, Finding Dory, and Ice Age 5.

Just three for me.

Author:  Brian [ Fri Jul 10, 2015 11:30 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

Just Batman v Superman and Dory are locks, Captain America and Star Wars have BIG chances though.

Author:  O [ Fri Jul 10, 2015 11:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

People realize ID4 was the #1 film in the world before right??

It's sequel is getting $1 billion. I think people are dramatically underestimating its overseas potential here. Would not be surprised by $1.5 B.

Author:  Omni [ Sat Jul 11, 2015 7:45 am ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

zwackerm wrote:
Kung Fu Panda 3 I could see stay about flat domestically, and get an increase overseas, but it probably won't be that big.

It will make 400M in China alone, it's very likely to hit 1b WW.

Author:  Algren [ Sat Jul 11, 2015 9:54 am ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

O wrote:
People realize ID4 was the #1 film in the world before right??

It's sequel is getting $1 billion. I think people are dramatically underestimating its overseas potential here. Would not be surprised by $1.5 B.

It's just that EVERY aliens-invading-Earth film since has done peanuts. Independence Day is not beloved in the same way that Jurassic Park is. A sequel is more likely to seem as desperate as Terminator Genisys than as awesome Jurassic World.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Jul 12, 2015 1:48 am ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

I just don't see how ID4 will differentiate itself from rest of Alien invasion movies. It will do great like $900m but might not get to $1b.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Jul 12, 2015 1:50 am ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

BTW I picked KFP3, BvS, CA: Civil War, Finding Dory and IA5

Author:  mark66 [ Sun Dec 13, 2015 6:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

As we are heading towards the SW7 opening, most summer blockbusters have released their previews - time to bump this one up...

Author:  Mannyisthebest [ Sun Dec 13, 2015 7:31 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

Batman vs Superman should do a billion or it be a huge fail
CA3 should do it with IM in there which will mean a 700+ overseas gross.
X-men can only if it ups the action a lot.
Finding Dory is near locked.
Rouge one should

Author:  mark66 [ Fri Apr 08, 2016 8:28 am ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

So ZOOTOPIA is currently at $811.7m - Japan is key for $1b...

Author:  _axiom [ Fri Apr 08, 2016 8:32 am ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

Mannyisthebest wrote:
Batman vs Superman should do a billion or it be a huge fail

Fail it is.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri Apr 08, 2016 8:55 am ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

If Ice Age increases is OS markets, specially in China where last one did $67m it could do $1b OS.

BvS is sure to miss $1b mark now which is a big disappointment.


Civil War, Dory and Rogue One should still clear $1b. Zootopia would most likely miss this mark now that its China run is winding down. I don't see Alice getting to the mark

Author:  Omni [ Fri Apr 08, 2016 2:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

Omni wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Kung Fu Panda 3 I could see stay about flat domestically, and get an increase overseas, but it probably won't be that big.

It will make 400M in China alone, it's very likely to hit 1b WW.

Lol.

matatonio wrote:
I forgot to vote for the Lock, Batman vs. Superman, lol.

LOL!

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

KFP3's OS performance is really disappointing specially in China it should have cleared $200m.

Author:  Rev [ Fri Apr 08, 2016 7:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

_axiom wrote:
Mannyisthebest wrote:
Batman vs Superman should do a billion or it be a huge fail

Fail it is.

major major fail :tears:

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri Apr 08, 2016 10:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

Quote:
Warner Bros’ Batman V Superman: Dawn Of Justice is now looking like it will come in lower with a decline of 50%-55% for $23.1M-$25.65M, which is just shy of the three-century mark with a running cume through its third weekend of $296.4M-$298.9M. Now, Warners wasn’t expecting the Zack Snyder film to cross $300M this weekend, but rather during CinemaCon this coming week. I hear that the magic number internally which will really make Warner execs truly happy is $800M.


http://deadline.com/2016/04/the-weekend ... 201734178/

WB doesn't is not even sure that this will get $800m this week. Its at $723m so it needs a $50m+ OS weekend which might not happen.

Author:  tree and a half [ Sat Apr 09, 2016 5:14 am ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

Jack Sparrow wrote:
Quote:
Warner Bros’ Batman V Superman: Dawn Of Justice is now looking like it will come in lower with a decline of 50%-55% for $23.1M-$25.65M, which is just shy of the three-century mark with a running cume through its third weekend of $296.4M-$298.9M. Now, Warners wasn’t expecting the Zack Snyder film to cross $300M this weekend, but rather during CinemaCon this coming week. I hear that the magic number internally which will really make Warner execs truly happy is $800M.


http://deadline.com/2016/04/the-weekend ... 201734178/

WB doesn't is not even sure that this will get $800m this week. Its at $723m so it needs a $50m+ OS weekend which might not happen.

Newsflash: The word 'truly' has been redefined!

Author:  Cynosure [ Sat Apr 09, 2016 6:58 am ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

That's just PR. Which company is 'truly happy' just for reaching breaking point ?

Author:  _axiom [ Sat Apr 09, 2016 1:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

Warner is so full of shit.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sat Apr 09, 2016 11:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: $1b movies of 2016

Given that BvS is barely going to reach $20m domestically I don't see this reaching $800m WW this weekend, I hope they are not happy and do something REAL.

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