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 Weekend Estimates (October 4-6) 
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KJ's Leading Pundit
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Post Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
Joker- $93.5 mil

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Sun Oct 06, 2019 10:33 am
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Superfreak
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
Far more shocking is its huge overseas openings. It's beating all non-TDK films in near all the major countries (aside from China of course). :whaa:

I feel there is 0% chance WB doesn't throw all the money at Phoenix to face off against Pattinson. The success of this basically means there cant be another Joker for 7-10 years.

Flash prediction:

2021: THE BATMAN 250m/650m/2b
2022: JOKER 2: 140m/400m/1b
2023: BATMAN ft. ROBIN vs. JOKER: 380m/950m/3b

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Last edited by Excel on Sun Oct 06, 2019 11:54 am, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Oct 06, 2019 11:52 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
International estimate is $140.5m, nearly double what Deadline was projecting. Wow.


Sun Oct 06, 2019 11:52 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
They will treat Joker similar to Voldemort in Potter / Sirius Black in Azakan.

Thematically, they will have Bats and Joker arise to face as a response to the same problem albeit with very similar approaches.

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Sun Oct 06, 2019 12:17 pm
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Superfreak
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
Now just waiting on ANTON CHIGURH to return...

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Sun Oct 06, 2019 12:27 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
Excel wrote:
Now just waiting on ANTON CHIGURH to return...
They slotted him into Pirates 5 with pretty mixed results.


Sun Oct 06, 2019 12:35 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
What's the biggest R-rated movie WW, Deadpool? Will be interesting to see how high this goes.


Last edited by publicenemy#1 on Sun Oct 06, 2019 1:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Oct 06, 2019 12:55 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
Those OS numbers are stunning. Way more impressive than it's domestic opening IMO even though that's nothing to scoff at either. Warner Bros is going to make a killing here.


Sun Oct 06, 2019 12:58 pm
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Speed Racer

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
Great domestic opening and even better overseas, especially with no China. Assuming there is no China release, should be good for $650m+ and I’m thinking around $750m WW. Think it will have decent legs and at least hit $250m domestic.


Sun Oct 06, 2019 1:09 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
It opened huge specially in OS and the WoM seems good but I still feel the legs won't be as good as many are expecting. Let's see how it unfolds next weekend.


Sun Oct 06, 2019 9:17 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
It 2 and Joker look to be the only movies this year to finish in the 200s. Last year we had 8. Think the only other movie I could see finishing in the 200s for the rest of the year is Jumanji if it drops like I'm expecting.


Mon Oct 07, 2019 1:39 am
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
Agree regarding Jumanji likely dropping below $300m - I see $275m or so.

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Mon Oct 07, 2019 1:50 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
Updated studio estimates has it dropping only 25% on sunday. so overall weekend in 96m. That really is a good sign for its legs.

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Mon Oct 07, 2019 10:13 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
Magnus wrote:
I mean Venom dropped under 20% last year on Sunday. I don’t know why WB was being so conservative in their initial estimates. It’s overall weekend IM is still slightly lower than Venoms so let’s not get too carried away.

I think legs will be better then Venom just cause the controversy will carry it further (and it has easier competition) but I’m not ready to say 300m+ is in play.

Venom dropped under 20% because Monday was Columbus Day


Mon Oct 07, 2019 12:35 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
Joker will fall 59% I think.


Mon Oct 07, 2019 12:39 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
Joker monday 9.72. Very promising drop indeed. If it has really good 2nd weekend drop then 300m will be in play.

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Tue Oct 08, 2019 10:09 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
The audience I saw it with clapped. It may be divisive among some crowds but it also has a must-see factor and very enthusiastic supporters. I wouldn't be surprised to see $300m+.

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Tue Oct 08, 2019 12:46 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (October 4-6)
Now that I've seen it my fears that this wouldn't play well to mainstream auds was unfounded. This is legging it to $300m.

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Tue Oct 08, 2019 9:24 pm
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