Yes!
70m
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| Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=75005 |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sun Jul 20, 2014 9:20 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
The record is Bourne Ultimatum's 69.2 million. What do ya'll think? I used to think this would do lukewarm but I'm getting more confident about it now. I say it has a chance. Looking at the list it's amusing that Rush Hour 2 and Signs from over 10 years ago are still in the top 3. Guardians needs to gross 55 million to be in the top 5. |
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| Author: | Rev [ Sun Jul 20, 2014 9:28 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
Yes! 70m
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sun Jul 20, 2014 9:46 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
It could, but its nowhere close to a guarantee. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 12:11 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
Nope |
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| Author: | zingy [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 12:11 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
No chance. |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 12:18 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
Yeah, I think it will just get it. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 12:54 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
I think it can get to the low 70s. So yes. Interesting point about RH2 and Signs being still in the top 3. That was when the studios were still releasing big films in August. 2001-2003 was the peak (after the month became more lucrative in the 90s - The Fugitive, Sixth Sense etc). After that they abandoned it for some reason. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 1:08 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
$36m opening. |
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| Author: | Excel [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 1:21 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
I just cannot fathom this film opening over 70 million. If it does, Marvel's brand is a lot stronger than I initially thought. The film just looks so NOT mainstream. This tracking is puzzling. |
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| Author: | Dil [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 1:32 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
Deadline is claiming that it's tracking at about $68-$70M right now with some thinking it could go as high as $80M. Now, as much as I want this movie to be a success there is no way it's coming within $5M of Thor 2's opening when that movie had a more established character on top of an Avengers bump. I say $70M MAX, but realistically I think a low 60's opening is more likely. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 3:20 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
It will get above $50m but I don't see it getting to regular second-tier Marvel openings of low-70's to mid-90's. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 9:35 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
I think it looks like it could be a very mainstream hit. It looks like Pirates of the Caribbean in space. |
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| Author: | Brian [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 12:35 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
zwackerm wrote: It looks like Pirates of the Caribbean in space. Such a terrible comparison, really 
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| Author: | Chippy [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 1:07 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
I would peg this at a high $50 mil opening. But anything over $40 mil, IMO, would be really good for it. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 1:21 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
The trailer got a great reaction at Transformers and the TV ads have been good (and non-stop). It should open right around where Thor and Cap did, so $70M+ is certainly possible. I'm in! The Marvel brand will finally give us a breakout hit this summer. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 4:32 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
if only it didn't have TMNT in its second weekend, it could be really leggy. Like, save the summer leggy. If it is good, maybe even POTC leggy. |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 4:47 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
Dil wrote: Deadline is claiming that it's tracking at about $68-$70M right now with some thinking it could go as high as $80M. Now, as much as I want this movie to be a success there is no way it's coming within $5M of Thor 2's opening when that movie had a more established character on top of an Avengers bump. I say $70M MAX, but realistically I think a low 60's opening is more likely. That doesn't mean much tracking wise. The Wolverine was tracking for 75-80 million opening. If this doesn't get the 3D or IMAX shares people are thinking it will, that'll put it in the easy 50-55 million range for opening. I just don't see this happening. No one I know wants to see it. Even when I explain the Avengers angle, there still kind of "eh" towards it. It certainly doesn't feel more hyped than Maleficent and Apes. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 9:34 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
I know a lot of people who want to see it. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Tue Jul 22, 2014 7:37 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
Me and my friend thought we had a choice to watch either this or Deliver Us From Evil, and we both chose the latter. The big effects, Summer blockbuster crap will attract the kiddies, sure, but mature people will opt for something else. The Bourne Ultimatum is for adults, and that is why it holds the record, which is strange as I think August is a month where kids are fully out of school - but perhaps they are partying instead, not sure. But adults need to get away from their annoying kids that they hate so much, so they go to the movies. I expect a $36m opening weekend for Guardians of the Galaxy and a pretty awful 2.25 multiplier for a finish of $81m. But, I have been wrong before. 
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| Author: | Chippy [ Tue Jul 22, 2014 11:28 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
Kids start going back to school in early August. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Tue Jul 22, 2014 11:37 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
Ok, so quite different to the UK then. |
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| Author: | xXVincentxX [ Tue Jul 22, 2014 4:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
I will put this right at $65-$70 million opening so the record is likely. |
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| Author: | Brian [ Tue Jul 22, 2014 8:42 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
Won't be surprised if this makes it |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Jul 25, 2014 9:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
Definitely in for 70 million now. Perhaps 80. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Sat Jul 26, 2014 11:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Can Guardians of the Galaxy get the August OW record? |
Reviews are indeed great, and it is from Marvel (who seem to be popular right now), so perhaps my $36m prediction is too low. But I am sticking with it. I just have a feeling that this fairly unknown property will not get the general audience out of their house and into the auditoriums. |
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