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Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions
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Author:  Dil [ Sat Jul 19, 2014 1:35 pm ]
Post subject:  Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

Surprised a thread on this hasn't been made yet, but anyways I think this has real potential. This and GOTG will completely dominate August being the only BIG films of the month.

Marketing has been solid and being the first updated live-action Ninja Turtles adaptation in 22 years should definitely bring out the older/nostalgic fans.

Reviews might be awful, but this is the type of movie where audiences will show up anyways at least on OW. This could easily pull a Rise of Cobra if Guardians doesn't explode, but I'll stay a bit conservative for now.

I'm predicting 45/130.

Author:  zwackerm [ Sat Jul 19, 2014 1:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

That sounds exactly right.
45/130

Author:  Algren [ Sat Jul 19, 2014 1:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

Dil wrote:
Reviews might be awful, but this is the type of movie where audiences will show up anyways at least on OW.
How did you figure this, exactly?

The film looks beyond awful, and I admit there is a certain amount of intrigue, but this property is very much of a product of its time; the 1990s. Some 20 years have passed since and the brand hasn't grown at all, and all the fans of it beforehand are now adult men that wouldn't be seen dead watching it in a cinema, ESPECIALLY ON OPENING WEEKEND.

Kids and teenage boys that will see anything with CGI effects and that has the name "Michael Bay" in the trailer ... will see this. I can't see a lot of other demos rushing out to see it.

Opening: $25m
Total: $62m

Author:  zwackerm [ Sat Jul 19, 2014 2:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

I think it looks pretty decent. And TMNT is immensely popular with little kids nowadays thanks to its Nick show. And all TMNT fans, regardless of what they tell you, will be there opening day.

Author:  Algren [ Sat Jul 19, 2014 2:28 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

I'd say it's less popular than SpongeBob Squarepants, and that opened to $32m and failed to reach $100m. My prediction looks likely.

Author:  Crux [ Sat Jul 19, 2014 3:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

31/109

Author:  zwackerm [ Sat Jul 19, 2014 4:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

TMNT already has a popular movie franchise from the 90's. TMNT is a popular franchise in general, not just from the TV show.

Author:  SolC9 [ Sat Jul 19, 2014 5:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

I'm thinking it opens somewhere between 25-35M. Would do better if Guardians wasn't opening one week before it.

Prediction: 30M/95M

Author:  Dil [ Sat Jul 19, 2014 7:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

Algren wrote:
Dil wrote:
Reviews might be awful, but this is the type of movie where audiences will show up anyways at least on OW.
How did you figure this, exactly?

The film looks beyond awful, and I admit there is a certain amount of intrigue, but this property is very much of a product of its time; the 1990s. Some 20 years have passed since and the brand hasn't grown at all, and all the fans of it beforehand are now adult men that wouldn't be seen dead watching it in a cinema, ESPECIALLY ON OPENING WEEKEND.

Kids and teenage boys that will see anything with CGI effects and that has the name "Michael Bay" in the trailer ... will see this. I can't see a lot of other demos rushing out to see it.

Opening: $25m
Total: $62m



Okay fair point, but you could say that about any of the many tv/franchise reboots we have had in the past 10-15 years. Scooby-Doo, Alvin and the Chipmunks, G.I. Joe, Smurfs etc. aren't' exactly relevant brand names anymore, but the live-action adaptations still did really well, because they were so popular back in the day.

Most of these movies were even considered to be pretty terrible, but audiences still showed up in big numbers anyways.

Author:  The Dark Shape [ Sat Jul 19, 2014 9:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

36/81

Author:  Algren [ Sat Jul 19, 2014 9:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

Dil wrote:
Okay fair point, but you could say that about any of the many tv/franchise reboots we have had in the past 10-15 years. Scooby-Doo, Alvin and the Chipmunks, G.I. Joe, Smurfs etc. aren't' exactly relevant brand names anymore, but the live-action adaptations still did really well, because they were so popular back in the day.

Most of these movies were even considered to be pretty terrible, but audiences still showed up in big numbers anyways.
Yes, I see your point, which highlights the difficulty in predicting this movie. I'm sticking with my prediction though. I think the whole TV-film blockbuster revival thing has long passed..

Author:  Brian [ Sun Jul 20, 2014 12:25 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

45m/125m

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Jul 20, 2014 1:04 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

$35m/$100m (slugfest)

Author:  Magic Mike [ Sun Jul 20, 2014 1:27 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

Will probably do numbers similar to the first G.I. Joe.

Author:  Chippy [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 12:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

For some reason, my fiancee is dying to see this... So I assume it will do very well.

Author:  Jonathan [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 12:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

Opening: $45.5 million
Total: $110.2 million (2.42)

Author:  Brian [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 12:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

Will Bay own the summer again?

Author:  zwackerm [ Mon Jul 21, 2014 5:35 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

Teenage Muatant Ninja Turtles adj.
TMNT- 47/254
TMNT2- 37/148
TMNT3- 24/81
TMNT animated- 28/62
Really, I think TMNT 2 numbers should be doable.

Author:  Algren [ Tue Jul 22, 2014 12:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions



I like it. The lyrics are funny, but I never care about lyrics. The song is nice.

Author:  Thegun [ Tue Jul 22, 2014 5:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

Most people love Ninja Turtles, even the really bad third film and limited appeal animated film have openings over 28 million adjusted.

35 should be easy. I'm in the 38-45/120 range most are in.

Author:  xXVincentxX [ Tue Jul 22, 2014 5:30 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

i think it can make it to $50 million, but I think $40 million is a safer bet.

Author:  Brian [ Wed Jul 30, 2014 5:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

Didn't know where to post this, but first reactions to the film are very positive

Quote:
According to Tweets of some Twitter Users, the upcoming TEENAGE MUTANT NINJA TURTLES Film will satisfy the audience. Check out for more after the jump!


http://www.comicbookmovie.com/teenage_m ... /?a=104802

I want to believe!

Author:  Dil [ Wed Jul 30, 2014 7:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

This is the only blockbuster that I have actually heard people talk about more than any other film this summer. Even with GOTG breaking out I still think this is good for atleast a low 40's opening.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Wed Jul 30, 2014 9:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

I would still be surprised if this gets past $100m. I am thinking $85m-$90m total from high-30's or maybe even a $40m touchdown opening.

Author:  zwackerm [ Thu Jul 31, 2014 9:03 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) Predictions

Will the 9/11 controversial poster hurt this?

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