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| Author: | Bishop King [ Sun Apr 20, 2014 7:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
Looking for the pundits to weigh in on how this movie will do. Personally I have even less interest in this movie than Capt America 2. The previous Spidey failed to break 65 even on a memorial day 2012 But the market for this will be very very wide open. I do think the addition of Jamie Foxx will be a huge benefit. That being said ill say: Amazing Spiderman 2 79.5m |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Sun Apr 20, 2014 10:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
Spiderman opened over 4th of July weekend, had it opened on a Friday and not a Tuesday it would have easily did over 100 million for the weekend It has the record for biggest Tuesday of all time by almost 35%. Also there is already a prediction thread for ASM2. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Wed Apr 23, 2014 9:17 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
yeah I remember there was another thread for this. |
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| Author: | Chippy [ Wed Apr 23, 2014 10:58 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
There actually isn't. Use your fucking search tool. There is this and this but that's it. Legit thread. Carry on. |
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| Author: | Chippy [ Wed Apr 23, 2014 10:59 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
I'd peg this at $102/230 |
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| Author: | David [ Wed Apr 23, 2014 2:25 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
113/260 |
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| Author: | Brian [ Wed Apr 23, 2014 9:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
100m/245m |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Wed Apr 23, 2014 10:25 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
$115m/$255m |
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| Author: | Biggestgeekever [ Wed Apr 23, 2014 10:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
90/210 Overseas: $505m |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Wed Apr 23, 2014 11:02 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
Opening Weekend - $95 million Total Gross - $236 million |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Wed Apr 23, 2014 11:05 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
106m/234m |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Wed Apr 23, 2014 11:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
Opening: $87 million Total: $210.5 million (2.42) |
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| Author: | Biggestgeekever [ Thu Apr 24, 2014 12:21 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
Magnus wrote: I've been impressed with the late-game TV campaign. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MayLsz_ANCY https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ABNDaHKVn9o I know we've all joked about it, but no one told me Sony was literally laying out every plot point in the marketing. |
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| Author: | Biggestgeekever [ Thu Apr 24, 2014 12:37 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
 Though, to be fair, the Raimi Spider-Man 2 also had a cheez-it tie-in. I shouldn't rag on this too much, but hype just feels weaker than it did for CA2, both online and off. It honestly feels a bit weaker than Thor 2 as well, but I'll give Spidey the benefit of the doubt over the Norse god. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Thu Apr 24, 2014 12:42 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
$325m total $1b worldwide |
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| Author: | Biggestgeekever [ Thu Apr 24, 2014 12:56 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
Magnus wrote: did the hype really feel big for ASM? and yet it still did 35.8m OD. ASM managed to look just like Rami's Spiderman and yet still got people to come. At least ASM2 doesn't feel like a carbon-copy of Rami Spiderman. I'm probably being a bit optimistic with 100m OW, but low 90s seems like a very good bet to me. It's a fair point about the OD, though. It got that high on a Tuesday before a holiday weekend, which was very impressive. Everything about this movie reminds of the way the last two Hobbit films have played out, so I'm pretty much expecting it to have the same OD as ASM1 despite being a Friday. Algren wrote: $325m total $1b worldwide And then there's Algren. Sub 200. |
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| Author: | David [ Thu Apr 24, 2014 1:00 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
Oh, it will open huge. 100 million or higher for sure. It is Spider-Man. Sony is advertising it to Heaven and beyond, almost mounting separate and enormous campaigns for it as an action movie, as a love story, etc., not to mention the numerous high-profile tie-ins. It can draw families, casual action fans, nerds, and so on and so forth. It will open huge through sheer force of will on the studio's part and because people simply love Spider-Man. |
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| Author: | The Dark Shape [ Thu Apr 24, 2014 1:06 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
Nikke Finke posted it on Twitter, and I've heard the same thing from friends: industry is expecting between $92-95m OW. |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Thu Apr 24, 2014 1:14 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
Magnus wrote: did the hype really feel big for ASM? and yet it still did 35.8m OD. The $35.8 million opening day was good, but Transformers had the same release date five years prior and probably sold more tickets despite being a franchise starter. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Thu Apr 24, 2014 3:53 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
Well ASM was unnecessary at that time so it opening that high was great number. |
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| Author: | Dil [ Thu Apr 24, 2014 4:17 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
96/225 |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Thu Apr 24, 2014 4:44 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
Jon wrote: Magnus wrote: did the hype really feel big for ASM? and yet it still did 35.8m OD. The $35.8 million opening day was good, but Transformers had the same release date five years prior and probably sold more tickets despite being a franchise starter. ASM 4.5 million tickets Transformers 4.04 million tickets. Considering the lackluster performance of part 3 and the relatively small wait between films, I think its opening was as best as it could have been even with Raimi attached. Legs were pretty crappy though. |
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| Author: | m051293 [ Thu Apr 24, 2014 4:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
Thegun wrote: Jon wrote: Magnus wrote: did the hype really feel big for ASM? and yet it still did 35.8m OD. The $35.8 million opening day was good, but Transformers had the same release date five years prior and probably sold more tickets despite being a franchise starter. ASM 4.5 million tickets Transformers 4.04 million tickets. Considering the lackluster performance of part 3 and the relatively small wait between films, I think its opening was as best as it could have been even with Raimi attached. Legs were pretty crappy though. Actually BOM has provided a 34/10/56 split for 3D/IMAX/2D for TASM's opening 6 days. Assuming that held on OD, I get an estimated 3.9M tickets. |
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| Author: | Biggestgeekever [ Thu Apr 24, 2014 6:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
NRG Tracking: Quote: Total / Men -25 / Men +25 / Women -25 / Women +25 Unaided Awareness: 18 23 21 15 15 Total Awareness: 94 95 94 94 93 Definite Interest: 58 68 62 53 50 First Choice: 22 33 22 18 15 Captain America 2 the day of release Total / Men -25 / Men +25 / Women -25 / Women +25 Unaided Awareness: 36 39 42 31 30 Total Awareness: 92 96 93 90 90 Definite Interest: 63 74 69 56 53 First Choice: 30 42 40 19 21 |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Thu Apr 24, 2014 7:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Amazing Spiderman 2 Predictions |
I'm thinking the worst case scenario at this point is a $85 million opening and a $205 million finish. The best case is a $104 million opening and a $260 million finish. Frankly, at this point, I don't see a scenario in which it beats the first film. |
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