KJ's 2014 Winter/Spring Box Office Contest

2014 is almost here - hard to believe it! This time, we're predicting 4 months (Jan - Apr), and we've definitely got an interesting and TOUGH season ahead. Tons of wildcards and a crazy unpredictable top 5 to predict.

The season's contest covers movies released from January 3rd, 2014 to April 25th, 2014. The player with the most points at the end of the game will receive a $25 gift card.

How the Points Work
Each player predicts the total domestic box office grosses of 25 movies listed further below. It's the ultimate test in box office predictions: guessing a movie's potential final gross before the season even starts with few, if any, tracking numbers. For each movie, the top 25% of players who predicted most accurately will get 3 points a piece.

Players can also score bonus points. The first is the Winter/Spring Top 5. Each players will predict the early 2014 season's five biggest films. Each rank correctly predicted with score 1 point. An extra bonus of 15 points is given to any player who correctly predicts the Winter/Spring 2013 Top 5 in the correct order. (This has still never been done in the history of this game.)

Finally, players predict the answers to ten various box office questions. A correct answer scores 2 points.

Ties are broken by the the sum of all of the total grosses for every movie minus the sum of your total gross predictions. Backup movies are in place in case any of the 25 predicted movies change their release date. Box office questions will only be voided if the movie with the release date change is specifically mentioned in the question, so be careful when crafting your answers.

Ready?
Fill out the form below and paste in this thread / PM it to me by January 2nd, 2014 at 11:59 PM CST. Good luck!

Predict the Following Films' Total Gross

300: Rise of an Empire
Captain America: The Winter Soldier
Divergent
Endless Love
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Hercules: The Legend Begins
I, Frankenstein
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit
The Lego Movie
The Monuments Men
Mr. Peabody & Sherman
Muppets Most Wanted
Need for Speed
Noah
Non-Stop
Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones
Pompeii
Ride Along
Rio 2
Robocop
Son of God
That Awkward Moment
Transcendence
Winter's Tale
Veronica Mars

Backups
Sabotage
Vampire Academy


Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Winter/Spring 2014

#1:
#2:
#3:
#4:
#5:


The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which action film will gross more in total - 300: Rise of an Empire, Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit, Robocop, Need for Speed, or the sum of Non-Stop, Hercules: The Legend Begins, and I, Frankenstein?
#2: Which film that #1 on its opening weekend will have the smallest 2nd weekend drop?
#3: What movie will gross the most in total without ever being in more than 3,000 theaters?
#4: Which will gross more - the total gross of Noah or quadruple the total gross of Son of God?
#5: What will be the 3rd highest grossing movie released in February?
#6: Will Captain America: The Winter Soldier's total gross double the total gross of Divergent?
#7: Which family film will gross more in total - Rio 2, Mr. Peabody & Sherman, The Lego Movie or the sum of the The Nut Job and Muppets Most Wanted?
#8: What film will be #1 over the Valentine's Day weekend (February 14th - 16th)?
#9: How many films will gross over $100 million?
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?

NOTE on #10: If your movie pick moves out of the season window, the question will not be voided. Choose your movie carefully based on potential gross and likelihood of being released in this season's window.

Remember, the season's contest covers movies released from January 3rd to April 25th, 2014. The deadline for filling out the form is January 2nd, 2013 at 11:59 PM CST.

Hopefully this time I have sometime to get this done on time

300: Rise of an Empire: 85 million
Captain America: The Winter Soldier: 200
Divergent: 140
Endless Love: 60
The Grand Budapest Hotel: 30
I, Frankenstein: 35
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit: 55
The Legend of Hercules: 15
The Lego Movie: 115
The Monuments Men: 75
Mr. Peabody & Sherman: 185
Muppets Most Wanted: 30
Need for Speed: 45
Noah: 105
Non-Stop: 65
Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones: 40
Pompeii: 45
Ride Along: 100
Rio 2: 135
RoboCop: 70
Son of God: 35
That Awkward Moment: 20
Transcendence: 90
Winter's Tale: 40
Veronica Mars: 5

Sabotage: 20
Vampire Academy: 15

1. Captain America: The Winter Soldier
2. Mr. Peabody & Sherman
3. Divergent
4. Rio 2
5. The Lego Movie

1. The sum of Non-Stop; The Legend of Hercules; and I, Frankenstein
2. The Lego Movie
3. The Monuments Men
4. The total of Noah
5. RoboCop
6. No
7. Mr. Peabody & Sherman
8. The Lego Movie
9. Six
10. Tyler Perry's The Single Moms Club

300: Rise of an Empire - $141 million
Captain America: The Winter Soldier - $168 million
Divergent - $51 million
Endless Love - $44 million
The Grand Budapest Hotel - $19 million
Hercules: The Legend Begins - $21 million
I, Frankenstein - $24 million
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit - $55 million
The Lego Movie - $117 million
The Monuments Men - $81 million
Mr. Peabody & Sherman - $120 million
Muppets Most Wanted - $28 million
Need for Speed - $39 million
Noah - $230 million
Non-Stop - $59 million
Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones - $39 million
Pompeii - $22 million
Ride Along - $110 million
Rio 2 - $129 million
Robocop - $75 million
Son of God - $30 million
That Awkward Moment - $39 million
Transcendence - $41 million
Winter's Tale - $10 million
Veronica Mars - $4.5 million

Backups
Sabotage - $28 million
Vampire Academy - $10 million


Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Winter/Spring 2014

#1. Noah (I'm betting $230+ million)
#2. Captain America: The Winter Solider
#3. 300: Rise of an Empire
#4: Rio 2
#5: Mr. Peabody & Sherman

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which action film will gross more in total - 300: Rise of an Empire, Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit, Robocop, Need for Speed, or the sum of Non-Stop, Hercules: The Legend Begins, and I, Frankenstein? 300: Rise of an Empire
#2: Which film that #1 on its opening weekend will have the smallest 2nd weekend drop? The Lego Movie
#3: What movie will gross the most in total without ever being in more than 3,000 theaters? About Last Night
#4: Which will gross more - the total gross of Noah or quadruple the total gross of Son of God? Noah
#5: What will be the 3rd highest grossing movie released in February? Robocop
#6: Will Captain America: The Winter Soldier's total gross double the total gross of Divergent? Yes
#7: Which family film will gross more in total - Rio 2, Mr. Peabody & Sherman, The Lego Movie or the sum of the The Nut Job and Muppets Most Wanted? Rio 2
#8: What film will be #1 over the Valentine's Day weekend (February 14th - 16th)? About Last Night
#9: How many films will gross over $100 million? Six
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? About Last Night

Predict the Following Films' Total Gross

300: Rise of an Empire - $47M
Captain America: The Winter Soldier - $195M
Divergent - $70M
Endless Love - $48M
The Grand Budapest Hotel - $82M
Hercules: The Legend Begins - $30M
I, Frankenstein - $40M
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit - $75M
The Lego Movie - $148M
The Monuments Men - $87M
Mr. Peabody & Sherman - $70M
Muppets Most Wanted - $102M
Need for Speed - $65M
Noah - $141M
Non-Stop - $40M
Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones - $37.5M
Pompeii - $35M
Ride Along - $81M
Rio 2 - $150M
Robocop - $44M
Son of God - $65M
That Awkward Moment - $25M
Transcendence - $77M
Winter's Tale - $35M
Veronica Mars - $26M

Backups
Sabotage - $33M
Vampire Academy - $22M


Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Winter/Spring 2014

#1: Captain America: The Winter Soldier
#2: Rio 2
#3: Lego
#4: Noah
#5: Muppets Most Wanted


The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Sum of Non-Stop, Hercules and I, Frankenstein
#2: Noah
#3: The Grand Budapest Hotel
#4: Quadruple Son of God
#5: Son of God
#6: Yes
#7: Rio 2
#8: About Last Night
#9: 5
#10: St. Vincent

There's a gift card award this time?

? I give one out for every season.

What? To be fair I never really read the first post before. I usually come here when you send out last minute PM and just do the predictions. LOL

Ha nice. Good luck to you then!

300: Rise of an Empire 142 million
Captain America: The Winter Soldier 239 million
Divergent 225 million
Endless Love 36 million
The Grand Budapest Hotel 27 million
Hercules: The Legend Begins 29 million
I, Frankenstein 43 million
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit 88 million
The Lego Movie 121 million
The Monuments Men 106 million
Mr. Peabody & Sherman 133 million
Muppets Most Wanted 70 million
Need for Speed 97 million
Noah 101 million
Non-Stop 62 million
Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones 42 million
Pompeii 36 million
Ride Along 107 million
Rio 2 164 million
Robocop 78 million
Son of God 13 million
That Awkward Moment 53 million
Transcendence 139 million
Winter's Tale 31 million
Veronica Mars 13 million

Backups:
Sabotage 25 million
Vampire Academy 25 million


#1: Captain America 2
#2: Divergent
#3: Rio 2
#4: 300:Rise of an Empire
#5: Transcendence

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: 300: Rise of an Empire
#2:The Lego Movie
#3:That Awkward Moment
#4: quadruple the total gross of Son of God?
#5: About Last Night
#6: No
#7: Rio 2
#8: About Last Night
#9: 10
#10: About Last Night

300: Rise of an Empire $115
Captain America: The Winter Soldier $185
Divergent $65
Endless Love $15
The Grand Budapest Hotel $55
Hercules: The Legend Begins $10
I, Frankenstein $10
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit $75
The Lego Movie $110
The Monuments Men $85
Mr. Peabody & Sherman $185
Muppets Most Wanted $65
Need for Speed $35
Noah $165
Non-Stop $45
Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones $45
Pompeii $40
Ride Along $65
Rio 2 $110
Robocop $45
Son of God $35
That Awkward Moment $45
Transcendence $135
Winter's Tale $28
Veronica Mars $10

Backups
Sabotage $18
Vampire Academy $13


Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Winter/Spring 2014

#1: Captain America: The Winter Soldier
#2: Mr Peabody & Sherman
#3: Noah
#4: Transcendence
#5: Rio 2


The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which action film will gross more in total - 300: Rise of an Empire, Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit, Robocop, Need for Speed, or the sum of Non-Stop, Hercules: The Legend Begins, and I, Frankenstein?
#2: Which film that #1 on its opening weekend will have the smallest 2nd weekend drop? Mr. Peabody and Sherman
#3: What movie will gross the most in total without ever being in more than 3,000 theaters? Monuments Men
#4: Which will gross more - the total gross of Noah or quadruple the total gross of Son of God?
#5: What will be the 3rd highest grossing movie released in February? Robocop
#6: Will Captain America: The Winter Soldier's total gross double the total gross of Divergent?
#7: Which family film will gross more in total - Rio 2, Mr. Peabody & Sherman, The Lego Movie or the sum of the The Nut Job and Muppets Most Wanted?
#8: What film will be #1 over the Valentine's Day weekend (February 14th - 16th)? About Last Night
#9: How many films will gross over $100 million? 7
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Draft Day

For reference, the movies not listed as of today are:

Devil's Due, the Nut Job, Labour Day from January
About Last Night, 3 Days to Kill, the Wind Rises, Almanac from February
Grace of Monaco, Single Mom's Club, Stretch, Bad Words, A Haunted House 2 from March
Draft Day, St Vincent, Heaven is for Real, Bears, Oculus, Earth to Echo, Other Woman, Quiet Ones, Walk of Shame from April

Loads don't have trailers so it's pretty hard to distinguish. Trailers already rated, yet to be released for 2014 movies include:

3 Days to Kill, Welcome to Yesterday (formerly: Almanac), Draft Day, Heaven is for Real, the Other Woman released trailers.

The Other Woman, 22 Jump Street, Million Dollar Arm, Blended and Dawn of the Planet of the Apes- all except the first are summer releases. (edit: all trailers released

No one predicted 22 Jump Street or Dawn of the Planet of the Apes...

That seems a bit lofty - I think there's a chance it could make less than half of the Muppets Movie, let alone increase from it.

Any specific reasoning??

Muppets Most Wanted reminds me of Looney Tunes: Back in Action.

Absolutely. Plus they made such great effort to make it feel like a "final" Muppets movie that the fact this exists is somewhat surprising.

It's for reference. I didn't imply what you are anyway.

I'm going with my gut instinct.

Can we predict Welcome to Yesterday?

Trailer released yesterday. Also 3 Days to Kill, but that looks like a poor man's Taken.

Welcome to Yesterday looks like a fun cousin to Chronicle. I think it's a definitely one to take in consideration for #10.

Predict the Following Films' Total Gross

300: Rise of an Empire - $70 million
Captain America: The Winter Soldier - $200 million
Divergent - $80 million
Endless Love - $26 million
The Grand Budapest Hotel - $28 million
Hercules: The Legend Begins - $27 million
I, Frankenstein - $42 million
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit - $71 million
The Lego Movie - $95 million
The Monuments Men - $58 million
Mr. Peabody & Sherman - $155 million
Muppets Most Wanted - $46 million
Need for Speed - $19 million
Noah - $68 million
Non-Stop - $60 million
Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones - $43 million
Pompeii - $36 million
Ride Along - $76 million
Rio 2 - $130 million
Robocop - $56 million
Son of God - $17 million
That Awkward Moment - $29 million
Transcendence - $55 million
Winter's Tale - $23 million
Veronica Mars - $16 million

Backups
Sabotage - $14 million
Vampire Academy - $20 million


Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Winter/Spring 2014

#1: Captain America: The Winter Soldier
#2: Mr. Peabody and Sherman
#3: Rio 2
#4: The Lego Movie
#5: Divergent


The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which action film will gross more in total - 300: Rise of an Empire, Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit, Robocop, Need for Speed, or the sum of Non-Stop, Hercules: The Legend Begins, and I, Frankenstein?
#2: Which film that #1 on its opening weekend will have the smallest 2nd weekend drop? The Lego Movie
#3: What movie will gross the most in total without ever being in more than 3,000 theaters? The Monuments Men
#4: Which will gross more - the total gross of Noah or quadruple the total gross of Son of God?
#5: What will be the 3rd highest grossing movie released in February? The Monuments Men
#6: Will Captain America: The Winter Soldier's total gross double the total gross of Divergent? Yes
#7: Which family film will gross more in total - Rio 2, Mr. Peabody & Sherman, The Lego Movie or the sum of the The Nut Job and Muppets Most Wanted?
#8: What film will be #1 over the Valentine's Day weekend (February 14th - 16th)? Robocop
#9: How many films will gross over $100 million? Three
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? About Last Night

300: Rise of an Empire - $101M
Captain America: The Winter Soldier - $185M
Divergent - $128M
Endless Love - $71m
The Grand Budapest Hotel - $38M
Hercules: The Legend Begins - $2.5M
I, Frankenstein - $64M
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit - $75M
The Lego Movie - $137M
The Monuments Men - $82M
Mr. Peabody & Sherman - $141M
Muppets Most Wanted - $46M
Need for Speed - $50M
Noah - $215M
Non-Stop - $59M
Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones - $42M
Pompeii - $30M
Ride Along - $106M
Rio 2 - $89M
Robocop - $42M
Son of God - $19M
That Awkward Moment - $38m
Transcendence - $81M
Winter's Tale - $34M
Veronica Mars - $13M

Backups
Sabotage - $13M
Vampire Academy - $32M


Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Winter/Spring 2014

#1: Noah
#2: Captain America
#3: Mr. Peabody
#4: Lego Movie
#5: Divergent


The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which action film will gross more in total - 300: Rise of an Empire, Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit, Robocop, Need for Speed, or the sum of Non-Stop, Hercules: The Legend Begins, and I, Frankenstein? Sum
#2: Which film that #1 on its opening weekend will have the smallest 2nd weekend drop? The Lego Movie
#3: What movie will gross the most in total without ever being in more than 3,000 theaters? Ride Along
#4: Which will gross more - the total gross of Noah or quadruple the total gross of Son of God? Noah
#5: What will be the 3rd highest grossing movie released in February? Non-Stop
#6: Will Captain America: The Winter Soldier's total gross double the total gross of Divergent? No
#7: Which family film will gross more in total - Rio 2, Mr. Peabody & Sherman, The Lego Movie or the sum of the The Nut Job and Muppets Most Wanted? Lego Movie
#8: What film will be #1 over the Valentine's Day weekend (February 14th - 16th)? Endless Love
#9: How many films will gross over $100 million? 7
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Haunted House 2

Predict the Following Films' Total Gross

300: Rise of an Empire - 75m
Captain America: The Winter Soldier - 150m
Divergent - 80m
Endless Love - 45m
The Grand Budapest Hotel - 20m
Hercules: The Legend Begins - 15m
I, Frankenstein - 35m
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit - 50m
The Lego Movie - 70m
The Monuments Men - 80m
Mr. Peabody & Sherman - 115m
Muppets Most Wanted - 65m
Need for Speed - 70m
Noah - 160m
Non-Stop - 65m
Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones - 40m
Pompeii - 35m
Ride Along - 85m
Rio 2 - 110m
Robocop - 45m
Son of God - 25m
That Awkward Moment - 35m
Transcendence - 95m
Winter's Tale - 70m
Veronica Mars - 20m

Backups
Sabotage - 30m
Vampire Academy - 20m


Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Winter/Spring 2014

#1: Noah
#2: Captain America 2
#3: Rio 2
#4: Mr. Peabody
#5: Transcendence


The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which action film will gross more in total - 300: Rise of an Empire, Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit, Robocop, Need for Speed, or the sum of Non-Stop, Hercules: The Legend Begins, and I, Frankenstein? Sum
#2: Which film that #1 on its opening weekend will have the smallest 2nd weekend drop? Rio 2
#3: What movie will gross the most in total without ever being in more than 3,000 theaters?
#4: Which will gross more - the total gross of Noah or quadruple the total gross of Son of God? Noah
#5: What will be the 3rd highest grossing movie released in February?
#6: Will Captain America: The Winter Soldier's total gross double the total gross of Divergent? No
#7: Which family film will gross more in total - Rio 2, Mr. Peabody & Sherman, The Lego Movie or the sum of the The Nut Job and Muppets Most Wanted? Rio 2
#8: What film will be #1 over the Valentine's Day weekend (February 14th - 16th)? The Lego Movie
#9: How many films will gross over $100 million? 4
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Draft Day

300: Rise of an Empire - $65 million
Captain America: The Winter Soldier - $215 million
Divergent - $125 million
Endless Love - $26 million
The Grand Budapest Hotel - $35 million
Hercules: The Legend Begins - $7 million
I, Frankenstein - $35 million
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit- 80 million
The Lego Movie - $140 million
The Monuments Men - $90 million
Mr. Peabody & Sherman - $160 million
Muppets Most Wanted - $45 million
Need for Speed - $65 million
Noah - $190 million
Non-Stop - $85 million
Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones - $42 million
Pompeii - $35 million
Ride Along - $120 million
Rio 2 - $125 million
Robocop - $65 million
Son of God - $20 million
That Awkward Moment - $23 million
Transcendence - 100 million
Winter's Tale - $18 million
Veronica Mars - $9 million

Backups
Sabotage - $20 million
Vampire Academy - 35 million


Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Winter/Spring 2014

#1. Captain America
#2. Noah
#3. Mr. Peabody
#4: The Lego movie
#5: Rio 2

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which action film will gross more in total - 300: Rise of an Empire, Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit, Robocop, Need for Speed, or the sum of Non-Stop, Hercules: The Legend Begins, and I, Frankenstein? sum of movies
#2: Which film that #1 on its opening weekend will have the smallest 2nd weekend drop? The Lego Movie
#3: What movie will gross the most in total without ever being in more than 3,000 theaters? Paranormal Activity
#4: Which will gross more - the total gross of Noah or quadruple the total gross of Son of God? Noah
#5: What will be the 3rd highest grossing movie released in February? Robocop
#6: Will Captain America: The Winter Soldier's total gross double the total gross of Divergent? No
#7: Which family film will gross more in total - Rio 2, Mr. Peabody & Sherman, The Lego Movie or the sum of the The Nut Job and Muppets Most Wanted? Mr. Peabody
#8: What film will be #1 over the Valentine's Day weekend (February 14th - 16th)? The Lego Movie
#9: How many films will gross over $100 million? Eight
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? About Last Night

300: Rise of an Empire $90
Captain America: The Winter Soldier $180
Divergent $110
Endless Love $30
The Grand Budapest Hotel $32
Hercules: The Legend Begins $38
I, Frankenstein $48
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit $80
The Lego Movie $115
The Monuments Men $75
Mr. Peabody & Sherman $120
Muppets Most Wanted $70
Need for Speed $60
Noah $55
Non-Stop $58
Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones $52
Pompeii $66
Ride Along $87
Rio 2 $185
Robocop $52
Son of God $45
That Awkward Moment $22
Transcendence $90
Winter's Tale $35
Veronica Mars $15

Backups
Sabotage $15
Vampire Academy $20


Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Winter/Spring 2014

#1: Rio 2
#2: Captain America
#3: Mr. Peabody
#4: Lego
#5: Divergent


The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which action film will gross more in total - 300: Rise of an Empire, Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit, Robocop, Need for Speed, or the sum of Non-Stop, Hercules: The Legend Begins, and I, Frankenstein? sum
#2: Which film that #1 on its opening weekend will have the smallest 2nd weekend drop? Rio 2
#3: What movie will gross the most in total without ever being in more than 3,000 theaters? Paranormal
#4: Which will gross more - the total gross of Noah or quadruple the total gross of Son of God? 4xSon
#5: What will be the 3rd highest grossing movie released in February? Pompeii
#6: Will Captain America: The Winter Soldier's total gross double the total gross of Divergent? no
#7: Which family film will gross more in total - Rio 2, Mr. Peabody & Sherman, The Lego Movie or the sum of the The Nut Job and Muppets Most Wanted? Rio 2
#8: What film will be #1 over the Valentine's Day weekend (February 14th - 16th)? Robocop
#9: How many films will gross over $100 million? 5
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Draft Day