World of KJ :: View topic - $100+ million movies of 2014

Jack Sparrow wrote:

Candidates:
Need for Speed (No)
Muppets Most Wanted (Not even a candidate as the last one came out during winter in a very friendly environment for a leggy run and despite being a family movie still barely cracked a 3 multiplier and was far from $100m.)
St. Vincent (What is this?)
Chef (No)
Neighbors (No. Previous Stoller comedies didn't even come close. This one will probably be R rated too and I don't see it clicked with mainstream audiences.)
Million Dollar Arm (Don't see this one making it even as a possibility.)
A Million Ways to Die in the West (Comedy western? This one is really a longshot.)
Deliver Us From Evil (No. Looks like a $80m movie tops.)
Jupiter Ascending (No. Looks like a $80m movie tops.)
Hercules (2014) (No.)
Lucy (No.)
The Expendables 3 (No.)
The Giver
Sin City: A Dame to Kill For (It feels like it's coming way late. I think it's more likely to disappoint than to match the original ones when it comes to ticket sales. And even then it's far from $100m)
Dolphin Tale 2 (I didn't know about the first movie until just now. No)
The Maze Runner (No)
The Equalizer (No)
Book of Life
Paranormal Activity 5 (No)
Dumb and Dumber To (No)
Unbroken (No.)

Author:	Jack Sparrow [ Thu Jan 02, 2014 3:13 am ]
Post subject:	$100+ million movies of 2014
Another year, another list. The record still belongs to 2009 but it will soon be held by 2013. The mark to reach is undetermined at this point since there are few movies running for $100m+ but at the minimum it will be atleast 33 movies to equal the record. This year again I will put up what I feel are locks in the list. We can discuss and change the list. Locks: The Lego Movie Mr. Peabody & Sherman Noah 300: Rise of an Empire Captain America: The Winter Soldier Rio 2 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Godzilla X-Men: Days of Future Past Maleficent 22 Jump Street How To Train Your Dragon 2 Transformers: Age of Extinction Dawn of the Planet of the Apes Guardians of the Galaxy Big Hero 6 Interstellar The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 1 Home (2014) Horrible Bosses 2 The Hobbit: There and Back Again Night at the Museum 3 Total : 22 Candidates: The Monuments Men Son of God Need for Speed Divergent Muppets Most Wanted Draft Day St. Vincent Transcendence The Other Woman (2014) Chef Neighbors Million Dollar Arm Blended A Million Ways to Die in the West Edge of Tomorrow Tammy Deliver Us From Evil Jupiter Ascending Planes: Fire and Rescue Hercules (2014) Sex Tape Lucy Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) The Expendables 3 The Giver Sin City: A Dame to Kill For Dolphin Tale 2 The Maze Runner The Boxtrolls The Equalizer Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day The Judge Gone Girl Book of Life Paranormal Activity 5 Dumb and Dumber To Exodus Into the Woods Unbroken Total : 39

Author:	Jack Sparrow [ Thu Jan 02, 2014 3:15 am ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
I just put the ones I thought are locks for $100m+ we can discuss and change the list.

Author:	Algren [ Thu Jan 02, 2014 8:50 am ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
Since when is Need for Speed a candidate? It will likely make less than $15m. I love these threads of Sparrow's. Gives me a good chuckle. Like how Mr. Peabody & Sherman and 300: Rise of an Empire are "locks" but Edge of Tomorrow isn't.

Author:	SolC9 [ Thu Jan 02, 2014 11:26 am ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
I would be very surprised if Divergent, Neighbors, and Dumb and Dumber 2 do not each make 100M.

Author:	Chippy [ Thu Jan 02, 2014 11:28 am ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
Jack Sparrow wrote: I just put the ones I thought are locks for $100m+ we can discuss and change the list. Algren can't read.

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Author:	Algren [ Thu Jan 02, 2014 6:20 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
You have reading problems, you sad little child.

Author:	Chippy [ Thu Jan 02, 2014 6:24 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
You also don't know what a child is, I guess. Maybe I'll mail you a dictionary.

Author:	Algren [ Thu Jan 02, 2014 6:34 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
Well, you act like one, so it's an easy mistake to make.

Author:	Jedi Master Carr [ Thu Jan 02, 2014 9:05 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
I would put Muppets Most Wanted as a candidate.

Author:	Jack Sparrow [ Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:12 am ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
SolC9 wrote: I would be very surprised if Divergent, Neighbors, and Dumb and Dumber 2 do not each make 100M. I was on very edge for these and Edge of Tomorrow to put them in locks list but there have been cases where similar movies missed the mark. I thought they would be better as candidates. I will add Muppets as a candidate but I don't see this making it when the previous one failed to do so.

Author:	publicenemy#1 [ Fri Jan 03, 2014 12:13 am ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
is The Lego Movie really a lock? idk

Author:	Kenspy [ Fri Jan 03, 2014 10:20 am ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
Noah is definitely not a lock, especially if its shunned by religious folks.

Author:	Jedi Master Carr [ Fri Jan 03, 2014 1:26 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
I think Noah will make 100 million. It has a great release date, and I don't think it will be that shunned by religious groups.

Author:	Jack Sparrow [ Sat Jan 04, 2014 12:43 am ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
Noah doesn't need to be seen by religious groups to make $100m. Lego will be the biggest animation movie since Frozen, the previews have been good. It is REACHING $100m.

Author:	BK [ Sat Jan 04, 2014 12:53 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
Kenspy wrote: Noah has screened badly and its plot was compared to a climate change disaster movie rather than a Biblical fable: http://www.businessweek.com/articles/20 ... a-backlash Anyway, it could do well. But it's not a lock in my eyes. Nowhere does it say that.

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Author:	Algren [ Sat Jan 04, 2014 12:48 am ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
Why would religious groups shun one of the most famous Biblical stories on the big screen? Correct me if I'm wrong, but surely this is right up their alley?

Author:	Kenspy [ Sat Jan 04, 2014 12:02 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
Noah has screened badly and its plot was compared to a climate change disaster movie rather than a Biblical fable: http://www.businessweek.com/articles/20 ... a-backlash Anyway, it could do well. But it's not a lock in my eyes.

Author:	Omni [ Sat Jan 04, 2014 12:16 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
Noah is a big dark horse. Either it goes sub-100M or it challenges Captain America.

Author:	O [ Sat Jan 04, 2014 1:38 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
I see these getting to $100 m: Jan-Apr (9) Lego 300 Mr Sherman Divergent Noah CA2 Rio2 (will be massive overseas I think leading into the World Cup, could see a lot of tie ins) Transcendence The Other Woman May - Aug (12) Spidy 2 Godzilla Blended Xmen Maleficent 22 Jump Street Dragon 2 Think Like a Man Too Transformers 4 Tammy Apes Guardians Sep-Dec (10) Big Hero 6 Interstellar Dumb and Dumber To HG3 Home HB2 Exodus Hobbit 3 NATM3 Into the Woods I have 31 right now, but probably missed a bunch. I'll have to look at the calendar a bit more.

Author:	_axiom [ Sat Jan 04, 2014 2:45 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
Jack Sparrow wrote: Locks: The Lego Movie Mr. Peabody & Sherman Noah 300: Rise of an Empire Godzilla Maleficent Guardians of the Galaxy Big Hero 6 I don't see all of these being pure locks. I could easily see all of these failing in some scenarios. Which doesn't mean they're not very likely to cross $100m, but they're not a lock IMHO. Jack Sparrow wrote: Candidates: Need for Speed (No) Muppets Most Wanted (Not even a candidate as the last one came out during winter in a very friendly environment for a leggy run and despite being a family movie still barely cracked a 3 multiplier and was far from $100m.) St. Vincent (What is this?) Chef (No) Neighbors (No. Previous Stoller comedies didn't even come close. This one will probably be R rated too and I don't see it clicked with mainstream audiences.) Million Dollar Arm (Don't see this one making it even as a possibility.) A Million Ways to Die in the West (Comedy western? This one is really a longshot.) Deliver Us From Evil (No. Looks like a $80m movie tops.) Jupiter Ascending (No. Looks like a $80m movie tops.) Hercules (2014) (No.) Lucy (No.) The Expendables 3 (No.) The Giver Sin City: A Dame to Kill For (It feels like it's coming way late. I think it's more likely to disappoint than to match the original ones when it comes to ticket sales. And even then it's far from $100m) Dolphin Tale 2 (I didn't know about the first movie until just now. No) The Maze Runner (No) The Equalizer (No) Book of Life Paranormal Activity 5 (No) Dumb and Dumber To (No) Unbroken (No.) I don't like this way of splitting movie into locks and candidates. Obviously there are abosfuckinglutely locks then there are those 75-99% movies that can be considered locks. Then there are others. But some of the ones mentioned don't have even a shot IMHO.

Author:	Jack Sparrow [ Sat Jan 04, 2014 2:59 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
This happens every year. I believe its fine. If you have a specific movie that you think won't do $100m then let me know. We can discuss and remove it.

Author:	Jedi Master Carr [ Sat Jan 04, 2014 5:28 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
I don't think Million Ways to Die is a long shot. It is by Seth Macfarlane, whose last film about a talking teddy bear made over 200 million dollars. It should be listed as candidate because of him. And I find it funny you eliminated most of the movies on his list. If it went that way 2014 will have a really bad year.

Author:	Mau [ Sat Jan 04, 2014 6:11 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
Be.redy is a LM, 'nuf said.

Author:	Algren [ Sat Jan 04, 2014 8:42 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
See, when Sparrow makes a prediction (his list in the OP) without copying the collective input of WOKJ users, his prediction is usually shite.

Author:	Caius [ Sat Jan 04, 2014 9:52 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: $100+ million movies of 2014
publicenemy#1 wrote: is The Lego Movie really a lock? idk Agree. There are a bajillion direct to video/demand Lego films. This is not a lock. It may make it (I doubt it) but it will be close at best.