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Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
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Author:  Libs [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 12:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
1 2 FROZEN BV $31,641,000 -53.0% 3,742 - $8,456 $134,278,000 3
2 1 THE HUNGER GAMES: CATCHING FIRE LGF $27,000,000 -63.6% 4,163 - $6,486 $336,665,000 3
3 N OUT OF THE FURNACE Rela. $5,300,000 - 2,101 - $2,523 $5,300,000 1
4 3 THOR: THE DARK WORLD BV $4,740,000 -57.2% 3,074 -212 $1,542 $193,640,000 5
5 6 DELIVERY MAN BV $3,775,000 -44.8% 2,905 -131 $1,299 $24,799,000 3
6 5 HOMEFRONT ORF $3,384,000 -51.1% 2,570 - $1,317 $15,284,000 2
7 7 THE BOOK THIEF Fox $2,700,000 -44.5% 1,316 +82 $2,052 $12,075,000 5
8 4 THE BEST MAN HOLIDAY Uni. $2,673,000 -67.3% 1,577 -140 $1,695 $67,239,000 4
9 8 PHILOMENA Wein. $2,282,000 -37.9% 835 - $2,733 $8,255,000 3
10 12 DALLAS BUYERS CLUB Focus $1,459,000 -42.0% 734 +38 $1,988 $12,411,000 6

11 10 LAST VEGAS CBS $1,255,000 -53.4% 1,539 -315 $815 $60,577,000 6
12 11 GRAVITY WB $1,240,000 -51.5% 900 -116 $1,378 $251,515,000 10
13 13 12 YEARS A SLAVE FoxS $1,140,000 -50.5% 1,082 -83 $1,054 $35,012,000 8
14 9 BLACK NATIVITY FoxS $1,050,000 -71.4% 1,525 +9 $689 $6,428,000 2
15 15 JACKASS PRESENTS: BAD GRANDPA Par. $855,000 -51.6% 1,157 -346 $739 $100,056,000 7
N/A 17 CAPTAIN PHILLIPS Sony $525,000 -54.3% 640 -167 $820 $103,515,000 9
N/A 16 ENDER'S GAME LG/S $515,000 -57.6% 608 -235 $847 $60,161,000 6
N/A 18 OLDBOY FD $296,000 -66.6% 583 - $508 $1,951,000 2
N/A 41 LEE DANIELS' THE BUTLER Wein. $260,000 +517.4% 1,007 +936 $258 $115,917,000 17

N/A 19 NEBRASKA Par. $545,000 -25.4% 115 +13 $4,739 $2,262,000 4
N/A N INSIDE LLEWYN DAVIS CBS $401,000 - 4 - $100,250 $401,000 1
N/A 26 THE GREAT BEAUTY Jan. $88,500 -33.5% 23 - $3,848 $396,400 4
N/A 33 MANDELA: LONG WALK TO FREEDOM Wein. $77,700 -7.8% 4 - $19,425 $183,400 2

http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/ ... =49&p=.htm
Author:  mark66 [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 12:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
Many more estimates:
http://www.boxoffice.com/statistics/bo_ ... 2013-12-08
Author:  Mannyisthebest [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 12:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
Expected and following GOF.

Thinking a gross around THG + 10 million sounds right.

Lead over THG over CF went from 48 to 34 and should drop to 24-25 next weekend.
Author:  David [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 12:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
I wonder if Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom will expand between now and its nationwide launch on Christmas Day.

The Weinstein Company should push it. I would not consider it tasteless to do so. There is heightened fascination with Mandela at the moment, and they have a fairly prestigious film depicting his life in their release arsenal, so they might as well go for it.
Author:  David [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 12:22 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
Delivery Man might leg its way to a decent enough total, particularly considering it only cost 26 million.
Author:  SolC9 [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 12:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
It may have some effect, but the forecast isn't for a shutdown kind of weather event. Just a few inches of snow. It's not like the streets will be covered in a foot of snow.
Author:  SolC9 [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 12:56 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
Inside Llewyn Davis $401,000 = $100,250 PTA

:shock:
Author:  Bradley Witherberry [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 12:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
Bad Grandpa cracked the $100m mark!

Jackass is a master of marketing and timing.
Author:  SolC9 [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 1:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
Magnus wrote:
SolC9 wrote:
It may have some effect, but the forecast isn't for a shutdown kind of weather event. Just a few inches of snow. It's not like the streets will be covered in a foot of snow.


It's enough to get people to not want to go outside of if they don't have to. Frozen and CF are currently projected for sub-40% drops on Sunday and I think actuals will be much closer (if not over) 40%.


Those are optimistic Sunday drops anyway. For my sake in my games, I hope Catching Fire stays over 27M though.
Author:  Thegun [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 1:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
I'm kind of impressed by Delivery Man's run. I never would have thought a 30 million total was possible after a sub 8 million opening.

Here's hoping CF can manage over 12 million next weekend against Hobbit.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 1:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
Thegun wrote:
I'm kind of impressed by Delivery Man's run. I never would have thought a 30 million total was possible after a sub 8 million opening.

Here's hoping CF can manage over 12 million next weekend against Hobbit.


Why would it drop that hard?

Last year, no Top 10 film dropped more than 45.3% when The Hobbit opened. That (worst) drop would give Catching Fire $14.8 million. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 (arguably a HUGELY frontloaded film) dropped 43.9% against The Hobbit. That'd give Catching Fire a $15.1 million weekend.

So I expect something around $15-16 million.
Author:  Thegun [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 1:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
True but every film was a month old and nothing over 7 million. I also think Hunger Games (Families, Nerds) is a much bigger competition against the Hobbit than Twilight (Teenage girls) that it won't be able to avoid a 50% drop.
Author:  jmovies [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 5:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
ILD is definitely the winner this weekend. Will be interesting to see how the film plays out over the holidays.
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 10:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
Bradley Witherberry wrote:
Bad Grandpa cracked the $100m mark!

Jackass is a master of marketing and timing.


Its too close to the mark with actuals it might miss the mark. Regardless it will reach the mark if not Sunday then Monday for sure.
Author:  1924 [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 10:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
Sunday drops for Frozen and Catching Fire are way too optimistic. Both will go down
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Dec 08, 2013 10:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
SolC9 wrote:
Inside Llewyn Davis $401,000 = $100,250 PTA

:shock:


That's HUGE I expected $70K-$80K what most were expecting but $100K :noway: :whaa:
Author:  Magic Mike [ Mon Dec 09, 2013 12:59 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
David wrote:
I wonder if Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom will expand between now and its nationwide launch on Christmas Day.

The Weinstein Company should push it. I would not consider it tasteless to do so. There is heightened fascination with Mandela at the moment, and they have a fairly prestigious film depicting his life in their release arsenal, so they might as well go for it.


I agree. It had a great hold this weekend coming off a holiday weekend. I think they should expand it more much sooner now. Apparently Weinstein has said they won't cash in on Mandela's death like that, but I say they may as well strike while interest is there.
Author:  TServo2049 [ Mon Dec 09, 2013 3:22 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
1924 wrote:
Sunday drops for Frozen and Catching Fire are way too optimistic. Both will go down


Actuals just came in for both films.

For Frozen, the weekend total did go down...by less than $25,000. But the decrease is entirely because Friday dropped from estimates. Both Saturday and Sunday went up, and the actual Sat-Sun drop was only 0.1% bigger than the estimates.

But you were right about CF - Sunday's actually decreased from the estimate almost $1m. Since Saturday also increased from estimates, CF's real Sunday drop was almost 46%...
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Mon Dec 09, 2013 9:56 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (December 6-8)
Well Lionsgate has a history of over-estimating THG.
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