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EarLOLy Friday Numbers
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Author:  Chippy [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 4:54 pm ]
Post subject:  EarLOLy Friday Numbers

Ms. Finke is reporting Best Man Holiday big $12.5-13.5 mil Friday, mid $30 mil weekend. Thor 2 with $37.5 mil weekend.

Author:  BJ [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 5:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

lol, though that would be a pretty good recovery for Thor.

Author:  SolC9 [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 5:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

It wouldn't surprise me actually. No competition, doing well on Fandango, solid preview showings. I don't believe it until a more reliable source says it, but it wouldn't surprise me.

Author:  pro1986 [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 5:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

Looking at sell outs I would not be shocked if BMH come close to 40.

Author:  pro1986 [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 5:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

Magnus wrote:
pro1986 wrote:
Looking at sell outs I would not be shocked if BMH come close to 40.


It's in 2k theaters. 40m would mean a 20k+ PTA. That's not happening.


People thought 35 million was not happening and now look at it. Never say never. Madea goes to jail made 41 million in just 2k theaters.

Author:  Thegun [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 5:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

It's based off Nikki without her sources, 13 Friday can become 9 real fast.

Author:  pro1986 [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 5:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

Thegun wrote:
It's based off Nikki without her sources, 13 Friday can become 9 real fast.


True but based on pre sales and sell outs that 13 million is more likely to become 14-15. The signs of a big break out have been there for two weeks.

Author:  Chippy [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 6:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

It would have to match Madea Goes to Jail type hype to get that $20k PTA. That's not happening.

Author:  pro1986 [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 6:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

Chippy wrote:
It would have to match Madea Goes to Jail type hype to get that $20k PTA. That's not happening.


Not saying it will but at this point anything can happen. The movie is already flying past expectations.

Author:  Brian [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 8:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

LOL early numbers

Author:  Jonathan [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 8:15 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

Quote:
Malcolm D. Lee's sequel The Best Man Holiday -- opening nearly 15 years after the first film -- could approach or cross $33 million in its North American debut, vastly exceeding expectations.

The Universal comedy is pacing to gross $13 million or more on Friday, possibly eclipsing Thor: The Dark World for the day, although Thor 2 is still tipped to stay at No. 1 in its second weekend with a gross north of $37 million.


http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/b ... day-656588

Author:  1924 [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 8:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

they keep saying 37m for Thor but what is its Friday number? It would need a gigantic increase on Friday and Saturday to make that number

Author:  Jedi Master Carr [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 8:30 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

It could do that if it makes between 10-11 million on Friday. 3.4-3.7 multiplier isn't out of the question.

Author:  Jonathan [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 8:35 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

The audience for Thor 2 is a lot younger than it was for the first film, as shown by the exit polling and the strong IM from last weekend. A strong increase today isn't impossible, especially since it and Free Birds are pretty much the only family options right now.

Author:  Jonathan [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 10:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

Variety is guesstimating $30-35 million for Best Man Holiday.

Author:  Rev [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 10:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

Jon wrote:
Variety is guesstimating $30-35 million for Best Man Holiday.

Awesome! :) loved the first film

Author:  1924 [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 10:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

I think $37 million is coming from Disney because everyone is reporting it without even any hint of Friday number.

Author:  Biggestgeekever [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 10:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

Jon wrote:
The audience for Thor 2 is a lot younger than it was for the first film, as shown by the exit polling and the strong IM from last weekend. A strong increase today isn't impossible, especially since it and Free Birds are pretty much the only family options right now.
It certainly isn't, but it would have to be really dramatic, like 190% and then another 65-70% tomorrow. My projection yesterday wasn't very good, because its Sunday drop is much more likely to be 45-50% than under 40%.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Nov 15, 2013 11:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

I really don't understand why we haven't gotten a horror film with a primarily African American cast. It hasn't happened in a while anyway (and what was the last one, Bones?), not a widely released theatrical one. Get on this!

Author:  1924 [ Sat Nov 16, 2013 1:55 am ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

1) Thor: The Dark World/ PG13/ Disney / Week 2/ Runs: 3841/ $10.527 Fri./ $15.264 Sat. 45% / $9.158 Sun. -40% = $34.949 Weekend -59%. Per Screen Average, $9,099. Total domestic gross $143.5 million.

2) The Best Man Holiday/ R/ Universal/ Week 1/ Runs: 2024/ $12.500 Fri./ $13.550 Sat. 10% / $6.353 Sun. -45% = $34 Million Weekend. Per Screen Average, $14,033. Total domestic gross $34 million.

3) Last Vegas/ PG13/ CBS Films / Week 3/ Runs: 3237/ 155 / $2.377 Fri./ $3.565 Sat. 50% / $1.961 Sun. -45% = $7.902 Wknd -28%. Per Screen Average: $2,441. Total domestic gross $46 million.

4) Free Birds/ PG/ Relativity/ Week 3/ Runs: 3510/ -226 / $1.743 Fri./ $3.485 Sat. 100% / $2.265 Sun. -35% = $7.493 Weekend, -33%. Per screen average: $2,135. Total domestic gross $41.4 million.

5) Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa/ R/ Paramount/ Week 4/ Runs: 3190/ 3 / $2.165 Fri./ $3.140 Sat. 45% / $1.884 Sun. -40% = $7.189 Weekend. -37%. Per screen average: $2,254. Total domestic gross $89.7 million

6) Gravity/ PG13/ Warner Bros / Week 7/ Runs: 2560/ -160 / $1.698 Fri./ $2.887 Sat. 70% / $1.588 Sun. -45% = $6.173 Weekend -28%. Per screen average: $2,411. Total domestic gross $240.4 million.

7) Ender’s Game/ PG13/ Lionsgate/ Week 3/ Runs: 3236/ -171 / $1.598 Fri./ $2.478 Sat. 55% / $1.487 Sun. -40% = $5.562 weekend. -46%. Per screen average: $1,719. Total domestic gross $53.1 million.

Eight) 12 Years A Slave/ R/ Fox Searchlight/ Week 5/ Runs: 1411/ 267 / $1.338 Fri./ $2.073 Sat. 55% / $1.244 Sun. -40% = $4.655 Weekend. -30%. Per screen average: $3,299. Total domestic gross $24.9 million.

9) Captain Phillips/ PG13/ Sony/ Week 6/ Runs: 2626/ -20 / $1.238 Fri./ $1.980 Sat. 60% / $1.089 Sun. -45% = $4.307 Weekend. -25%. Per screen average: $1,640. Total domestic gross $97.4 million.

10) About Time/ R/ Universal/ Week 3/ Runs: 1280/ 80 / $1.049 Fri./ $1.311 Sat. 25% / $0.786 Sun. -40% = $3.146 Weekend. -34%. Per screen average: $2,458. Total domestic gross: $11.3 million.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Sat Nov 16, 2013 2:03 am ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

I hope About Time has a better hold than that. :sweat:

Fantastic for The Best Man Holiday. Could make what the first one did total (unadjusted) in its opening weekend.

Author:  SolC9 [ Sat Nov 16, 2013 10:04 am ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

-34% would be a pretty good hold for About Time.

Author:  David [ Sat Nov 16, 2013 10:10 am ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

It would be fine, but unspectacular. I was expecting (hoping for?) absolutely sterling holds since it such a charming, sweet movie.

Author:  BK [ Sat Nov 16, 2013 12:15 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: EarLOLy Friday Numbers

pro1986 wrote:
Thegun wrote:
It's based off Nikki without her sources, 13 Friday can become 9 real fast.


True but based on pre sales and sell outs that 13 million is more likely to become 14-15. The signs of a big break out have been there for two weeks.


lolbiasfail

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