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Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?
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Author:  1924 [ Sun Nov 10, 2013 3:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

Both movies had very similar opening weekends. 85m for X2 compared with 86m for Thor. Can Thor 2 surpass X2's final gross of 215 m ?


If lots of people say over I might change to O/U Star Trek 2

Author:  the lesser evil [ Sun Nov 10, 2013 3:31 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

Over. I can't imagine Thor 2 having worse legs than an X-Men film.

Author:  Jedi Master Carr [ Sun Nov 10, 2013 4:39 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

X2 had to face the Matrix Reloaded which really hurt its legs. So, I would say over, since it will have some holiday legs.

Author:  1924 [ Sun Nov 10, 2013 10:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

Jedi Master Carr wrote:
X2 had to face the Matrix Reloaded which really hurt its legs. So, I would say over, since it will have some holiday legs.



ah, but Thor 2 has a little movie called Catching Fire in its third weekend.


Both Thor 2 and X2 seem to be in very similar positions. Similar opening. Then second weekend no competition. Then strong competition in its third weekend. Then a holiday weekend right after that (Memorial Day for X2 and Thanksgiving for Thor)

Author:  Algren [ Mon Nov 11, 2013 1:03 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

Under

Author:  Jedi Master Carr [ Tue Nov 12, 2013 1:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

1924 wrote:
Jedi Master Carr wrote:
X2 had to face the Matrix Reloaded which really hurt its legs. So, I would say over, since it will have some holiday legs.



ah, but Thor 2 has a little movie called Catching Fire in its third weekend.


Both Thor 2 and X2 seem to be in very similar positions. Similar opening. Then second weekend no competition. Then strong competition in its third weekend. Then a holiday weekend right after that (Memorial Day for X2 and Thanksgiving for Thor)



the holidays will help it I think somewhat. I see like 225-230 so just barely over. Of course will sell less tickets than X2.

Author:  Chippy [ Wed Nov 13, 2013 4:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

Over. $237 mil.

Author:  1924 [ Wed Nov 13, 2013 4:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

so far it's run is similar to X2. X2 dropped 53% second weekend. I can't see Thor 2 holding that well

Author:  1924 [ Wed Nov 13, 2013 4:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

Magnus wrote:
1924 wrote:
so far it's run is similar to X2. X2 dropped 53% second weekend. I can't see Thor 2 holding that well


Thanksgiving boost > Memorial Day boost.





but post Thanksgiving drop is harsher than post Memorial Day I believe

Author:  DP07 [ Wed Nov 13, 2013 11:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

The best comparison I believe is Quantum of Solace. It opened a week later so the Thanksgiving boost was a week earlier, but Veterans Day nearly evens it out. QOS was just under 2.5.

Under

Author:  1924 [ Thu Nov 14, 2013 5:22 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

could possibly go under

Author:  1924 [ Sat Nov 16, 2013 2:02 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

Thor 2 first week will finish with less than X2's first week

Author:  Thegun [ Sat Nov 16, 2013 3:03 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

With that opening it wouldn't, but 200 seems like a stretch as well, looks like it'll be in the 190-195 range.

Author:  Jedi Master Carr [ Sat Nov 16, 2013 3:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

I am pretty certain it will get over 200 million. Disney will push it over if it gets close and plus it will have the holidays to boost it.

Author:  SquareMaster316 [ Sat Nov 16, 2013 5:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

Could this actually have a chance of doing less than Superman Returns?

Author:  Algren [ Sat Nov 16, 2013 8:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

Could do. Which will be so funny.

Author:  Jedi Master Carr [ Sun Nov 17, 2013 1:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

200 million is a guarantee now. It will be close for 215, it will depend on how bad Catching Fire hurts it.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Mon Nov 18, 2013 4:18 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

I think it will do $200m but it won't get over $215m. THG will hurt it heavily next weekend.

Under.

Author:  Algren [ Mon Nov 18, 2013 9:50 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

It's a mediocre movie, a mediocre gross, and a mediocre reception.

Author:  1924 [ Mon Nov 18, 2013 11:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

second weekend drop is harsher than X2. I can't see when this can make up the difference

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Tue Nov 19, 2013 12:21 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

The almost $2m under-estimates really hurt its hold this weekend. Its going to be difficult for it to get past $215 now.

Author:  DP07 [ Sat Nov 23, 2013 3:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

It would now need a multiplier of nearly 4.5 from this weekend to make it. So, it's a lock to go under.

Matching STID was crazy talk. It should have been obvious movies are getting more frontloaded.

Author:  Jedi Master Carr [ Sat Nov 23, 2013 5:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

It will probably make somewhere between 205-210, and yeah seems very unlikely now.

Author:  1924 [ Sun Nov 24, 2013 2:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

look like it is a foregone conclusion it will finish under now



Congratulations to all people who picked "under"

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Mon Nov 25, 2013 12:21 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Thor 2 O/U X-Men 2's 215m non adjusted gross?

With its current legs $200m would be great for it. Even with holidays Hobbit is yet to come out which will hurt it even more. Holidays (including Thanksgiving) would eventually help it cross $200m otherwise it might have missed that mark as well. Not too much of an increase from the first film specially in admissions.

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