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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18870 Location: San Diego
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Thursday previews
44-48m according to Deadline
Hmmmm over at BOT they were thinking high 30s so idk if i trust this lol
Last edited by publicenemy#1 on Fri Dec 20, 2019 11:49 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:24 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23758 Location: Classified
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Re: Early Thursday #s
Anything over $40M would be good enough for a $100M opening day and $200M weekend I’d think.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:30 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6138 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Early Thursday #s
Isn't this basically the same as Last Jedi?
_________________ .
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:31 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18870 Location: San Diego
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Re: Early Thursday #s
Barrabás wrote: Isn't this basically the same as Last Jedi? Yeah TLJ did over 45m. So if it does over that, considering all the doom this week that'd be good. Idk how it'll hold the weekend though
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:36 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Early Thursday #s
These will surely go down. There were no signs before release of this doing numbers close to TLJ.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:37 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: Early Thursday #s
Sparrow talking ridiculous stuff. its PS were similar to TLJ and we have expansion in Imax/PLF/4D etc. That said OW wont match TLJ. But 200m will happen.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:41 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Early Thursday #s
Yeah ridiculous!! IMAX and PLF have increased 10 times in 2 years for sure. Also how about someone at BOT posting high-30's which Keyser keeps bringing every other weekend to call others shit???
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:49 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18870 Location: San Diego
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Re: Early Thursday #s
Keyser is literally one of the trackers from BOT lolol
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:51 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: Early Thursday #s
I started tracking 2 MTC from Joker onwards. So its hard to estimate a movie at this level of PS. No other movie I tracked from Joker onwards were on this ballpark. That said its PS increase this week was way less than what I had thought late last week. Still numbers are huge. Most important its strong for OD/Saturday and when I checked last weekend, PS is quite good all the way till christmas. So its not Justice League or anything to crash after previews.
That said with its mixed reaction, it wont sustain beyond the holidays.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:56 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Early Thursday #s
Thanks for the insight but aren't pre-sales accounting for 5-10% of the daily sales? Given the HEAVY fanbase this movie attracts and in general being pre-sale heavy (it has been thus far) won't it make sense that the fans book their tickets upfront. With reviews being lukewarm its might loose casual audiences (I am assuming a lot of families) and few repeat viewings that would have been otherwise easier with a better rush factor.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 3:02 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Early Thursday #s
Yeah if those numbers stick its definitely doing $200M over the weekend, but it does seem hard to believe that it goes anywhere near $50M unless the walk-ups ended up being really strong.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 3:02 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18870 Location: San Diego
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Re: Early Thursday #s
I'm gonna bet actual # is like 42m, which is still very good. Probably be a mid-90s OD unless it matches TLJ.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 3:24 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22674 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Early Thursday #s
Well well even if that drops a little it’s still going to be a better OW than expected.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 3:34 am |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14470 Location: Everywhere
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Re: Early Thursday #s
TFA had a preview to OW multiplier of under 4.4, TLJ had closer to 5. Part of the difference may be anticipation, but it’s also the date. Closer to Xmas deflates the weekend, but affects previews less. I’m expecting under 4.5 previews.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 4:26 am |
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Mau
100% That Bitch
Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm Posts: 16897 Location: Monterrey, Mexico
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Re: Early Thursday #s
Lol. Star Wars doing great business but surely underperforming.
Quite the opposite of the MCU
_________________ Tongue Pop!
I kneel with Magnus.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 8:18 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Early Thursday #s
idk, everyone at my showing seemed to enjoy it. it should do better than expected.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 10:51 am |
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm Posts: 6145 Location: New York
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Re: Early Thursday #s
$190m-200m would kind of be a mini-coup at this time.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 11:07 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18870 Location: San Diego
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Re: Thursday previews
The # we've all been waiting for
Cats- 550k
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 11:49 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21880 Location: Places
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Re: Early Thursday #s
Magnus wrote: guys i just wanna say that its pretty fucking lit that we're all being active on the forum at 2:13AM EST. just like old times, at least one last time. just wait until the batman does $360m opening weekend
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 12:00 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18870 Location: San Diego
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Re: Thursday previews
Welp never trust Deadline good job Keyser and BOT peeps
40m
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 12:13 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21880 Location: Places
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Re: Thursday previews
W.B. about to nix the Abrams deal in 3,2,1...
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 12:19 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Thursday previews
Excel wrote: W.B. about to nix the Abrams deal in 3,2,1... Lol, no. He can start a bunch of stuff, just don't let him finish it.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 12:26 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Thursday previews
publicenemy#1 wrote: Welp never trust Deadline good job Keyser and BOT peeps
40m Didn't Keyser mention TLJ previews and $200m OW?
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 12:27 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18870 Location: San Diego
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Re: Thursday previews
Jack Sparrow wrote: publicenemy#1 wrote: Welp never trust Deadline good job Keyser and BOT peeps
40m Didn't Keyser mention TLJ previews and $200m OW? Where? In their tracking over at BOT they were saying high 30s.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 12:28 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Thursday previews
publicenemy#1 wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: publicenemy#1 wrote: Welp never trust Deadline good job Keyser and BOT peeps
40m Didn't Keyser mention TLJ previews and $200m OW? Where? In their tracking over at BOT they were saying high 30s. Keyser Söze wrote: Sparrow talking ridiculous stuff. its PS were similar to TLJ and we have expansion in Imax/PLF/4D etc. That said OW wont match TLJ. But 200m will happen.
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Fri Dec 20, 2019 12:30 pm |
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