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The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=70463		 Page 1 of 17
Author:  BJ [ Sun May 05, 2013 2:12 pm ]
Post subject:  The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
JOIN

BJs Prediction:

Fri: 109m ( 45% 3D share, over 11m tickets sold)
Sat: 88m -19%
Sun: 70m -20%

Opening Wknd: 267m
Author:  Excel [ Sun May 05, 2013 2:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
It will be close.

If for some bizarre reason RDJ isnt in it, nope.

Otherwise...yes.
Author:  mark66 [ Sun May 05, 2013 2:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I'm going with tradition, so in...

2002 Marvel's SPIDER-MAN is first $100m opener
2007 Marvel's SPIDER-MAN 3 is first $150m opener
2012 Marvel's AVENGERS is first $200m opener
2015 Marvel's AVENGERS 2 is first $250m opener???
Author:  BJ [ Sun May 05, 2013 2:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
mark66 wrote:
I'm going with tradition, so in...

2002 Marvel's SPIDER-MAN is first $100m opener
2007 Marvel's SPIDER-MAN 3 is first $150m opener
2012 Marvel's AVENGERS is first $200m opener
2015 Marvel's AVENGERS 2 is first $250m opener???
Author:  Excel [ Sun May 05, 2013 2:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
BJ wrote:
JOIN

BJs Prediction:

Fri: 109m ( 45% 3D share, over 11m tickets sold)
Sat: 88m -19%
Sun: 70m -20%

Opening Wknd: 267m


its not doing 267m unless it opens in like 2018. If it opens two years from right now? No way.
Author:  Excel [ Sun May 05, 2013 2:30 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Magnus wrote:
Assuming the gang is all back, this will happen.

Pure inflation puts it at about 225m-230m. Add in more frontloading and higher early screenings number to allow for more business over the weekend and you get 250m OW.


What is odd with 3D is the ticket prices for 3D films have actually DROPPED since Avatar. Hence why mojo has most 3D inflated films LOWER now than when they opened.

http://boxofficemojo.com/alltime/adjusted.htm

According to BOM, if Avengers opened right now instead of last year, and had te same 3D share, it would have made 609 million, not the 623 it made. Avatar has only gained 12 million in inflation over the past 3 years, etc.

3D prices will really fuck up inflation.
Author:  BJ [ Sun May 05, 2013 2:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Excel wrote:
BJ wrote:
JOIN

BJs Prediction:

Fri: 109m ( 45% 3D share, over 11m tickets sold)
Sat: 88m -19%
Sun: 70m -20%

Opening Wknd: 267m


its not doing 267m unless it opens in like 2018. If it opens two years from right now? No way.

The opening day stays, it's only 20% above TA's, the potential beyond that lies in the quality of the film, I think Marvel will once again deliver, at this point they have only made one mediocre film (IM2). I give the film the benefit of the doubt with the sat and sun holds.
Author:  Nazgul9 [ Sun May 05, 2013 2:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Excel wrote:
Magnus wrote:
Assuming the gang is all back, this will happen.

Pure inflation puts it at about 225m-230m. Add in more frontloading and higher early screenings number to allow for more business over the weekend and you get 250m OW.


What is odd with 3D is the ticket prices for 3D films have actually DROPPED since Avatar. Hence why mojo has most 3D inflated films LOWER now than when they opened.

http://boxofficemojo.com/alltime/adjusted.htm

According to BOM, if Avengers opened right now instead of last year, and had te same 3D share, it would have made 609 million, not the 623 it made. Avatar has only gained 12 million in inflation over the past 3 years, etc.

3D prices will really fuck up inflation.

3D prices have not dropped, they have increased since Avatar. You are talking about average ticket prices, which is far from the same.
Author:  Excel [ Sun May 05, 2013 2:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Nazgul9 wrote:
Excel wrote:
Magnus wrote:
Assuming the gang is all back, this will happen.

Pure inflation puts it at about 225m-230m. Add in more frontloading and higher early screenings number to allow for more business over the weekend and you get 250m OW.


What is odd with 3D is the ticket prices for 3D films have actually DROPPED since Avatar. Hence why mojo has most 3D inflated films LOWER now than when they opened.

http://boxofficemojo.com/alltime/adjusted.htm

According to BOM, if Avengers opened right now instead of last year, and had te same 3D share, it would have made 609 million, not the 623 it made. Avatar has only gained 12 million in inflation over the past 3 years, etc.

3D prices will really fuck up inflation.

3D prices have not dropped, they have increased since Avatar. You are talking about average ticket prices, which is far from the same.


My understanding of BOM's inflation adjustment model is the utilize all shares trackable (kids tickets sold, 3D tickets, etc) and adjust the prices like so. The stated reason all the big 3D films have grow far less than due to inflation than the 2D film released around the same time is that 3D ticket prices are not what they used to be. I know it cost $14 to see Avatr in 3d and JP3 was only $12.50 in 3D. Last year, Avengers was $13 something.
Author:  zingy [ Sun May 05, 2013 2:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
In.
Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Sun May 05, 2013 2:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I'm wondering if this could actually increase on its first Saturday. :whistle:
Author:  choubachou [ Sun May 05, 2013 2:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I'm in, but just barely. 250-255.
Author:  BJ [ Sun May 05, 2013 2:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
zingy wrote:
In.


choubachou wrote:
I'm in, but just barely. 250-255.
Author:  Biggestgeekever [ Sun May 05, 2013 3:22 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
In

Fri: $103m ($29m midnights)
Sat: $83m -19.4%
Sun: $66m -20.5%
OW: $252m
Author:  BJ [ Sun May 05, 2013 3:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Biggestgeekever wrote:
In

Fri: $103m ($29m midnights)
Sat: $83m -19.4%
Sun: $66m -20.5%
OW: $252m
Author:  Rev [ Sun May 05, 2013 3:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
In....Marvel's on a roll
Author:  BJ [ Sun May 05, 2013 3:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Rev wrote:
In....Marvel's on a roll
Author:  Biggestgeekever [ Sun May 05, 2013 4:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Hopefully this is the movie that finally kills Spider-Man 3's last standing record.
Author:  BJ [ Sun May 05, 2013 4:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Biggestgeekever wrote:
Hopefully this is the movie that finally kills Spider-Man 3's last standing record.

IM3 can do if it holds up today. If not TA2 has it in the bag.
Author:  Algren [ Sun May 05, 2013 6:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Not enough time between movies for $250m to happen. Sorry.

$200m tops
Author:  Mannyisthebest [ Sun May 05, 2013 7:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
It will likely be the most attended weekend ever easily though...

The wide screen point will be biggest ever I imagine.
Author:  Mau [ Sun May 05, 2013 9:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
ya I'm in too.
Author:  Excel [ Sun May 05, 2013 9:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
If this opens in 2015, it isn't going to happen.
Author:  Darth Indiana Bond [ Sun May 05, 2013 9:03 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I want to say in, but that number just seems so high.
Author:  Mannyisthebest [ Sun May 05, 2013 9:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Its certain to break opening day record.
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