World of KJ :: View topic - April Predictions

BMP wrote:

Pain and Gain and Oblivion will own the month

Flava'd vs The World wrote:

Jobs - ??? I can't believe this is coming out next month, has there been any marketing?

Magic Mike wrote:

Current poll on ComingSoon.net:

Which April release are you anticipating the most?

Oblivion 32.6%
Evil Dead 32.3%
Pain & Gain 13.6%
Jurassic Park 3D 12.8%
42 4.7%
Scary Movie 5 2.4%
JOBS 1.1%
The Big Wedding 0.4%

Total votes: 2382

This will see a huge increase in votes so I'll post again later. This is probably the shortest "which release are you anticipating the most" list I've ever seen. What a slow month. But on the bright side it should allow for better staying power for films. And will also make it easier for smaller releases to get into the top 10, which is always nice to see.

Harry Warden wrote:

To be fair, such polls it would be likely are heavily-slanted towards the films that open early in the month because their already in their advertising cycle. Pain and Gain and even Oblivion haven't really started TV spots yet. Please let me avoid any and all spots for Oblivion as I've seen the trailer enough to drive anyone batty.

Algren wrote:

Exactly. Fanboys love to skew voting. Oblivion will murder Evil Dead.

Jack Sparrow wrote:

Also the holdovers have to be doing good other wise this year will fall in a HUGE slump.

Author:	jmovies [ Wed Mar 13, 2013 1:53 pm ]
Post subject:	April Predictions
Out this month Evil Dead (April 5) Jurassic Park 3D (April 5) 42 (April 12) Scary Movie 5 (April 12) jOBS (April 19) Oblivion (April 19) The Big Wedding (April 26) Pain & Gain (April 26) My predictions Evil Dead- 23.1/60.7 Jurassic Park 3D- 20.5/49.4 42- 19.2/72.0 Scary Movie 5- 10.2/19.9 jOBS- 5.1/13.8 Oblivion- 38.5/119.4 The Big Wedding- 9.7/28.1 Pain & Gain- 27.5/75.9 Damn this month is pretty empty.

Author:	Flava'd vs The World [ Wed Mar 13, 2013 2:10 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Evil Dead - $32M/$68M Jurassic Park - $10M/$22M 42 - $17M/$52M Scary Movie 5 - $9M/$25M Jobs - ??? I can't believe this is coming out next month, has there been any marketing? Oblivion - $44M/$120M Pain & Gain - $20M/$55M

Author:	Thegun [ Wed Mar 13, 2013 5:01 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Evil Dead (18/45) Jurassic Park (22/50) 42 (26/ 85) Scary Movie 5 (12/25) Oblivion (48/140) Pain and Gain (22/55)

Author:	Dr. Lecter [ Wed Mar 13, 2013 5:25 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Something will break out. I'm guessing either Evil Dead ($65+ million) or Pain & Gain ($85+ million)

Author:	MadGez [ Wed Mar 13, 2013 6:40 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Evil Dead (45) Jurassic Park (43) 42 (90) Scary Movie 5 (20) Oblivion (100) Pain and Gain (80)

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Author:	Magic Mike [ Wed Mar 13, 2013 6:41 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
I haven't seen a single TV spot for Scary Movie 5 yet. It's also unknown what it will be rated.

Author:	Dil [ Wed Mar 13, 2013 7:50 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Evil Dead - 20/47 Jurassic Park 3D - 18/43 42 - 22/70 Scary Movie 5 - 14/30 Oblivion - 31/95 The Big Wedding - 8/17 Pain & Gain - 27/80

Author:	Brian [ Thu Mar 14, 2013 1:13 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Pain and Gain and Oblivion will own the month

Author:	Jack Sparrow [ Thu Mar 14, 2013 2:08 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Its surprising how much junk was there in first 2 months and April feels pretty empty.

Author:	Magic Mike [ Thu Mar 14, 2013 2:14 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
BMP wrote: Pain and Gain and Oblivion will own the month Pain & Gain looks so bad, but it is a dead month. Jack The Giant Slayer would have even been better off coming out in April.

Author:	zingy [ Thu Mar 14, 2013 10:13 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Evil Dead - 26/52 Jurassic Park 3D - 17/41 42 - 20/56 Scary Movie 5 - 15/32 jOBS - no clue Oblivion - 38/106 The Big Wedding - 8/21 Pain & Gain - 23/62

Author:	Algren [ Thu Mar 14, 2013 10:47 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Yeah, I hope Oblivion scores a great opening.

Author:	Magic Mike [ Thu Mar 14, 2013 11:07 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
I would be happy for the sake of the Box Office, but after having the trailer forced upon me with every movie I see I will never watch it. Not to mention the trailer never keeps my interest. After a few seconds I always tune it out.

Author:	Magic Mike [ Thu Mar 14, 2013 11:08 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Jobs - ??? I can't believe this is coming out next month, has there been any marketing? Nope. And I believe it could have performed solidly. But if it's really coming out in April, at this point, I expect it to do poorly.

Author:	Jack Sparrow [ Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:12 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
While I agree that the later half looks stronger than 2012 but 2013 could not just work with openers at this point. It needs strong openings with good legs thus stable holdovers. Also the openers for the month are good but not strong enough to elevate the month overall and remember 2012 had boatload of movies to cover for smaller openings.

Author:	jmovies [ Mon Mar 18, 2013 6:42 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
No big surprise, but Jobs has been pushed back from its April 19th release to an unannounced date. http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/a ... ase-429103

Author:	Magic Mike [ Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:15 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
BTC tracking (apparently this is another chain like MTC): Opening 3/29 (Not April but close enough ) GIJO2 --- 50.0 HOST1 --- 17.0 TMRGC --- 20.0 Opening 4/5 EVILD --- 22.0 JP3D --- 15.0 Opening 4/12 42 --- 20.0 SCAR5 --- 25.0 Opening 4/19 OBLVN --- 50.0

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Author:	Magic Mike [ Thu Mar 14, 2013 11:23 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Current poll on ComingSoon.net: Which April release are you anticipating the most? Oblivion 32.6% Evil Dead 32.3% Pain & Gain 13.6% Jurassic Park 3D 12.8% 42 4.7% Scary Movie 5 2.4% JOBS 1.1% The Big Wedding 0.4% Total votes: 2382 This will see a huge increase in votes so I'll post again later. This is probably the shortest "which release are you anticipating the most" list I've ever seen. What a slow month. But on the bright side it should allow for better staying power for films. And will also make it easier for smaller releases to get into the top 10, which is always nice to see.

Author:	Magic Mike [ Sun Mar 17, 2013 4:09 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Magic Mike wrote: Current poll on ComingSoon.net: Which April release are you anticipating the most? Oblivion 32.6% Evil Dead 32.3% Pain & Gain 13.6% Jurassic Park 3D 12.8% 42 4.7% Scary Movie 5 2.4% JOBS 1.1% The Big Wedding 0.4% Total votes: 2382 This will see a huge increase in votes so I'll post again later. This is probably the shortest "which release are you anticipating the most" list I've ever seen. What a slow month. But on the bright side it should allow for better staying power for films. And will also make it easier for smaller releases to get into the top 10, which is always nice to see. UPDATE! Evil Dead - 35.1% Oblivion - 32.0% Jurassic Park 3D - 13.6% Pain & Gain - 10.9% 42 - 4.4% Scary Movie 5 - 2.6% JOBS - 1.2% The Big Wedding - 0.3% Total votes: 7471 Wow Evil Dead!

Author:	Harry Warden [ Sun Mar 17, 2013 4:12 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
To be fair, such polls it would be likely are heavily-slanted towards the films that open early in the month because their already in their advertising cycle. Pain and Gain and even Oblivion haven't really started TV spots yet. Please let me avoid any and all spots for Oblivion as I've seen the trailer enough to drive anyone batty.

Author:	Magic Mike [ Sun Mar 17, 2013 4:16 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Harry Warden wrote: To be fair, such polls it would be likely are heavily-slanted towards the films that open early in the month because their already in their advertising cycle. Pain and Gain and even Oblivion haven't really started TV spots yet. Please let me avoid any and all spots for Oblivion as I've seen the trailer enough to drive anyone batty. Well I'm sure people are already well-aware of Oblivion . Not to mention Evil Dead is the kind of movie that will have internet fanboys excited, IMO. But even so it's obviously going to do well.

Author:	Algren [ Sun Mar 17, 2013 4:45 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Exactly. Fanboys love to skew voting. Oblivion will murder Evil Dead.

Author:	Magic Mike [ Sun Mar 17, 2013 4:50 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Algren wrote: Exactly. Fanboys love to skew voting. Oblivion will murder Evil Dead. Obviously Oblivion will make more $$$. Nobody is doubting that. It has more appeal in general. But it's still a great result for Evil Dead.

Author:	Jack Sparrow [ Mon Mar 18, 2013 2:58 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
That poll isn't really surprising to me. Evil Dead is closer to its release date and its internet-friendly movie so the overall votes should have been better....I was kinda surprised it wasn't earlier. Oblivion is definitely winning this month but I hope we see some decent hits with a much more relaxed release schedule. Also the holdovers have to be doing good other wise this year will fall in a HUGE slump.

Author:	Webslinger [ Mon Mar 18, 2013 9:05 am ]
Post subject:	Re: April Predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote: Also the holdovers have to be doing good other wise this year will fall in a HUGE slump. The box office is already in a pretty big slump. It hasn't reached 2005/late-2010-and-early-2011 levels (yet), but this year is still paling in comparison to last year, and tickets sold are slumping to levels they haven't been at since the '90s. If Oblivion and Pain & Gain both live up to their respective expectations, there could be a minor rebound in April. The latter half of the month this year certainly looks stronger than it did in 2012.