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Weekend Estimates
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=69858		 Page 1 of 2
Author:  mark66 [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 10:23 am ]
Post subject:  Weekend Estimates
...trickling in...

http://www.boxoffice.com/statistics/bo_ ... 2013-03-10
Author:  Thegun [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 10:30 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
Trickle Harder Dammit!
Author:  Algren [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 10:39 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
Quartet already up to $13m. The $15m thread is a success. Silver Lingings reaches $120m, nicely done.
Author:  Spidey [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 11:01 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
$80,278,000 for Oz the Great and Powerful.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 11:20 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
That is quite amazing. I see it having good WoM among target audiences too, so $250 million should happen.
Author:  Algren [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 11:21 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
Quite amazing for sure. How such a shit looking movie can make so much movie. Disney is the star here.
Author:  Algren [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 11:33 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
1 Oz: The Great and Powerful $80,278,000
2 Jack the Giant Slayer $10,020,000
3 Identity Thief $6,300,000
4 Dead Man Down $5,350,000
5 21 And Over $5,056,000
6 Safe Haven $3,800,000
7 Silver Linings Playbook $3,745,000
8 Escape From Planet Earth $3,207,000
9 The Last Exorcism Part II $3,120,000
10 A Good Day to Die Hard $2,100,000
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 11:38 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
Very nice weekend for Oz.
Author:  nghtvsn [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 11:56 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
Spidey wrote:
$80,278,000 for Oz the Great and Powerful.


Fantastic!
Author:  nghtvsn [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 11:57 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
Algren wrote:
Quite amazing for sure. How such a shit looking movie can make so much movie. Disney is the star here.


Not quite as Breathtaking as Jack and the...
Author:  David [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 12:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
Poor Jack. :(
Author:  jmovies [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 12:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
Damn Oz you scary
Author:  David [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 1:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
I wish Jack the Giant Slayer had come out in January or February. I hate the fact the executives were so afraid of those "bad" months, they opted instead to release it a few days before Oz. Ugh.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 1:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
Magnus wrote:
I wonder when studios are going to stop letting certain films like Oz and other spring blockbusters get away with this kind of scheduling.

Not saying Oz wouldn't have been a hit if it had tougher competition before it and all, but I don't think it would have broken 80m. Being the first true blockbuster since Hobbit and not have to deal with marketing against other blockbusters coming after it did help it quite a bit. It had the entire market to itself to market for the last two weeks.

Eventually, studios I feel have to wake up and stop crowding summer (as they are this year) and start spreading event-films around.


Eh, to be honest, Jack the Giant Slayer could have been all that. It is really the first blockbuster since The Hobbit. Of course, the box-office numbers are not showing it, but it is an epic $195 million production from the director of two $200+ million grossers. Certainly was supposed to be a major tentpole. So it's not like no one else tried...
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 1:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
David wrote:
I wish Jack the Giant Slayer had come out in January or February. I hate the fact the executives were so afraid of those "bad" months, they opted instead to release it a few days before Oz. Ugh.


Should have opened over the MLK-weekend wth the marketplace starving for new PG-13 movies. Woulod have been a flop still (Oz will cut its legs short, but the opening itself was bad too given the budget), but it could have probably made $30-35 million 4-day and maybe would have got close to a $100 million total.
Author:  David [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 1:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
As is, where will Jack the Giant Slayer end up? 55 million?
Author:  David [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 1:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
Magnus wrote:
And Die Hard was supposed to be much bigger.

This has almost flown under the radar. Such a huge dud stateside compared to Live Free or Die Hard.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 1:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
Magnus wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Eh, to be honest, Jack the Giant Slayer could have been all that. It is really the first blockbuster since The Hobbit. Of course, the box-office numbers are not showing it, but it is an epic $195 million production from the director of two $200+ million grossers. Certainly was supposed to be a major tentpole. So it's not like no one else tried...


I guess. And Die Hard was supposed to be much bigger.

But even still, Jack seems like a second-rate attempt anyways. I think studios need to start to be willing to put blockbusters they usually put in summer in spring. A film like World War Z to me for instance would have been better served in March than in the crowded June it is.


I realize what you mean, but let's face it - a year ago, on paper, what's the major difference between Oz and Jack and the Giants? Certainly not enough of a difference to explain the likely $170-200 million gap in total gross.

That said, I obviously agree that scheduling is fucked up, this year in particular (only one non-R movie in January, for realz?). However I also enjoy seeing those huge spring breakouts so I do not necessarily want that to change.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 1:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
David wrote:
As is, where will Jack the Giant Slayer end up? 55 million?


It might slightly recover next weekend, so maybe $58-60 million.

This year's John Carter, clearly.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 1:28 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
David wrote:
Magnus wrote:
And Die Hard was supposed to be much bigger.

This has almost flown under the radar. Such a huge dud stateside compared to Live Free or Die Hard.


In terms of expectations it is a bigger disappointment than Jack the Giant Slayer, IMO. Far bigger.

However, it is not that big of a dud if you consider that the budget for A Good Day to Die Hard went down significantly from Live Free or Die Hard, something you rarely see nowadays happening with a sequel.
Author:  David [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 1:30 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
I s'pose. Just such a disheartening situation. So low-rent in each way.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 1:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
Hmm, Oz managed the 7th-biggest opening weekend ever for a non-sequel/prequel.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 1:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
It is impressive. An $80+ million opening for a non-sequel is still impressive nowadays. If it weren't, it'd happen more often.
Author:  Barrabás [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 2:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
Funny how a 1 billion grossing film can be considered an underperformance nowadays...just highlights how ridiculous expectations were for The Hobbit, especially since the first film didn't present anything that wasn't in LOTR. If Smaug had been in Hobbit 1 I think it would have opened way north of 100m.
Author:  SolC9 [ Sun Mar 10, 2013 3:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates
I'm reading a lot of articles praising OZ for topping 80M. I'd give it less than a 50% chance that actuals end up over 80M. 30% is a slim Sunday drop. Possible, yes, but likely? It's still a great opening, I just find it weird so many are touting the 80M mark when it's so close with the estimate.
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