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Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=68440
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Author:  mark66 [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 7:00 am ]
Post subject:  Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

From Rolling Thunder over at BO Forum:

rough Thur looking like BD2 8.2, Sky 7.6, Rise 3.7, Linc 4.8, RD 3.3, WIR 2.4, Lop 4.5

Author:  Algren [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 7:18 am ]
Post subject:  Re: (Early) Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

Skyfall is doing well! I doubt BD2 will be ahead of it for long.

Author:  mark66 [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 7:26 am ]
Post subject:  Re: (Early) Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

Nah, that's just the regular Thanksgiving Day anomaly. Friday BD2 will be much stronger again...
Last year BD1 did $7.7m on Thursday and $16.7m on Friday...

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 7:29 am ]
Post subject:  Re: (Early) Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

Rise of the Guardians dropping over 20% on Thursday is pretty damn awful.

Author:  mark66 [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 7:31 am ]
Post subject:  Re: (Early) Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

ARTHUR CHRISTMAS dropped 23 % last year - so it's pretty comparable...

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 7:37 am ]
Post subject:  Re: (Early) Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

Good numbers based on this it looks like BD2 will do $290m but will not reach NM's $296m unless it miraculously gets better legs. Somehow Eclipse with Summer got the best and reached $300m maybe they should have planned for more Summer releases specially for BD1.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 7:38 am ]
Post subject:  Re: (Early) Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

Nikki's updates

1. Breaking Dawn Part 2 (Summit/Lionsgate) Week 1 [Runs 4,070] PG13
Wednesday $13.3M, Thursday $8.1M (-39%)
3-day Weekend $43.1M, 5-day Holiday $64.8M, Cume $227.7M

2. Skyfall (Eon/MGM/Sony) Week 2 [Runs 3,526] PG13
Wednesday $7.4M, Thursday $7.5M (+1%)
3-Day Weekend $33.2M, 5-Day Holiday $48.5M, Cume $219.1M

3. Lincoln (DreamWorks/Fox/Disney) Week 2 [Runs 2,018] PG13
Wednesday $4.2M, Thursday $4.7M (+13%)
3-Day Weekend $25.5M, 5-Day Holiday $35.5M, Cume $60.1M

4. Life Of Pi 3D (Fox) NEW [Runs 2,902] PG
Wednesday $3.6M, Thursday $4.5M (+24%)
3-Day Weekend $22.0M, 5-Day Weekend $29.0M

5. Rise Of The Guardians 3D (DreamWorks Anim/Par) NEW [Runs 3,653] PG
Wednesday $4.8M, Thursday $3.7M (-24%)
3-day Weekend $22.4M, 5-Day Holiday $30.1M

6. Red Dawn (Film District) NEW [Runs 2,679] PG13
Wednesday $4.2M, Thursday $3.3M (-20%)
3-Day Weekend $13.1M, 5-Day Holiday $20.6M

7. Wreck-It Ralph 3D (Disney) Week 3 [Runs 3,259] PG
Wednesday $3.7M, Thursday $2.4M (-38%)
3-Day Weekend $15.9M, 5-Day Holiday $22.3M, Cume $148.8M

8. Flight (Paramount) Week 3 [Runs 2,638] R
Wednesday $1.2M, Thursday $1.5M (+17%)
3-Day Weekend $6.6M, 5-Day Holiday $9.4M, Cume $72.9M

9. Silver Linings Playbook (Weinstein) NEW [Runs 367] R
Wednesday $656K, Thursday $625K (-6%)
3-Day Weekend $3.7M, 5-Day Holiday $5.0M, Cume $5.6M

10. Argo (Warner Bros) Week 6 [Runs 1,255] R
Wednesday $568K, Thursday $602K (+6%)
3-Day Weekend $3.0M, 5-day Holiday $4.2M, Cume $97.2M

Author:  movies35 [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 10:12 am ]
Post subject:  Re: (Early) Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

Pretty great for Life of Pi and Silver Linings Playbook! :)

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 10:21 am ]
Post subject:  Re: (Early) Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

mark66 wrote:
ARTHUR CHRISTMAS dropped 23 % last year - so it's pretty comparable...


I was thinking more Christmas with the Kranks which rose, but apparently for some reason animated family-oriented movies drop, but live-action ones increase sometimes (see Life of Pi as well).

Author:  Excel [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 11:39 am ]
Post subject:  Re: (Early) Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

I am laughing fairly hard at Nikki's horrible math. Somehow, the total gross decreases while weekend estimate increase.

Author:  Jonathan [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 11:49 am ]
Post subject:  Re: (Early) Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

Lincoln - $4.867 million ($2,412 PTA)
Red Dawn - $3.29 million ($1,228 PTA)

https://twitter.com/Boxoffice

Author:  Jonathan [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 11:56 am ]
Post subject:  Re: (Early) Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

If Lincoln follows the patterns of other Thanksgiving dramas, it'll still probably decrease 5-10% this weekend. Still, looking at a great weekend number for it.

Also great for Life of Pi if that guesstimate holds up. Has a really good shot at breaking $20 million for the 3-day.

Author:  mark66 [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 12:15 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

http://www.boxoffice.com/statistics/bo_ ... 2012-11-23

Official numbers trickling in...

Author:  bl1222 [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 12:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: (Early) Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

Jon wrote:
If Lincoln follows the patterns of other Thanksgiving dramas, it'll still probably decrease 5-10% this weekend. Still, looking at a great weekend number for it.

Also great for Life of Pi if that guesstimate holds up. Has a really good shot at breaking $20 million for the 3-day.


Actually, following the past dramas during that weekend such as J. Edgar (2011) and Precious (2009), it would wind up with a slight increase this weekend. Regardless, Lincoln's already looking at a strong sophomore frame.

If LOP, like a said earlier in another post, cracks $20M for the 3-day portion, it would mark the first time for a five films to break over $20M in over 8 years.

Author:  mark66 [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 2:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

Like clockwork:

TWILIGHT sequels opening week

$188m 2
$187m 3
$179m 4
$184m 5

Author:  MGKC [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 4:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

Now if Life of Pi gets Hugo multiplier, it makes $136 million. :thumbsup:

Unlikely, but possible considering Guardian's non-dominance and the light family film competition for the rest of the year with the exception of The Hobbit.

Author:  pepe pippen [ Fri Nov 23, 2012 4:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday Numbers (Thanksgiving)

MG Casey wrote:
Now if Life of Pi gets Hugo multiplier, it makes $136 million. :thumbsup:

Unlikely, but possible considering Guardian's non-dominance and the light family film competition for the rest of the year with the exception of The Hobbit.


No Way!

$90m-$100m Max.

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