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| Weekend Actuals http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=67993 |
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| Author: | mark66 [ Mon Oct 01, 2012 1:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Weekend Actuals |
...trickling in... http://www.boxoffice.com/statistics/bo_ ... 2012-10-01 |
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| Author: | Nazgul9 [ Mon Oct 01, 2012 1:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Actuals |
Trickle, trickle, trickle... |
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| Author: | Libs [ Mon Oct 01, 2012 4:34 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Actuals |
BOM: 1 N HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA Sony $42,522,194 - 3,349 - $12,697 $42,522,194 1 2 N LOOPER TriS $20,801,522 - 2,992 - $6,952 $20,801,552 3 1 END OF WATCH ORF $7,812,077 -40.6% 2,780 +50 $2,810 $25,980,710 2 4 3 TROUBLE WITH THE CURVE WB $7,277,385 -40.2% 3,212 - $2,266 $23,473,347 2 5 2 HOUSE AT THE END OF THE STREET Rela. $7,122,347 -42.0% 3,083 - $2,310 $22,193,316 2 6 N PITCH PERFECT Uni. $5,149,433 - 335 - $15,371 $5,149,433 1 7 4 FINDING NEMO (3D) BV $4,035,826 -58.1% 2,639 -265 $1,529 $36,444,806 3 8 5 RESIDENT EVIL: RETRIBUTION SGem $2,986,356 -55.4% 2,381 -635 $1,254 $38,691,289 3 9 7 THE MASTER Wein. $2,680,554 -39.0% 856 +68 $3,131 $9,568,624 3 10 N WON'T BACK DOWN Fox $2,603,370 - 2,515 - $1,035 $2,603,370 1 |
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| Author: | Libs [ Mon Oct 01, 2012 4:34 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Actuals |
And with actuals, Won't Back Down officially has the worst opening of all time for a movie in more than 2,500 theaters. Oof. |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Mon Oct 01, 2012 4:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Actuals |
Without some heavy awards wins, The Master won't even make it to $30 million. |
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| Author: | Libs [ Mon Oct 01, 2012 5:10 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Actuals |
They killed The Master's momentum both by opening it wide so fast and releasing it on a weekend that had a glut of other movies. |
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| Author: | mark66 [ Mon Oct 01, 2012 8:01 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Actuals |
I was already truely bored by the trailer of THE MASTER and I'm sure that I'm not the only one - no wonder mainstream audiences refuse to see it... |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Tue Oct 02, 2012 3:17 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Actuals |
My projections: Hotel Transylvania - $140-155 million (this is insane!) Looper - $75-85 million End of Watch - $40-45 million Trouble with the Curve - $40 million House at the End of the Street - $32 million Pitch Perfect - $70+ million Finding Nemo 3D - $41 million Resident Evil: Retribution - $43 million The Master - $25-30 million Won't Back Down - $5.5 million Dredd - $14 million The Possession - $50 million The Perks of Being a Wallflower - $35+ million Arbitrage - $9 million |
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| Author: | bl1222 [ Tue Oct 02, 2012 3:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Actuals |
I agree with all of Dr. Lecter's projections except the Master. I think it'll finish with a total in the high teens to low 20s range. |
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| Author: | bl1222 [ Wed Oct 03, 2012 8:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Actuals |
My Weekend Analysis: As predicted, Hotel Transylvania and Looper took the top spots. However, nobody expected that the former would break the September record and that both films would top $20M. For the first time in September, two films broke the $20M mark opening weekend. Universal’s Pitch Perfect did well in limited release and did 97.8% better than the wide release Won’t Back Down, which broke a record (bad way) for earning the worst opening ever for a film in over 2,500 theaters. Sony’s Hotel Transylvania premiered to an outstanding $42.5M, which makes it the best September opening of all time. The PG-rated 3D family toon averaged a strong $12,697 from 3,349 theaters. It took ten years to break the September Record that Sweet Home Alabama ($35.6) held. Coincidentally, it released the last week of September ten years ago just like Hotel. Despite Adam Sandler as a lead, he has not attracted audiences in the past year with flops like Jack and Jill and “That’s My Boy”, which no longer made him bankable. Additionally, Sony Pictures Animation had a rough road in the past year with Arthur Christmas and The Pirates! Band of Misfits despite both received rave reviews. However, the better than average reviews for a Sandler comedy and the lack of excitement for family films along with the supporting cast of Selena Gomez (Wizards of Waverly Place) and CeeLo Green (NBC’s hit competition show, The Voice) propelled it to success. No other film has ever broken $40M OW in September as it marks the best opening ever since The Dark Knight Rises came out. Additionally, for an original film, it marks as the highest opening since Ted. Sandler will score his 13th $100M+ hit. Budgeted at $85M, it scored an A- in CinemaScore, a score that The Smurfs ($35.6M) and Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs ($30.3M) received and went on to finish well over $100M domestically. Yes, it does face competition with Frankenweenie, but its second weekend will easily crush what that will make its opening weekend as it has neither cracked the Top 5 in Fandango nor has it tracked well in Flixster. With a solid 80% of Flixster users loving it and the season of Halloween coming up, a total in the $140M range seems probable. Sony’s critically-acclaimed sci-fi actioner, Looper debuted in second place with $20.8M. In 2,992 locations, the Bruce Willis-Joseph Gordon-Levitt vehicle averaged a healthy $6,952. It did score an okay B in CinemaScore but 90% of Flixster users have loved it. That implied that audiences may have liked the film better after its opening day. Additionally, a similar movie, Source Code ($14.8M/$54.7M) had a similar CinemaScore grade but went on its way to a 3.7 multiplier. The strong opening marked as the highest opening for an original film in under 3,000 theaters since Magic Mike. Sci-fi films do not always do well in the box office (The Remake of Total Recall, In Time, Repo Men, and Surrogates), so for this top $20M makes this performance even more impressive. Even though the $30M R-rated action flick does face competition with Taken 2, it should survive the rest of October with all of the other films underperforming except Paranormal Activity 4 and Sinister, which will attract more younger adults despite their R-rating. Even with the strong reviews, nobody guaranteed a hit for this film as Bruce Willis (the forgettable “The Cold Light of Day) and Joseph Gordon-Levitt (Premium Rush, which Looper has already exceeded its whole $19.9M total in just 3days) recently saw them flop less than a month ago. Therefore, it marked as comeback for both stars. As for Rian Johnson, it did not come easy for him as his resume had two flops in a row (Brick and The Brothers Bloom). This success bodes well for future films that he directs. For interest, it took the top spot from Hotel yesterday. Granted, adult films usually do better on weekdays than children’s films. However, for it to have a 34% surge in the Monday-to-Tuesday area, it bodes well for a great hold. Add in the universally positive reviews and the 90% Flixster users recommending it, it should earn at least $70M domestically and $170M+ worldwide. After surprising at #1 last weekend despite MTC only tracking at $8 million, “End of Watch” slipped only 40.6% to $7.8M, which brings its total to $26M in its sophomore frame. Costing just $7M, the R-rated critically-acclaimed action thriller starring Jake Gyllenhaal and Michael Pena will finish its run with $43M domestically. Clint Eastwood’s baseball drama, “Trouble with the Curve” fell 40.2% to $7.1M, boosting its total to only $23.5M in 10 days. It should end with around $40 million. The Mitt Romney controversy may have hurt it but the mediocre reviews hurt it even more as adults usually pay attention to what critics think. Jennifer Lawrence’s thriller, “House at the End of the Street” held up solidly for this type of film falling 42% to $7.1M. It has $22.2M in the bank and has already more than doubled its budget. The thriller should see a total of around $35 million. Universal’s musical comedy, “Pitch Perfect” connected well with female audiences. In just 335 venues, it launched with $5.2M for a dazzling $15,371 average, easily the best in the top 10. With a cost just $17M, the studio made an excellent decision by releasing this in limited release to spread positive word of mouth due to the overwhelming test screenings. Apparently, it paid off and earned an A in CinemaScore with young women giving it a rare A+. 74% of the audience (not shockingly) represented female meaning that it should serve as great counter-program to the action and horror films coming out in October. It doesn’t face competition until Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 2 comes out. Based on the good reviews and outstanding CinemaScore results, I predict it will open between $15 and $20 million for a total in the north of $65 million. Getting slaughtered by competition, the re-release of Finding Nemo suffered the worst decline in the top ten with an alarming 58.1% to $4M for a total of $36.4M. As it will lose many screens next weekend, it will end with $42 million total. Of course, many expected more as audiences fell in love with it. However, it took 5 million dollars to convert it and should make a good investment for the studio. Sony’s action sequel, “Resident Evil: Retribution” bled 55.4% to $3M. That gives it a total of $38.7M and will face so much competition next weekend that it will earn less than $45 million. Budgeted at $65M, the overseas gross will prevent it from flopping. Despite all the critical acclaim, Weinstein Company’s “The Master” has failed to appeal to audiences. Yes, it did enjoy the smallest decline in the top ten but the inflation of 68 theaters to 856 theaters may have helped it. Still, it merely made $2.7M in its second weekend of wide release, which increases the total to just $9.6M. Costing $35M, it will have a tough time bringing in more than $20 million domestically. The subject matter and mainstream audiences not falling in love with it may have caused it to underperform. Fox’s $19M critically-panned drama, Won’t Back Down barely made the top 10 with a puny $2.6M. In 2,515 locations, which I believe the studio overbooked, it averaged a pathetic $1,035. To make matters worse, the reviews came in 11 points lower than Hotel Transylvania (33 vs. 44), and inspirational dramas like People Like Us generated better reviews. It broke records but in a horrible way. By saying that, it marks as the worst opener ever for a film in 2,500+ theaters and I can’t see how Fox DOES NOT REMOVE at least 2% of its venues from theaters next weekend. It doesn’t look like it will finish with more than $6 million. Lionsgate’s 3D action flop, “Dredd” got crushed by competition tumbling 62.4% to $2.4M. As it has taken in less than $11M, it won’t go pass $15M domestically. At least, Lionsgate’s other film, The Possession only cost $14 million and will bring in around $50 million, the highest for a horror since The Woman in Black. As for The Perks of Being a Wallflower, it should finish with at least $20M domestically. It did expand well this weekend and I expect it to generate more revenue. |
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