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Wednesday Numbers
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=67568		 Page 1 of 2
Author:  bl1222 [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:21 am ]
Post subject:  Wednesday Numbers
Hope Springs-$2.2M

Not a particularly great start for it.

Additional numbers from ERC:
TDKR-$3.6M Total Recall-$2.2M
Author:  Magic Mike [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:30 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
It's not bad. Should still make close to 20 Million over the 3-Day weekend, IMO. Could even crack 20 Million.
Author:  Gopher [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:31 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
Huge drop for TDKR :(
Author:  Libs [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:33 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
Seems fine for Hope Springs to me. Probably a low-to-mid teens opening.
Author:  redfirebird2008 [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:33 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
Bad drop for TDKR despite a pretty crappy number on Tuesday.
Author:  bl1222 [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:34 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
Magic Mike wrote:
It's not bad. Should still make close to 20 Million over the 3-Day weekend, IMO. Could even crack 20 Million.


Why do you think it should crack $20M in its 3-day portion? It would need a 175%+ F to S increase assuming it actually increases today (like in the mid single digits). Even though K&D (Knight and Day) switched its release date at the last minute (7.19 multiplier * Wednesday's number), following their pattern, it would not even crack $20M in its 5day, let alone 3-day. Please explain. I'm not trying to be mean, Mike. I just want you to please explain how you calculate.
Author:  Libs [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:34 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
bl1222 wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
It's not bad. Should still make close to 20 Million over the 3-Day weekend, IMO. Could even crack 20 Million.


Why do you think it should crack $20M in its 3-day portion? It would need a 175%+ F to S increase assuming it actually increases today (like in the mid single digits). Even though K&D (Knight and Day) switched its release date at the last minute (7.19 multiplier * Wednesday's number), following their pattern, it would not even crack $20M in its 5day, let alone 3-day. Please explain. I'm not trying to be mean, Mike. I just want you to please explain how you calculate.

EXPLAIN YOURSELF NOW, MIKE! BITCH.
Author:  bl1222 [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:36 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
Libs wrote:
Probably a low-to-mid teens opening.


In its three or five-day portion?
Author:  Libs [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:37 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
bl1222 wrote:
Libs wrote:
Probably a low-to-mid teens opening.


In its three or five-day portion?


I dunno. 5, I guess. Stop interrogating people. lol
Author:  Gopher [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:38 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
redfirebird2008 wrote:
Bad drop for TDKR despite a pretty crappy number on Tuesday.


If it follows TDK it'll have a 18.5m fourth weekend. That was more of a weekday movie so that number seems safe to me.
Author:  bl1222 [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:39 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
My apologies, Libs.
Author:  redfirebird2008 [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:44 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
Gopher wrote:
redfirebird2008 wrote:
Bad drop for TDKR despite a pretty crappy number on Tuesday.


If it follows TDK it'll have a 18.5m fourth weekend. That was more of a weekday movie so that number seems safe to me.


Needs to stay flat or increase today.
Author:  John Marston [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:56 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
Shit number for TDKR!
Author:  jmovies [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:58 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
John Marston wrote:
Shit number for TDKR!


Easy!
Author:  jmovies [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 10:59 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
but seriously bl1222, Hope Springs is a bomb, obviously it's lucky if it breaks $9M 3-day

#merylstreepbomb #goodlucknexttime
Author:  Riggs [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 11:01 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
Following TDKR's run is depressing at times.
Author:  bl1222 [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 11:01 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
A comparison for Hope Springs is Up in the Air. The last-minute release change date caused UPITA to have a 8.54 multiplier * $1.726 number and ended in the mid-teens in its 5-day. If it follows suit it could get to mid-to-high teens. Not that it would necessarily happen, but I compared it to UPITA because it also skewed older even though it released in December.
Author:  bl1222 [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 11:42 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
jmovies, it should still crack $10M 3-day unless it drops larger than 20% today.
Author:  Chippy [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 11:57 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
I'll reserve judgment until Thursday numbers.
Author:  zingy [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 12:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
Chippy wrote:
I'll reserve judgment until Thursday numbers.


Is it sad that I laugh at this every time?
Author:  xiayun [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 1:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
Nitro Circus - $666K

https://twitter.com/ERCboxoffice/status ... 4147451904
Author:  xiayun [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 1:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
Libs wrote:
bl1222 wrote:
Libs wrote:
Probably a low-to-mid teens opening.


In its three or five-day portion?


I dunno. 5, I guess. Stop interrogating people. lol


The Help's multiplier would give it a $15m 5-day gross. I'm pretty sure it will have less rush factor than The Help, so thinking high-teen 5-day at least. The Debt's Wed-to-OW multiplier would give it $20m+ 3-day, but that did have Labor Day help. Still, Its demo is much closer to The Debt's. $20m weekend would not be surprising.
Author:  DP07 [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 2:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
@xiayun, weekday numbers are lower in late August.

I might love this weekend.

I think it's a pretty good number for a movie that didn't appear to stand out in any way.
Author:  bl1222 [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 2:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
Actually, it's not a bad number for Hope Springs, considering it skewed older than The Help. I believe it can still get at least $17m 5-day. Its run will remind me of Secretariat where it underperformed but easily got over a 4.5 multiplier despite playing on 3000+ theaters. Plus, I read from Entertainment Weekly that it cost just $30M and Streep's films almost usually do well internationally, so it should be a win for them.
Author:  Chippy [ Thu Aug 09, 2012 2:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Wednesday Numbers
Magnus wrote:
zingy wrote:
Chippy wrote:
I'll reserve judgment until Thursday numbers.


Is it sad that I laugh at this every time?


yeah. but i did laugh for like the first two weeks.


I still laugh at it. Thus... it's very sad :(
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