Gun-I don't think you are an idiot, I just wanted to type that sentence.
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| Weekend Estimates http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=67201 |
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| Author: | Mannyisthebest [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 1:00 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
Sunday drops seem a bit harsh its a Holiday here in Canada. |
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| Author: | SolC9 [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 1:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
I think Magic Mike is overestimated by at least 1M. A 26% drop on Sunday for this kind of film would be fantastic. I'm thinking 35%. Madea also might be estimated a bit too high, though comparisons are tough because this is the first summer movie of the series. |
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| Author: | David [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 1:07 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
Plus, Tyler Perry fans are busy on Sundays. |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 1:08 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
Brave is lucky it has 4th of July padding this next week, I doubt it would have made it to 200 million without it. great weekend overall. |
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| Author: | Animosity Reigns [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 1:09 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
SolC9 wrote: I think Magic Mike is overestimated by at least 1M. A 26% drop on Sunday for this kind of film would be fantastic. I'm thinking 35%. Madea also might be estimated a bit too high, though comparisons are tough because this is the first summer movie of the series. Sunday drop wont be as high as normal since many people are taking this entire week off for vacations with the 4h in the middle of the week, or Mon-Wed or Wed- Fri off |
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| Author: | Chippy [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 1:10 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
Thegun wrote: Brave is lucky it has 4th of July padding this next week, I doubt it would have made it to 200 million without it. great weekend overall. Yes, lucky. I'm sure Disney/Pixar had no idea they were going to have July 4th to make more money. |
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| Author: | Chippy [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 1:11 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
David wrote: Plus, Tyler Perry fans are busy on Sundays. I can only assume this is a black "joke". |
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| Author: | David [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 1:11 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
Chippy wrote: David wrote: Plus, Tyler Perry fans are busy on Sundays. I can only assume this is a black "joke". It's a "his movies always have overt religious themes" reference. |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 1:27 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
I don't see any problem with Brave's drop. Wall-E had July 4th on its second weekend and still dropped 48.5% and still ended up with 3.55 multiplier. |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 1:33 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
This is the Sunday drops in 2007 (the last time we had July 4th on Wednesday): http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/char ... -01&p=.htm. So the estimates look reasonable to me. |
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| Author: | mdana [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 1:34 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
To paraphrase, Jeff Foxworthy "You might be an idiot it you write".... Thegun wrote: Brave is lucky it has 4th of July padding this next week, I doubt it would have made it to 200 million without it. great weekend overall. It's $4m ahead of Wall-E and Wall-E already had its 7/4 boost, and Brave has not. It had to deal with approx. $120m from openers its 2nd weekend while Wall-E only had $62.6m from Hancock. It will likely be $9-10m ahead of Wall-E heading into next weekend and will likely fall less than 40%. Pixar movies that make $33-34m are never able to double their second weekend total. I mean a movie like Cars 2 which "only" dropped 60.4% its second weekend for $26.2m was only able to make another $69m after its second weekend and July 4th. So, yes only the 4th of July is keeping this film from sub $200m. |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 1:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
David wrote: Magic Mike wrote: Oh, and Magic Mike better get to 100 Million. I'm hoping for strong weekdays like SATC had. Sadly, I'm not sure it will. Isn't a total around 85-90 million more realistic at this point? Films appealing to older females tend to have strong midweek performances. Sex and the City, with 34.4% initial Fri-to-Sat decline and two straight weekends of steep declines (63% and 54%), still managed a 2.67 IM. With us deeper into the summer and holiday week coming up, I don't really see Magic Mike doing worse than that. Still looking at $110-115m total IMO. |
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| Author: | mdana [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 1:42 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
Gun-I don't think you are an idiot, I just wanted to type that sentence.
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| Author: | jmovies [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 2:33 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
Hunger Games passes Spider-Man for #12 all-time. What a great run. |
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| Author: | Brian [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 3:01 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
David wrote: BMP is hungry for a sammich. sure, prepare me one please 
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| Author: | BJ [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 3:02 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
Magnus wrote: Hunger Games drops from the 2nd weekend of May have been fantastic. And yet it still will only get a 2.65 multiplier overall. Indeed, that 2nd wknd drop 
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| Author: | Brian [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 3:07 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
Brave is locked to beat Cars 2 in admissions, and A Bug's Life, Toy Story, Ratatouille and maybe Wall-E in total gross, so it has performed better than average, however Pixar box office glory days will be back next year |
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| Author: | BJ [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 3:12 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
I don't know why I was so surprised by MM's Saturday drop  Outstanding wknd all the same, hopefully it can find a way over 40m.
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 4:14 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
Very nice for Moonrise, the rest of it's run will be interesting. |
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| Author: | Mannyisthebest [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 4:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
MM was going to fall big... Always happens with this crazy hyped movies that appeal to a certain demo |
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| Author: | Michael A [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 4:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
Mannyisthebest wrote: Sunday drops seem a bit harsh its a Holiday here in Canada. How many goddamn holidays are there in Canada? I feel like I see this post every other week. |
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| Author: | BJ [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 4:46 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
Michael A wrote: Mannyisthebest wrote: Sunday drops seem a bit harsh its a Holiday here in Canada. How many goddamn holidays are there in Canada? I feel like I see this post every other week. Indeed 
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 5:32 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
I'm wondering...is this the first time with four movies making $25+ million on a weekend? |
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| Author: | Mannyisthebest [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 5:39 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
"How many goddamn holidays are there in Canada? I feel like I see this post every other week." Lol Today is Canada Day... Last Holiday was in the 2nd last weekend of May. If you think we have to many Holidays look at the Europeans lol |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Sun Jul 01, 2012 6:38 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
Also the only of the Top 50 biggest weekeds on which the Top 2 were R-rated movies. Original R-rated movies no less... I am in the midst of my weekend write-up and it shapes up to be epic-sized as well. At over 1,100 words and I am just finished with Ted... |
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