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June 15-17 Predictions
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Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 5:31 pm ]
Post subject:  June 15-17 Predictions

That's My Boy - $29 million
Rock of Ages - $26 million

We could see four movies making $25+ million next weekend.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 5:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

It is up for creation as soon as a Friday numbers thread surfaces.

That said, we can of course debate the usefulness of a Friday numbers thread at this point.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 5:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

I seriously think Rock of Ages is being over-predicted. I don't think interest is that high. I'm currently seeing a 17-19 Million opening.

Author:  MadGez [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 6:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

That's My Boy - $36 million
Rock of Ages - $27 million

The box office has room for both these to be hits.

Author:  jmovies [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 6:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

That's My Boy- 39
Rock of Ages- 27

Author:  O [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 6:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

Despite Jack and Jill's disappointing performance, I'm sensing a big breakout for TMB. We've seen 3 comedies disappoint so far this summer. In fact, since 21 Jump Street, 6/7 comedies have disappointed. The only exception was Think Like A Man.

Comedy can do really well this time of year. TMB is first out of the gate, so there will be an overperformance. I can see low $40's as a possibility...

Author:  O [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 6:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

Magic Mike wrote:
I seriously think Rock of Ages is being over-predicted. I don't think interest is that high. I'm currently seeing a 17-19 Million opening.


I completely agree. The big selling point was Cruise is in a musical. But that isn't enough to make this a blockbuster. It could have a lengthy run, but a low opening...

Author:  bl1222 [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 7:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

O wrote:
Despite Jack and Jill's disappointing performance, I'm sensing a big breakout for TMB. We've seen 3 comedies disappoint so far this summer. In fact, since 21 Jump Street, 6/7 comedies have disappointed. The only exception was Think Like A Man.

Comedy can do really well this time of year. TMB is first out of the gate, so there will be an overperformance. I can see low $40's as a possibility...


I'm predicting $35 million for That's My Boy. O, I've heard from early test screenings that this is Sandler's outrageous and funniest comedy in a long time. One of my friends from my Alma Mater told me, it was his best film since Big Daddy.

Author:  Michael A [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 7:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

I must just be in a different deminsion or something, I don't get TMB at all. I literally have yet to see a trailer, spot, teaser of any kind. I haven't heard a single person mention it or express interest, I think awareness is actually really low. ROA however has been marketed all over the place, pretty much everyone has heard of it at least.
TMB- 22m
ROA- 26m

Author:  i.hope [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 8:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

That's My Boy - $35 million
Rock of Ages - $24 million

One for young males. One for older people.

Author:  jmovies [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 8:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

I wouldn't necessarily call Rock of Ages as something for older people. The main storyline is cliche teen romance.

Author:  i.hope [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 8:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

jmovies wrote:
I wouldn't necessarily call Rock of Ages as something for older people. The main storyline is cliche teen romance.


A teen romance with a backdrop of decades old rock music and starring 90's Hollywood stars. It's called nostalgia.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 9:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

From the trailer That's My Boy looks worse than Jack & Jill, or at least just as bad. Everyone I talk to thinks it looks terrible. I still see it opening above 30 Million though.

Author:  Alex Y. [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 9:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

Rock of ages - $21m
That's My Boy - $17m

Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 9:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

That's My Boy - 26
Rock of Ages - 18

Author:  SolC9 [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 9:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

That's My Boy - 33M
Rock of Ages - 25M

Madagascar 3 -40%
Prometheus -54%

Author:  Dil [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 9:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

That's My Boy - $30M
Rock of Ages - $23M

Author:  David [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 11:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

I can't figure out That's My Boy. I thought there would be major excitement over Sandler, after many family-friendly and more romantic projects, going hard R, but I'm not sensing a great deal. I almost feel they miscalculated by going so incredibly nasty. Sandler's biggest hits have always had a sweet side. This is certainly true of The Waterboy, Big Daddy, and Anger Management. This, despite the father/son plot, seems vicious and filthy.

That's My Boy - 32 mil.
Rock of Ages - 21

Author:  2001 [ Fri Jun 08, 2012 11:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

That's My Boy - 40m
Rock of Ages - 22m

Author:  Brian [ Sat Jun 09, 2012 12:02 am ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

I dont see That's my Boy pushing Grown Ups numbers, though it will make more than 20m

Author:  thompsoncory [ Sat Jun 09, 2012 1:48 am ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

I saw That's My Boy about a month ago and it was fucking atrocious. I worry for the sanity of anyone that finds it funny.

Author:  Dil [ Sat Jun 09, 2012 2:00 am ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

I have no idea what to expect from TMB. I'm just going high because of the aggressive marketing and lack of comedies, but I honestly feel like it could go as low as $25M. The tv spots aren't that funny and do people really want to see Adam Sandler as a over the top, annoying douchebag ? I doubt it, but there is no way this is doing GU numbers.

Author:  David [ Sat Jun 09, 2012 2:01 am ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

It would help if there were a secondary presence stronger than Andy Samberg, a virtual nonentity.

Author:  Libs [ Sat Jun 09, 2012 9:50 am ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

That's My Boy - 30
Rock of Ages - 28

Author:  CowboyFromHell [ Sat Jun 09, 2012 10:01 am ]
Post subject:  Re: June 15-17 Predictions

That's My Boy: $25.5 mill

Rock of Ages: $20 mill

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