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Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=66345		 Page 1 of 2
Author:  jmovies [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 12:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
-28.23%
Author:  Keyser Söze [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 12:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
50M saturday?
Author:  jmovies [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 12:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
Keyser Söze wrote:
50M saturday?


$48.98M (+1% without midnights). Film is skewing younger than we thought, could account for a small increase.
Author:  m051293 [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 12:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
I think it'll hit 50M
Author:  BJ [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 12:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
51m +5%/-25%
Author:  Mesjarch [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 12:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
$48M

Would be cool if Nikkie or other sites would keep updating Saturday numbers like they did yesterday.
Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 1:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
45 million

It's Sunday drop should be nice though.
Author:  Jonathan [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 1:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
$47.5 million (-30.5%)
Author:  Mannyisthebest [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 1:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
Saturday is a guaranteed 45+ million.

The film is well ahead of New Moon and past HP films today.

Day time sellouts are occurring at some theaters and some have evening sellouts.
Author:  Mesjarch [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 2:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
This theater in New York is having insane weekend ( sold out showings for today )

Regal Union Square - 1:40 2:10 3:00 3:30 4:00 4:20 4:45 5:00 5:30 6:10 7:30 8:00 8:50 9:20
Author:  Rev [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 2:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
Studio...54m :D
Author:  Jonathan [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 3:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
Also, as a point of reference:

Jon wrote:
How the Friday openers [w/o midnights] held into Saturday (Adjusted for 2012 numbers) [sorted by hold]:

Spider-Man - $43.7 million*/$58.8 million (+34.6%) (Still has the all-time largest Saturday adjusted!)
Spider-Man 3 - $54.1 million/$58.4 million (+8%)
The Dark Knight - $53 million/$52 million (-1.9%)
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $56 million$53.1 million (-4.8%)
The Twilight Saga: New Moon - $47 million/$43.5 million (-7.5%)
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II - $47.1 million/$41.8 million (-11.3%)
X-Men: The Last Stand - $46.9 million/$38.25 million (-18.4%)
Author:  m051293 [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 4:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
Jon wrote:
Also, as a point of reference:

Jon wrote:
How the Friday openers [w/o midnights] held into Saturday (Adjusted for 2012 numbers) [sorted by hold]:

Spider-Man - $53.1 million*/$58.8 million (+10.7%) (Still has the all-time largest Saturday adjusted!)
Spider-Man 3 - $54.1 million/$58.4 million (+8%)
The Dark Knight - $53 million/$52 million (-1.9%)
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $56 million$53.1 million (-4.8%)
The Twilight Saga: New Moon - $47 million/$43.5 million (-7.5%)
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II - $47.1 million/$41.8 million (-11.3%)
X-Men: The Last Stand - $46.9 million/$38.25 million (-18.4%)



Spider-Man had a 7 million midnight, so the Saturday increase without midnights was +34.6%
Author:  Jonathan [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 4:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
m051293 wrote:
Jon wrote:
Also, as a point of reference:

Jon wrote:
How the Friday openers [w/o midnights] held into Saturday (Adjusted for 2012 numbers) [sorted by hold]:

Spider-Man - $53.1 million*/$58.8 million (+10.7%) (Still has the all-time largest Saturday adjusted!)
Spider-Man 3 - $54.1 million/$58.4 million (+8%)
The Dark Knight - $53 million/$52 million (-1.9%)
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $56 million$53.1 million (-4.8%)
The Twilight Saga: New Moon - $47 million/$43.5 million (-7.5%)
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II - $47.1 million/$41.8 million (-11.3%)
X-Men: The Last Stand - $46.9 million/$38.25 million (-18.4%)



Spider-Man had a 7 million midnight, so the Saturday increase without midnights was +34.6%


I'm still perplexed by and questioning of that midnight number (Especially since SM2's midnight number was $2 million less), but I'll modify.
Author:  m051293 [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 4:15 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
Jon wrote:
I'm still perplexed by and questioning of that midnight number (Especially since SM2's midnight number was $2 million less), but I'll modify.


Really? I could never even find SM2's number, but I didn't think it would be that low
Author:  Biggestgeekever [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 4:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
Spider-Man 1's Saturday humbles everything.

And I'm definitely thinking $50+m for Hunger Games today.
Author:  Biggestgeekever [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 4:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
Magnus wrote:
Well, it should be pointed that the modern day midnight madness really didnt explode until ROTS, which more than doubled the record at the time (ROTK 8m). Midnights pre-ROTS arent the best to look at for references IMO because the idea of a "midnight screening" just didnt mean the same.

Its amazing though that ROTS midnight number will be out of the top 10 by the end of this year, just seven years after it was released. The number at the time was just earth-shattering it seems.
Now we just need something to top that Thursday record and we can never bring up that prequel trilogy ever again. :P
Author:  Mannyisthebest [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 4:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
well its earth shattering as it was done on a Wednesday night in May and over 7 years ago.


Anyways easily busiest Saturday business since TDK and Spider Man 3 at all nearby local theaters...
Author:  Bryan_smith [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 4:39 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
Just some food for thought....
According to Nikki, it recieved a +20% Saturday bump in Australia....
Author:  Mannyisthebest [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 4:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
hmm Foreign markets are leggy.

Avatar opened to 6 million and ended up with 96 million in Canada lol...
Author:  Brian [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 4:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
42m - 45m
Author:  almost famous [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 4:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
Bryan_smith wrote:
Just some food for thought....
According to Nikki, it recieved a +20% Saturday bump in Australia....


Foreign markets are different from US. Even the most frontloaded movies usually increase on Saturday.
Author:  Mannyisthebest [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 4:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
no reason for it to fall hard like Deathly Hallow 2 when it got a bigger gross during the day...

Some theaters are acting very crazy like this one.

Silvercity Oakville

12:00 PM - SOLD OUT | 1:00 PM - SOLD OUT | 3:20 PM - SOLD OUT | 4:20 PM - SOLD OUT | 6:40 PM - SOLD OUT | 7:40 PM - SOLD OUT | 9:50 PM - SOLD OUT | 10:50 PM - SOLD OUT

11:40 AM | 12:00 PM | 12:30 PM | 12:50 PM | 2:50 PM - SOLD OUT | 3:20 PM | 3:50 PM | 4:10 PM - SOLD OUT | 6:20 PM - SOLD OUT | 6:40 PM | 7:10 PM | 7:30 PM - SOLD OUT | 9:30 PM | 10:00 PM | 10:30 PM | 10:45 PM


My theater has no sellouts however the only film to get big day time Saturday sellouts are kid films during the afternoon and Spiderman 3.


I am quite certain shows will be sold out during the night.
Author:  Bryan_smith [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 4:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
Mannyisthebest wrote:
hmm Foreign markets are leggy.

Avatar opened to 6 million and ended up with 96 million in Canada lol...


Though I agree with the statement about foreign markets, your example makes no sense!
Canada is part of the North American box office and their grosses are included every week in the domestic estimates!!!
Author:  Mannyisthebest [ Sat Mar 24, 2012 4:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict Hunger Games' Saturday drop
lol that is true but massive frontloading is usually typically in the US.

Many films get decent legs in comparison in Canada.
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