60-80 million is a pretty big range.
Still monstrous.
| World of KJ http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/ |
|
| Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=66342 |
Page 1 of 6 |
| Author: | xiayun [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 3:28 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
From THR: Quote: The book-to-film adaptation is approaching the final "Harry Potter" pic in terms of Friday matinee business and could gross $70 million to $80 million for the day. Quote: Hunger Games had already amassed $40 million — including a stellar $19.7 million in midnight runs — an eye-popping number for so early in the day. Based on those early returns, box office observers now believe Hunger Games could open to between $140 and $150 miillion. http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/h ... ice-303773 |
|
| Author: | xiayun [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 3:33 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
If it can get to $70-80m today, it will blow past $150m for the weekend, because it would mean $50-60m Friday without midnight, or in another word, midnight would account for less than 30% of Friday total, much less frontloaded than those last few Twilight/HP films as we've been arguing; then it would mean $50m+ Sat is possible, and thus putting $160m+ in play. |
|
| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 3:44 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
60-80 million is a pretty big range. Still monstrous.
|
|
| Author: | m051293 [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 3:44 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
60M Friday would put this just above $160M for the weekend. OW would be in play |
|
| Author: | Nazgul9 [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 3:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
They can't make up their minds. |
|
| Author: | m051293 [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 3:49 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
Non-midnight. That would be the non-midnight single day record, and would tie the adjusted non-midnight single day record |
|
| Author: | Proud Ryu [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 3:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
It's looking to have higher non-midnights than any film for which midnights are known, which is a bit shocking. |
|
| Author: | m051293 [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 3:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
Also remember, DH2 opened in the summer, and its 47.76M Friday came after burning off 43.5M from midnights. This is a March opener, and only pulled 19.75M for the midnights, with the third highest midnight PTA of all time. There's a lot of pent up demand for the evening shows right now, and that's why THR threw out that 80 million figure. TDK, if I recall correctly, did somwhere near 35M in the summer in evening shows. This could feasibly hit, and surpass 40M. |
|
| Author: | Mesjarch [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:05 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
There is just insane ammount of Hunger Games showtimes. It's like they are adding new shows all the time. Fandango is unable to update the showtimes status for many cinemas because showtimes that are suppose to be available for sale are sold out when you click them. Cinemas are even doing interlocks which I haven't seen in a while. |
|
| Author: | Dil [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:09 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
Yeah it is a ridicoulous amount of showtimes. It's showing like every 15 minutes here and that somewhat makes it harder to track the amount of sellouts. I can tell you that there are already quite a few early evening sellouts and even more late night sellouts. I haven't seen that type of craziness since DH2. |
|
| Author: | Nazgul9 [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:14 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
So DH2 made $20m in matinees and then only $28m for the rest of the day? |
|
| Author: | m051293 [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:16 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
Nazgul9 wrote: So DH2 made $20m in matinees and then only $28m for the rest of the day? Yes. DH2 was a Summer release, and had already burned off $63.5m of demand before evening shows. TDK was at $18.5+12.5M through the matinees for $31M, and then clocked $36M more for the evening shows. Both of these were summer releases. This is a March release; evening shows should (not will) be stronger. |
|
| Author: | Ghostooze [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:17 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
aren't most colleges off this week? |
|
| Author: | Proud Ryu [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
Magnus wrote: Proud Ryu wrote: It's looking to have higher non-midnights than any film for which midnights are known, which is a bit shocking. I think "a bit" should be "fucking". Just my personal opinion. Like, people do realize its OD is going to be what a few people were predicting its TOTAL to be a year ago. Now, obviously people didnt realize what a craze it would become, but still. I dont recall such a massive switch in opinion on a film within one months of its release as we have with Hunger Games. If you travel back just three months ago and tell the people of this forum the numbers this is doing, we'd ban you for being crazier than BKB. I feel way out of touch - I didn't have it on my top 10 opening weekends of 2012 in January, and hadn't even heard of the books. Geez. That this would now have any realistic shot at top OW of 2012 makes it the most impressive opening since HP 1 I think. |
|
| Author: | xiayun [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:22 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
It's the most impressive opening ever by bar, IMO. BOG also replied in an ensuing tweet: Quote: @MoneyMetalBets could go anyway at this point. but over 60 looks safe. maybe over 65, we'll see how tonight is. |
|
| Author: | m051293 [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:24 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
xiayun wrote: It's the most impressive opening ever by bar, IMO. BOG also replied in an ensuing tweet: Quote: @MoneyMetalBets could go anyway at this point. but over 60 looks safe. maybe over 65, we'll see how tonight is. WTF |
|
| Author: | Jonathan [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
I wonder if THR isn't taking into consideration just how much midnights boosted DH2's OD. If it's following the matinees of that movie, that'd put it at $49 million for the day, or $68-69 million. Now, if it is following that movie in matinees in MARCH compared to July, that'd definitely point to $50+ million for the day. But $60+? The highest adjusted Friday of all time w/o midnights is POTC2, which made $56 million, and that was in July, when matinee business is much more booming. I'm gonna take these with a serious grain of salt, but remain optimistic because I really don't want to lose that $35. |
|
| Author: | m051293 [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:27 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
xiayun wrote: It's the most impressive opening ever by bar, IMO. BOG also replied in an ensuing tweet: Quote: @MoneyMetalBets could go anyway at this point. but over 60 looks safe. maybe over 65, we'll see how tonight is. Xia, that has to be Mid+Fri. 65 million is nearing single day market capacity |
|
| Author: | Nazgul9 [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:29 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
Of course it is. Check out his previous tweet a few posts up. |
|
| Author: | xiayun [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
m051293 wrote: xiayun wrote: It's the most impressive opening ever by bar, IMO. BOG also replied in an ensuing tweet: Quote: @MoneyMetalBets could go anyway at this point. but over 60 looks safe. maybe over 65, we'll see how tonight is. Xia, that has to be Mid+Fri. 65 million is nearing single day market capacity Yes, BOG tweets always include midnight. |
|
| Author: | m051293 [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:33 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
Got it. |
|
| Author: | Nazgul9 [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:47 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
As has been stated, if $20m for matinees is true then i can't imagine it making less than $35m for the rest of the day as matinees-to-total-for-the-day ratio should be better in March than in summer. |
|
| Author: | BJ [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:48 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
Nazgul9 wrote: As has been stated, if $20m for matinees is true then i can't imagine it making less than $35m for the rest of the day as matinees-to-total-for-the-day ratio should be better in March than in summer. +1 |
|
| Author: | m051293 [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:53 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
BJ wrote: Nazgul9 wrote: As has been stated, if $20m for matinees is true then i can't imagine it making less than $35m for the rest of the day as matinees-to-total-for-the-day ratio should be better in March than in summer. +1 How in the world do you see this doing $55m for Friday and then have it not dropping on Saturday? |
|
| Author: | Rev [ Fri Mar 23, 2012 4:53 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Early Friday Number on The Hunger Games |
20m midnight + 20m matinee + 35m rest of day = 75m day 1???? Yay? Nay? |
|
| Page 1 of 6 | All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ] |
| Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group http://www.phpbb.com/ |
|