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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11129 Location: Germany
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
At this point i hope it at least breaks $100m. Not that i'm a big fan of the movie, but less than $100m would be kinda embarrassing.
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Last edited by Nazgul9 on Tue Dec 20, 2011 3:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Tue Dec 20, 2011 3:47 pm |
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bl1222
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 1746
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Current top sellers on @Fandango - #DragonTattoo 29%, #MI4 21%, #Alvin 13%, #Sherlock 13%, #WarHorse 6%.
A Christmas Day opener that doesn't have the 3D surcharges and opens 4 days later beating this, doesn't bode well for it's domestic run. This can't even crack the top 5 and it opens tomorrow. based on these factors, I don't even think it can't crack $20m 5-day (Wed-Sun) and it might even struggle to get to $100m in the long run. I agree with Wrongturn687's prediction total.
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| Tue Dec 20, 2011 3:47 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 13408 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Almost every new review that comes out keeps lowering the RT rating. The latest review from the Charlotte Observer notes: Quote: It’s handsome, hectic, heartless and hollow, a shiny Christmas box with nothing but glitter inside....
What works on the page seems exhausting onscreen, especially in the motion-capture animation used for “Tintin.” (The animators can make the wind ruffle individual hairs, but the zombie-eyed characters still lack humanity.)
Like the jokes and frenetic action, the entire movie is juvenile.... I would guess that's why they still don't have it listed under the "Opening" or "Coming Soon" banners on RT - - they're keeping the wraps on the bad news about this sick puppy till the last possible moment.
_________________."Change your God." - Nazgul9
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| Tue Dec 20, 2011 4:03 pm |
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Johnny Dollar
The Lubitsch Touch
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:48 pm Posts: 10818
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
I bet it doesn't top 40 million, all in.
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| Tue Dec 20, 2011 5:11 pm |
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David
Mostly, it was the worst of times.
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 17496 Location: Maryland
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Such a bizarre release. So much pedigree--Spielberg, Peter Jackson--and it seems very commercial, with lots of adventure and comedy and an adorable dog, yet there does seem to be almost zero hype. A weird, "What if two of the most famous living directors collaborated on a big-budget animated adventure, and no one in America cared?" scenario.
_________________"No piece of art is worth a human life." T R A N C E A film by Danny Boyle, the director of Trainspotting and 127 Hours
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| Wed Dec 21, 2011 2:35 am |
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Riggs
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:36 am Posts: 11213 Location: Vienna
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
I'll lower my prediction to 95M. I'm really not feeling it. I could see even less too.
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| Wed Dec 21, 2011 5:17 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 20756 Location: ♬Highway Unicorn♬
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Motion Capture Animation just can't seem to find an audience.
And they cost so much to produce, I wonder that if Spielberg's Tintin fails to gross $100 million, if studios will even be interested in the format anymore.
_________________Japan Box Office
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| Wed Dec 21, 2011 12:40 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 13408 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Corpse wrote: Motion Capture Animation just can't seem to find an audience. Avatar did reasonably well - - but then James Cameron seems to be the only director obsessive enough to get it right. Corpse wrote: And they cost so much to produce, I wonder that if Spielberg's Tintin fails to gross $100 million, if studios will even be interested in the format anymore. By the time Avatar 2 & 3 roll out, the technology will have further matured and been distributed in a manageable format to the less talented directors like Spielberg. I retain hope.
_________________."Change your God." - Nazgul9
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| Wed Dec 21, 2011 1:54 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 7547 Location: Toronto, Canada
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
lol we always doubt Cameron, but he always makes films that GENERAL Audiences love.
Avatar 2 WW and even domestic performance will likley be much bigger than the Hobbit and TDK2.
Its going to be interesting, we should see a lot of records break and such over the next few years with all these massive releases.
_________________ Obama wins!
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| Wed Dec 21, 2011 2:25 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11129 Location: Germany
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Corpse wrote: And they cost so much to produce Less than your average Pixar movie.
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| Wed Dec 21, 2011 2:54 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 11981
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Yes it is true that average Pixar movies are costlier but they make more (even Cars 2 made over $500m WW) so that does not help this argument. I do agree that motion capture can be helpful at few of the places but then the film making IMO takes a lot of effort (as of now) which increases costs, plus it does not always look good when forced into movies like TinTin. I do think though that 3D works very well with this technique, cause most of the motion capture movies (excluding Avatar) that I have seen in 3D turned out great (including Mars Needs Moms, yeah I saw that stinker in 3D, cause there weren't any 2D screens  )
_________________Movies 2012 - July
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| Thu Dec 22, 2011 1:24 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 76024 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Hmm with this Wednesday number...even with the BEST CASE scenario, I see no more than $80 million domestically...
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!The Croods ReviewSafe Haven ReviewThe Dark Knight Rises Review
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| Thu Dec 22, 2011 8:05 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 11981
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Yeah this is missing $100m for sure with that opening. $150m+ is out of question.
_________________Movies 2012 - July
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| Thu Dec 22, 2011 8:06 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 13408 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Gamaur wrote: I'm seeing $300 million as a real shot, $350 million depending on buzz closer to release, and over $400 million if it's good enough to score more than 90% at rottentomatoes, has a super smart marketing campaign and insane word-of-mouth. Knowing Spielberg all of that is more than possible. Funny, we haven't heard much from Gamaur lately.
_________________."Change your God." - Nazgul9
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| Fri Dec 23, 2011 9:00 am |
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almost famous
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Aug 19, 2006 5:09 pm Posts: 1357 Location: Odessa, Ukraine
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
It was in motion capture. No need to say more. All those 150+ predictions were just out of this world.
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| Fri Dec 23, 2011 9:05 am |
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Jack Sparrow
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 11981
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
What is surprising to me is that movie might not even end up with $400m WW total in the end, while the chances are not yet over still given the current state it might reach only $330m-$340m WW total with US and holdover markets. If it really explodes in Australia and Mexico then it might chase down $400m WW total but otherwise it might not even reach that mark, that number for a sequel is quite troubling IMO.
_________________Movies 2012 - July
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| Fri Dec 23, 2011 9:11 am |
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almost famous
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Aug 19, 2006 5:09 pm Posts: 1357 Location: Odessa, Ukraine
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
As a live action movie it could be a sort of Indiana Jones for new generation with similar numbers. But who cares about motion capture?
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| Fri Dec 23, 2011 9:20 am |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 13408 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: Tintin Domestic
Gamaur wrote: If this only makes 90 million I will actually eat my own face. Great! Dr. Lecter will bring some fava beans and a nice Chianti and start from the other end.
_________________."Change your God." - Nazgul9
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| Sun Jan 01, 2012 7:22 am |
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Gamaur
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Mon Nov 16, 2009 3:56 pm Posts: 417 Location: Melbourne, Australia
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 Re: Tintin Domestic
Bradley Witherberry wrote: Gamaur wrote: If this only makes 90 million I will actually eat my own face. Great! Dr. Lecter will bring some fava beans and a nice Chianti and start from the other end. My lawyers tell me the wording I used is vague enough to keep me out of trouble unless it makes exactly $90,000,000. 
_________________ I predicted Tin Tin would make over 300 million dollars domestic
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| Tue Jan 10, 2012 9:09 am |
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mark66
Forum General
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 7820
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Latest weekend domestic:
Rank 24: $709,180 - $75,323,319 total (7th week)
Compare that to Quebec:
Rank 6: $96,953 - $9,726,681 (9th week)
So Quebec alone is responsible for 13 % of its domestic gross...
_________________ What planet do you live on most of the time? Trying to have a conversation with you would be like trying to argue with a dining room table. I have no interest in doing it.
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| Sat Feb 11, 2012 6:56 am |
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mark66
Forum General
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 7820
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Wow, TINTIN is still in the Top Ten (11th week) in Quebec:
Rank 9: $48,457 - $9,914,447 total
_________________ What planet do you live on most of the time? Trying to have a conversation with you would be like trying to argue with a dining room table. I have no interest in doing it.
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| Fri Feb 24, 2012 1:21 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 13408 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
$77,243,736
_________________."Change your God." - Nazgul9
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| Sun Mar 11, 2012 9:07 am |
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be.redy
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am Posts: 11658 Location: Croatia
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
+ Foreign: $296,402,120 = Worldwide: $373,645,856
This one was always a gamble in the US based on the "popularity" of Tintin there. But overall it did OK. Probably not OK enough for a sequel, but enough to cover expenses.
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| Sun Mar 11, 2012 9:28 am |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 13408 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Ahhh, yes - - the bomb-deniers favorite evasion!
_________________."Change your God." - Nazgul9
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| Sun Mar 11, 2012 9:46 am |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11129 Location: Germany
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 Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Is that you, BKB?
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| Sun Mar 11, 2012 9:49 am |
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