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 Tintin Domestic Predictions 
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
At this point i hope it at least breaks $100m. Not that i'm a big fan of the movie, but less than $100m would be kinda embarrassing.

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Last edited by Nazgul9 on Tue Dec 20, 2011 3:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Tue Dec 20, 2011 3:47 pm
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Current top sellers on @Fandango - #DragonTattoo 29%, #MI4 21%, #Alvin 13%, #Sherlock 13%, #WarHorse 6%.

A Christmas Day opener that doesn't have the 3D surcharges and opens 4 days later beating this, doesn't bode well for it's domestic run.
This can't even crack the top 5 and it opens tomorrow. based on these factors, I don't even think it can't crack $20m 5-day (Wed-Sun) and it might even struggle to get to $100m in the long run. I agree with Wrongturn687's prediction total.


Tue Dec 20, 2011 3:47 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Almost every new review that comes out keeps lowering the RT rating.

The latest review from the Charlotte Observer notes:

Quote:
It’s handsome, hectic, heartless and hollow, a shiny Christmas box with nothing but glitter inside....

What works on the page seems exhausting onscreen, especially in the motion-capture animation used for “Tintin.” (The animators can make the wind ruffle individual hairs, but the zombie-eyed characters still lack humanity.)

Like the jokes and frenetic action, the entire movie is juvenile....

I would guess that's why they still don't have it listed under the "Opening" or "Coming Soon" banners on RT - - they're keeping the wraps on the bad news about this sick puppy till the last possible moment.


Tue Dec 20, 2011 4:03 pm
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
I bet it doesn't top 40 million, all in.

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Tue Dec 20, 2011 5:11 pm
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Such a bizarre release. So much pedigree--Spielberg, Peter Jackson--and it seems very commercial, with lots of adventure and comedy and an adorable dog, yet there does seem to be almost zero hype. A weird, "What if two of the most famous living directors collaborated on a big-budget animated adventure, and no one in America cared?" scenario.

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Wed Dec 21, 2011 2:35 am
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
I'll lower my prediction to 95M. I'm really not feeling it. I could see even less too.

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Wed Dec 21, 2011 5:17 am
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Motion Capture Animation just can't seem to find an audience.

And they cost so much to produce, I wonder that if Spielberg's Tintin fails to gross $100 million, if studios will even be interested in the format anymore.

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Wed Dec 21, 2011 12:40 pm
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Corpse wrote:
Motion Capture Animation just can't seem to find an audience.

Avatar did reasonably well - - but then James Cameron seems to be the only director obsessive enough to get it right.



Corpse wrote:
And they cost so much to produce, I wonder that if Spielberg's Tintin fails to gross $100 million, if studios will even be interested in the format anymore.

By the time Avatar 2 & 3 roll out, the technology will have further matured and been distributed in a manageable format to the less talented directors like Spielberg.

I retain hope.


Wed Dec 21, 2011 1:54 pm
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
lol we always doubt Cameron, but he always makes films that GENERAL Audiences love.

Avatar 2 WW and even domestic performance will likley be much bigger than the Hobbit and TDK2.


Its going to be interesting, we should see a lot of records break and such over the next few years with all these massive releases.

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Wed Dec 21, 2011 2:25 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Corpse wrote:
And they cost so much to produce

Less than your average Pixar movie.

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Wed Dec 21, 2011 2:54 pm
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Yes it is true that average Pixar movies are costlier but they make more (even Cars 2 made over $500m WW) so that does not help this argument.

I do agree that motion capture can be helpful at few of the places but then the film making IMO takes a lot of effort (as of now) which increases costs, plus it does not always look good when forced into movies like TinTin. I do think though that 3D works very well with this technique, cause most of the motion capture movies (excluding Avatar) that I have seen in 3D turned out great (including Mars Needs Moms, yeah I saw that stinker in 3D, cause there weren't any 2D screens :puke: )

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Thu Dec 22, 2011 1:24 am
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Hmm with this Wednesday number...even with the BEST CASE scenario, I see no more than $80 million domestically...

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Thu Dec 22, 2011 8:05 pm
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Yeah this is missing $100m for sure with that opening. $150m+ is out of question.

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Thu Dec 22, 2011 8:06 pm
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Gamaur wrote:
I'm seeing $300 million as a real shot, $350 million depending on buzz closer to release, and over $400 million if it's good enough to score more than 90% at rottentomatoes, has a super smart marketing campaign and insane word-of-mouth. Knowing Spielberg all of that is more than possible.

Funny, we haven't heard much from Gamaur lately.


Fri Dec 23, 2011 9:00 am
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
It was in motion capture. No need to say more. All those 150+ predictions were just out of this world.


Fri Dec 23, 2011 9:05 am
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
What is surprising to me is that movie might not even end up with $400m WW total in the end, while the chances are not yet over still given the current state it might reach only $330m-$340m WW total with US and holdover markets. If it really explodes in Australia and Mexico then it might chase down $400m WW total but otherwise it might not even reach that mark, that number for a sequel is quite troubling IMO.

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Fri Dec 23, 2011 9:11 am
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
As a live action movie it could be a sort of Indiana Jones for new generation with similar numbers. But who cares about motion capture?


Fri Dec 23, 2011 9:20 am
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Tintin Domestic
Gamaur wrote:
If this only makes 90 million I will actually eat my own face.

Great! Dr. Lecter will bring some fava beans and a nice Chianti and start from the other end.


Sun Jan 01, 2012 7:22 am
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic
Bradley Witherberry wrote:
Gamaur wrote:
If this only makes 90 million I will actually eat my own face.

Great! Dr. Lecter will bring some fava beans and a nice Chianti and start from the other end.


My lawyers tell me the wording I used is vague enough to keep me out of trouble unless it makes exactly $90,000,000. ;)


Tue Jan 10, 2012 9:09 am
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Latest weekend domestic:

Rank 24: $709,180 - $75,323,319 total (7th week)

Compare that to Quebec:

Rank 6: $96,953 - $9,726,681 (9th week)

So Quebec alone is responsible for 13 % of its domestic gross...

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Sat Feb 11, 2012 6:56 am
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Wow, TINTIN is still in the Top Ten (11th week) in Quebec:

Rank 9: $48,457 - $9,914,447 total

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Fri Feb 24, 2012 1:21 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
$77,243,736

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Sun Mar 11, 2012 9:07 am
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
+ Foreign: $296,402,120 = Worldwide: $373,645,856

This one was always a gamble in the US based on the "popularity" of Tintin there. But overall it did OK. Probably not OK enough for a sequel, but enough to cover expenses.


Sun Mar 11, 2012 9:28 am
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
be.redy wrote:
+ Foreign


Ahhh, yes - - the bomb-deniers favorite evasion!


Sun Mar 11, 2012 9:46 am
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Post Re: Tintin Domestic Predictions
Is that you, BKB?

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Sun Mar 11, 2012 9:49 am
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