World of KJ :: View topic - 4 day weekend estimates

Rolling Thunder wrote:

Monte Carlo sure sputtered out quickly.

The Dark Shape wrote:

I realize everyone's all impressed by Transformers having something resembling legs, but its six-day is still lower than most of you predicted. By a decent margin.

Flava'd vs The World wrote:

I blame Lebron for Transformers not reaching my prediction.

The Dark Shape wrote:

I realize everyone's all impressed by Transformers having something resembling legs, but its six-day is still lower than most of you predicted. By a decent margin.

ESTIMATED 6-DAY: 181.1

YOUR PREDICTIONS:

devin28flick - 221.4
jmovies - 205
Flava'd vs The World - 240
Rev - 250
Libs - 208
Archangel - 234
MadGez - 190-200
Keyser Soze - 165
2001 - 235
Bluebomb - 212
wrongturn687 - 220
BKB - 150

Mannyisthebest wrote:

Actually DH2 is not guarantee to win the year domestically

Based of Wednesday opening it appeared TF3 would struggle for 300 million.

However the question is more like over or under 340-350 million now and DH2 will have to do really well to get such a gross.

Domestic is a dog fight.

Overseas, TF3 is doing far better than expected.

So win win win...

People are generally impressed for TF3 has recovered far better than any would have expected from its Wednesday opening.

The Dark Shape wrote:

curtis20 wrote:

Mannyisthebest wrote:

Agree. This movie did 360 from wensday. It is getting great WOM. It is looking to be the biggest one yet WW. It made 181 when many thought it would come close to that as of last week. It will make more the the first. Ether way you look at it, it is a WIN. You really think people are going to bad mouth a movie that is getting a great reaction and that is a box-office hit. Get real. This is not Cars 2.

Speevy wrote:

The Dark Shape wrote:

5th biggest 6 day of all time isn't impressive?

Magnus wrote:

The Dark Shape wrote:

I realize everyone's all impressed by Transformers having something resembling legs, but its six-day is still lower than most of you predicted. By a decent margin.

It's total isn't impressive, but it's recovery since its OD is impressive.

Rev wrote:

The Dark Shape wrote:

You suck, DS!

Author:	mark66 [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 11:54 am ]
Post subject:	4 day weekend estimates
1Transformers: Dark of the Moon$116,400,000--4,013--$29,006$181,125,0001Paramount / DreamWorks 2Cars 2$32,072,000-52%4,1150$7,794$123,002,6152Disney 3Bad Teacher$17,600,000-44%3,0490$5,772$63,045,9712Sony / Columbia 4Larry Crowne$15,742,035--2,973--$5,295$15,742,0351Universal 5Monte Carlo$8,750,000--2,473--$3,538$8,750,0001Fox 6Green Lantern$7,985,000-56%3,280-536$2,434$103,677,2533Warner Bros. 7Mr. Popper's Penguins$6,850,000-32%2,861-481$2,394$51,874,7223Fox 8Bridesmaids$4,423,965-16%1,389-642$3,185$153,798,3308Universal 9X-Men: First Class$3,700,000-45%1,602-1031$2,310$139,411,7275Fox 10The Hangover Part II$2,910,000-48%1,568-1187$1,856$248,757,6886Warner Bros. 11Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides$2,652,000-46%1,473-771$1,800$234,199,8937Disney Limited 1Midnight in Paris$4,316,1573%858-93$5,030$34,516,2297Sony Pictures Classics 2The Tree of Life$1,350,0002%22813$5,921$7,853,4366Fox Searchlight http://www.boxoffice.com/statistics/bo_ ... 2011-07-03

Author:	mark66 [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 12:01 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
Looks like the 3 day estimate was upped from $97.4m to $97.5m...

Author:	JURiNG [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 12:10 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
not bad not bad at all

Author:	Rolling Thunder [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 12:13 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
Monte Carlo sure sputtered out quickly.

Author:	Magic Mike [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 2:23 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
Rolling Thunder wrote: Monte Carlo sure sputtered out quickly. These kinds of movies always have good legs during the week in the summer though. Wouldn't be shocked to see it reach close to 30 Million.

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4 day weekend estimates http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=64178	Page 1 of 2

Author:	Rev [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 3:15 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
Who thought it'd do 97m 3day & 117m 4-day after a dismal 37m day 1

Author:	curtis20 [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 4:36 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
When Transformer 4 comes out. I think it is best not to look at MTC or Pre sales.

Author:	The Dark Shape [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 4:41 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
I realize everyone's all impressed by Transformers having something resembling legs, but its six-day is still lower than most of you predicted. By a decent margin. ESTIMATED 6-DAY: 181.1 YOUR PREDICTIONS: devin28flick - 221.4 jmovies - 205 Flava'd vs The World - 240 Rev - 250 Libs - 208 Archangel - 234 MadGez - 190-200 Keyser Soze - 165 2001 - 235 Bluebomb - 212 wrongturn687 - 220 BKB - 150

Author:	Malcolm [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 4:55 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
The Dark Shape wrote: I realize everyone's all impressed by Transformers having something resembling legs, but its six-day is still lower than most of you predicted. By a decent margin. Don't mention such things. They won't like it. Besides, I'm sure it'll just have an amazing multiplier and beat the Dark Knight Yeah, Transformers 3 did rebound from it's rather dud of an opening but it's still underwhelming (which is fine by my). Harry Potter definitely has a chance at number one now. Paramount's overly-positive responses to every newly released figure have been worth a few chuckles, though.

Author:	Flava'd vs The World [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 4:56 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
I blame Obama for Transformers not reaching my prediction.

Author:	Rev [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 5:15 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
Flava'd vs The World wrote: I blame Lebron for Transformers not reaching my prediction. Fixed

Author:	Mannyisthebest [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 5:16 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
Actually DH2 is not guarantee to win the year domestically Based of Wednesday opening it appeared TF3 would struggle for 300 million. However the question is more like over or under 340-350 million now and DH2 will have to do really well to get such a gross. Domestic is a dog fight. Overseas, TF3 is doing far better than expected. So win win win... People are generally impressed for TF3 has recovered far better than any would have expected from its Wednesday opening.

Author:	Rev [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 5:20 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
The Dark Shape wrote: I realize everyone's all impressed by Transformers having something resembling legs, but its six-day is still lower than most of you predicted. By a decent margin. ESTIMATED 6-DAY: 181.1 YOUR PREDICTIONS: devin28flick - 221.4 jmovies - 205 Flava'd vs The World - 240 Rev - 250 Libs - 208 Archangel - 234 MadGez - 190-200 Keyser Soze - 165 2001 - 235 Bluebomb - 212 wrongturn687 - 220 BKB - 150 You suck, DS!

Author:	curtis20 [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 5:25 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
Mannyisthebest wrote: Actually DH2 is not guarantee to win the year domestically Based of Wednesday opening it appeared TF3 would struggle for 300 million. However the question is more like over or under 340-350 million now and DH2 will have to do really well to get such a gross. Domestic is a dog fight. Overseas, TF3 is doing far better than expected. So win win win... People are generally impressed for TF3 has recovered far better than any would have expected from its Wednesday opening. Agree. This movie did 360 from wensday. It is getting great WOM. It is looking to be the biggest one yet WW. It made 181 when many thought it would come close to that as of last week. It will make more the the first. Ether way you look at it, it is a WIN. You really think people are going to bad mouth a movie that is getting a great reaction and that is a box-office hit. Get real. This is not Cars 2.

Author:	Rick0180 [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 5:43 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
TF3 is going to be the 3rd Fastest to 200 Million, if it makes it in day 7 on Tuesday or even on Day 8, if it gets 215 Million. 1 The Dark Knight WB 5 $203,773,518 2 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen P/DW 5 $200,077,255 3 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest BV 8 $214,563,858 Transformers: Dark of the Moon $181,125,0001

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Author:	Speevy [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 5:32 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
The Dark Shape wrote: I realize everyone's all impressed by Transformers having something resembling legs, but its six-day is still lower than most of you predicted. By a decent margin. ESTIMATED 6-DAY: 181.1 YOUR PREDICTIONS: devin28flick - 221.4 jmovies - 205 Flava'd vs The World - 240 Rev - 250 Libs - 208 Archangel - 234 MadGez - 190-200 Keyser Soze - 165 2001 - 235 Bluebomb - 212 wrongturn687 - 220 BKB - 150 5th biggest 6 day of all time isn't impressive?

Author:	Malcolm [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 5:39 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
curtis20 wrote: Mannyisthebest wrote: Actually DH2 is not guarantee to win the year domestically Based of Wednesday opening it appeared TF3 would struggle for 300 million. However the question is more like over or under 340-350 million now and DH2 will have to do really well to get such a gross. Domestic is a dog fight. Overseas, TF3 is doing far better than expected. So win win win... People are generally impressed for TF3 has recovered far better than any would have expected from its Wednesday opening. Agree. This movie did 360 from wensday. It is getting great WOM. It is looking to be the biggest one yet WW. It made 181 when many thought it would come close to that as of last week. It will make more the the first. Ether way you look at it, it is a WIN. You really think people are going to bad mouth a movie that is getting a great reaction and that is a box-office hit. Get real. This is not Cars 2. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SL135uL2XZA Don't know how you feel about spaghetti, but the rest seems pretty apt

Author:	The Dark Shape [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 6:55 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
Speevy wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: I realize everyone's all impressed by Transformers having something resembling legs, but its six-day is still lower than most of you predicted. By a decent margin. ESTIMATED 6-DAY: 181.1 YOUR PREDICTIONS: devin28flick - 221.4 jmovies - 205 Flava'd vs The World - 240 Rev - 250 Libs - 208 Archangel - 234 MadGez - 190-200 Keyser Soze - 165 2001 - 235 Bluebomb - 212 wrongturn687 - 220 BKB - 150 5th biggest 6 day of all time isn't impressive? Sure it's impressive. But if The Dark Knight Rises opened to 140 opening weekend, it would still be a disappointment compared to expectations. I get people being relieved for the legs, but now people are acting like the thing blew the roof off the box office and beat all expectations. In truth, for the period people were predicting, it underperformed as compared to their expectations.

Author:	curtis20 [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 7:15 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
Magnus wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: I realize everyone's all impressed by Transformers having something resembling legs, but its six-day is still lower than most of you predicted. By a decent margin. It's total isn't impressive, but it's recovery since its OD is impressive. May not be impressive when you look at what Part 2 did but it is Impressive. Tracking and pre sales did not have this movie doing 181 million. That is a fact. The reason why everybody is impressed is because of the 360 it did after opening day and WW total so far. This time last week 181 was not in play for most people.

Author:	Archangel [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 9:20 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
Rev wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: I realize everyone's all impressed by Transformers having something resembling legs, but its six-day is still lower than most of you predicted. By a decent margin. ESTIMATED 6-DAY: 181.1 YOUR PREDICTIONS: devin28flick - 221.4 jmovies - 205 Flava'd vs The World - 240 Rev - 250 Libs - 208 Archangel - 234 MadGez - 190-200 Keyser Soze - 165 2001 - 235 Bluebomb - 212 wrongturn687 - 220 BKB - 150 You suck, DS! Ok, i admit i was way off

Author:	Mannyisthebest [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 9:48 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
we sort of ignored the fact that ROTF wom did have an effect. However TDK2 will come off one of the most popular and well liked blockbusters of the modern era. An opening below TDK would be sad...

Author:	zingy [ Mon Jul 04, 2011 11:50 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
It might have opened lower than we all predicted but after opening day, it recovered really nicely. A lot better than Dark Shape was expecting after the first numbers.

Author:	The Dark Shape [ Tue Jul 05, 2011 12:53 am ]
Post subject:	Re: 4 day weekend estimates
Very much so. I just don't think it's worth all the "woah" posts I'm seeing when it made $25m less than most of the conservative guesses. For instance -- I was impressed with Shrek Forever After's legs. But that doesn't make its drop-off compared to expectations any better.