World of KJ :: View topic - Weekend Estimates (3 days)

O wrote:

According to exit polling from distributor Warner Bros. (again partnered with Legendary Pictures), The Hangover Part II's audience composition was 51 percent female and 54 percent under 25 years old. The under 18-year-old bracket was 13 percent. The first Hangover was 52 percent male and 53 percent under 25 in its opening weekend.

The Hangover's audience was 51% female?? That's even better than the first one.

That makes Bridemaid's performance look even more outstanding! If The Hangover 2 hadn't opened, imo, Bridemaids would have potentially increased this weekend.

Other stats about the weekend:
-Biggest Memorial Weekend ever.
-4th biggest weekend ever.
-Biggest May weekend ever.
-Second biggest summer weekend ever.
-Second biggest non Nov/Dec weekend ever.
-6th biggest non #1 debut for Kung Fu Panda.
-2nd biggest R-rated opening ever.
etc.

Author:	mark66 [ Sun May 29, 2011 10:28 am ]
Post subject:	Weekend Estimates (3 days)
BOG Twitter: $86.5m HANGOVER 2 ($118.1m total)

Author:	2001 [ Sun May 29, 2011 10:47 am ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
HUGE number. I wonder if it can stay above F5 OW come actuals. It probably beats the R-Rated OW record with a 100m OW had it stayed on Friday.

Author:	Libs [ Sun May 29, 2011 11:18 am ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
BOM: 1 N THE HANGOVER PART II WB $86,480,000 - 3,615 - $23,923 $118,090,000 1 2 N KUNG FU PANDA 2 P/DW $48,000,000 - 3,925 - $12,229 $53,800,000 1 3 1 PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: ON STRANGER TIDES BV $39,321,000 -56.4% 4,164 +9 $9,443 $152,916,000 2 4 2 BRIDESMAIDS Uni. $16,373,000 -21.6% 2,958 +21 $5,535 $84,980,000 3 5 3 THOR Par. $9,365,000 -39.4% 3,296 -628 $2,841 $159,710,000 4 6 4 FAST FIVE Uni. $6,618,000 -37.4% 2,982 -640 $2,219 $196,027,000 5 7 13 MIDNIGHT IN PARIS SPC $1,919,000 +220.4% 58 +52 $33,086 $2,824,000 2 8 7 JUMPING THE BROOM TriS $1,900,000 -48.7% 939 -533 $2,023 $34,181,000 4 9 8 SOMETHING BORROWED WB $1,845,000 -47.5% 1,440 -1,166 $1,281 $34,759,000 4 10 6 RIO Fox $1,780,000 -62.0% 1,672 -921 $1,065 $134,821,000 7 11 5 PRIEST SGem $1,700,000 -64.2% 1,918 -946 $886 $27,262,000 3 12 9 WATER FOR ELEPHANTS Fox $1,075,000 -50.7% 794 -1,100 $1,354 $54,404,000 6 13 17 CAVE OF FORGOTTEN DREAMS IFC $456,000 +9.8% 120 +14 $3,800 $2,643,000 5 14 11 SOUL SURFER TriS $400,000 -57.0% 401 -583 $998 $41,289,000 8 15 10 MADEA'S BIG HAPPY FAMILY LGF $373,000 -61.0% 359 -553 $1,039 $52,336,000 8 16 N THE TREE OF LIFE FoxS $352,000 - 4 - $88,000 $352,000 1 http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/ ... =21&p=.htm

Author:	mark66 [ Sun May 29, 2011 11:48 am ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
http://www.boxoffice.com/statistics/bo_ ... 2011-05-29 BoxOffice has even more, including THE TREE OF LIFE with $352,320

Author:	mark66 [ Sun May 29, 2011 12:01 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
HANGOVER 2 did $29.72m Saturday...

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Author:	Magic Mike [ Sun May 29, 2011 12:30 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
That's a really awesome chart position for Midnight in Paris for being in just 58 theaters. It could go down one or two though with actuals. Amazing hold for Bridesmaids. The Hangover II couldn't even take this down.

Author:	Bluebomb [ Sun May 29, 2011 12:38 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
Decent hold for Pirates.

Author:	Magic Mike [ Sun May 29, 2011 12:40 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
Hmm. Why did The Tree of Life drop on Saturday?

Author:	BK [ Sun May 29, 2011 1:21 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
Awful weekend for Panda. Nearly 30% drop in admissions. No spin.

Author:	BK [ Sun May 29, 2011 1:22 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
Panda's OW is just bloody awful. Breakdown $53,800,000 0.45 = $24,210,000 0.55 = $29,590,000 Assuming $7.86 2D and $10.86 3D 2D 3,764,631 3D 2,229,281 To 5,993,912 Original $60,239,130 $7.18 Admissions= 8,389,850 Drop in admissions: 2,395,938 = 28.56% drop in admissions. Effing bad.

Author:	BK [ Sun May 29, 2011 1:23 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
Hangover is monstrous though. Pity it wasn't the other way around.

Author:	O [ Sun May 29, 2011 1:50 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
Underwhelming for Panda. Looks like the pandamonium is over... Internationally, it could redeem itself. The Hangover is phenomenal!

Author:	Keyser Söze [ Sun May 29, 2011 1:52 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
BK wrote: Panda's OW is just bloody awful. Breakdown $53,800,000 0.45 = $24,210,000 0.55 = $29,590,000 Assuming $7.86 2D and $10.86 3D 2D 3,764,631 3D 2,229,281 To 5,993,912 Original $60,239,130 $7.18 Admissions= 8,389,850 Drop in admissions: 2,395,938 = 28.56% drop in admissions. Effing bad. $7.86 is the average ticket price including 3d tickets sold for Q1. So it should be slightly better than what you are extrapolating.

Author:	O [ Sun May 29, 2011 2:22 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
Here are my rough guesses at totals: The Hangover Part II $282 m -> Still early. Could go a lot further considering how well its held from Thurs-Sat and strong Cinemascores. $300 m potential is certainly there. June competition is lighter than usual. Kung Fu Panda 2 $190 m -> Still early. Cinemascores are supportive. No real big family competition for a few weeks and a subdued opening weekend. 3D loss is an issue though. Bridesmaids $150 m -> Definitely think it can get to $150 m. Wiig's "Elf" moment. She's the new bonafide comedic star. Thor $183 m -> Solid run considering it opened one week after Fast 5. Probably could have done $200 m otherwise. Fast Five $212 m -> Incredible run! Its admissions will surpass Fast 1. Unbelievable than in just three films, the franchise went from $62.5 m, $155 m, to $212 m. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides $235 m -> Take a look at the POTC series and Shrek! Shrek 1 $267.7 m POTC 1 $309.4 m Shrek 2 $441.2 m POTC 2 $423.3 m Shrek 3 $322.7 m POTC 3 $309.4 m Shrek 4 $238.7 m POTC 4 $235 m (estimate) The franchises are following VERY similar patterns. Internationally, both fourth films more than redeemed themselves. Props to Universal. In just a month and a half, they've had Hop, Bridemaids, and Fast 5. They made $882 m in 2010 and $890 m in 2009. They could be at $734 m by the time these films are done their runs and still have a slate of movies for the rest of the year...

Author:	Magic Mike [ Sun May 29, 2011 7:04 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
Gunslinger wrote: I'm slightly disappointed The Tree of Life's PTA isn't above $100,000. I feel this same way but I didn't say it because I was afraid people would think I was crazy. $88,000 should be a great PSA, and it is, but I can't help but feel it's underwhelming for this movie. I mean, Midnight in Paris made almost $100,000 in 2 more theaters last weekend . Tree of Life has so much buzz. Why couldn't it do $100,000, or at least closer to it?

Author:	David [ Sun May 29, 2011 7:48 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
I checked every night, and it never seemed to sell out a show at its Landmark location in L.A.

Author:	David [ Sun May 29, 2011 7:51 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
https://tickets.landmarktheatres.com/Ti ... atreID=267 It's almost weird... Look at all those other sellouts. Maybe each showing of Tree of Life is on two screens or something?

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Author:	O [ Sun May 29, 2011 2:27 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
According to exit polling from distributor Warner Bros. (again partnered with Legendary Pictures), The Hangover Part II's audience composition was 51 percent female and 54 percent under 25 years old. The under 18-year-old bracket was 13 percent. The first Hangover was 52 percent male and 53 percent under 25 in its opening weekend. The Hangover's audience was 51% female?? That's even better than the first one. That makes Bridemaid's performance look even more outstanding! If The Hangover 2 hadn't opened, imo, Bridemaids would have potentially increased this weekend. Other stats about the weekend: -Biggest Memorial Weekend ever. -4th biggest weekend ever. -Biggest May weekend ever. -Second biggest summer weekend ever. -Second biggest non Nov/Dec weekend ever. -6th biggest non #1 debut for Kung Fu Panda. -2nd biggest R-rated opening ever. etc.

Author:	Jack Sparrow [ Sun May 29, 2011 2:48 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
The winner this weekend for me is a tie between The Hangover2 and Midnight in Paris. Pirates and Bridesmaids did good as well. Even with lousy marketing the drop in KFP2 is unexplainable to me....oh well anyways I am happy its OS numbers will be good. $200m at this time looks like a stretch which with 3D and inflation would mean that it is time to stop the franchise even though it will do good in WW total.

Author:	Jonathan [ Sun May 29, 2011 4:00 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
O wrote: According to exit polling from distributor Warner Bros. (again partnered with Legendary Pictures), The Hangover Part II's audience composition was 51 percent female and 54 percent under 25 years old. The under 18-year-old bracket was 13 percent. The first Hangover was 52 percent male and 53 percent under 25 in its opening weekend. The Hangover's audience was 51% female?? That's even better than the first one. That makes Bridemaid's performance look even more outstanding! If The Hangover 2 hadn't opened, imo, Bridemaids would have potentially increased this weekend. Other stats about the weekend: -Biggest Memorial Weekend ever. -4th biggest weekend ever. -Biggest May weekend ever. -Second biggest summer weekend ever. -Second biggest non Nov/Dec weekend ever. -6th biggest non #1 debut for Kung Fu Panda. -2nd biggest R-rated opening ever. etc. It's also the first $200 million weekend since New Year's weekend 2010, nearly 17 months ago. There aren't a lot of releases over the next month, so having that kind of boost will hopefully keep things a little alive. And Midnight in Paris is only the third film in the last fifteen years to make the Top 10 in under 100 theaters, the other two being the second weekends of Brokeback Mountain and Black Swan. The limited opening weekends for Pocahontas and The Lion King also pulled it off, but I don't know any others. Something to look up sometime maybe...

Author:	Shack [ Sun May 29, 2011 5:36 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
Hangover's drops look pretty good to me. I think this goes 300+

Author:	Biggestgeekever [ Sun May 29, 2011 6:17 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
Outside of the disappointment of Panda, this was really a monster of a weekend. Everything did better than I was expecting, and this really bodes well for the rest of the summer.

Author:	David [ Sun May 29, 2011 6:33 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
I'm slightly disappointed The Tree of Life's PTA isn't above $100,000.

Author:	Libs [ Sun May 29, 2011 7:47 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates (3 days)
^ Tree of Life is an hour longer than Midnight in Paris and that probably limited the number of times it could play per day at some of its 4 theaters.